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Seahawks vs. Patriots Wk 10 Over/Under Odds

Who: Seattle Seahawks (5-2-1) vs. New England Patriots (7-1)

When: Sunday, November 13, 2016. 8:30pm.

Where: Gillette Stadium. Foxboro, Massachusetts

Over/Under: 49 at the Bovada Sportsbook

A lot of water has passed under the bridge since Malcolm Butler’s momentous goal-line interception foiled the Seahawks’ bid for a Super Bowl championship at the end of the 2014/15 season. But here are the Seahawks and Patriots, contending again, and facing what could be a preview of the next Super Bowl.

Seattle enters the fray a bit shy of the form they showed two years ago, coming in 1-1-1 in the last three, having survived a 31-25 home test against the Buffalo Bills that crushed the over on Monday night.

The Patriots are playing as well as ever, if not better. They’re riding a four-game win streak since quarterback Tom Brady returned from suspension. This game will not only be a midseason test of superiority, but a battle to keep pace in their respective conferences.

Seahawks Need Ground Game

Seattle comes into this one with an issue to solve. Quarterback Russell Wilson isn’t as mobile as he once was (28 carries for 54 yards), and he’s getting no help from his backfield. Running backs Christine Michael and C.J. Prosise combined for just 10 yards on eight carries on Monday night. The team had only 33 rushing yards. The Seahawks are averaging 3.21 yards per carry this year, possibly because they let offensive tackle Russell Okung get away in free agency in the off season.

So Wilson has been relying on a resourceful, on-target passing game that cashed in for 282 yards on 20-of-26 passes vs. Buffalo. He’s crossed the 2,000-yard mark on a healthy 95.9 passer rating. Tight end Jimmy Graham has come around this year, pulling in 38 receptions and 545 yards, and slot receiver Doug Baldwin is Wilson’s deeper threat with 44 catches and 570 yards.

The Hawks’ defense seems up to par, ranking 10th in the league in both run and pass defending. Veteran defensive end Cliff Avril is playing better than ever, with nine sacks this year. Linebackers Bobby Wagner and K.J. Wright make an effective two-way threat against the run and in zone against the pass. Corner Richard Sherman is proving as steady as ever, and the team expects to return safety Kam Chancellor, who has missed time with a groin injury.

Pats Blazing With Brady

New England’s only blemish this year has been a 16-0 home loss to Buffalo in the team’s final week without the suspended Brady. Since his return, the Patriots have been on fire, with four wins, including the last outing, a 41-25 revenge victory at Buffalo in week 8.

Brady already has more than 1,300 yards and 12 TDs in his four games – with zero picks. His 133.9 passer rating is easily the best in the league. And no wonder, with a bevy of receivers to go to. TE Rob Gronkowski of course leads the way with 484 yards on 22 receptions. Martellus Bennett, Chris Hogan and Julian Edelman all share the wealth, with better than 1,100 yards combined.

RB LeGarrette Blount has the burden of carrying the Pats ground game, with 161 carries and 609 yards.

The New England defense has not been flashy, ranking 13th in the league. But it has been effective, allowing just 16.5 points a game. The Patriots glaring weakness on D has been the inability to pressure quarterbacks; they have only 13 sacks on the year.

Why I’m Taking The Under on the Seahawks vs Patriots

This game features some interesting dynamics to handicap. Two clever head coaches face special situations; Pete Carroll brings his west-coast team east on a short week, and Bill Belichick awaiting with a well-rested, prepared team.

The Seahawks have hit the over on the road only once in four games, that being a 27-17 win at the Jets a month ago. They only put up 20 at New Orleans in their last road outing. The Pats have hit the over in their only home game with Brady, a 35-17 win vs. Cincinnati. They’re 2-2 on the O/U total with the master calling the signals. But this will be one of the toughest defenses they’ll face all year.

Look for the Patriots to put some wrinkles in their pass rush scheme in an attempt to make Wilson’s visit a miserable one. Carroll may have a hitch to make something of his team’s running game, but don’t count on it. Therefore, the Seahawks’ one-dimensional attack won’t fly. When the Patriots have the ball, they’ll seek to get Blount going in an effort to keep the Seahawks’ linebackers from roaming free in the zone defense.

With Chancellor back – and a decent pass rush – Seattle stands a chance of keeping Brady at bay. The Pats have the clear advantage here, so I don’t expect much value on the moneyline, unless you really, really like the road dog here. The under 49 at the Bovada Sportsbook seems like a more appealing play.

Webster LuptonThis article was written by Webster Lupton

Webster is a former newspaper writer and editor who has handicapped a variety of sports for years. He enjoys thoroughbred horse racing and casino gambling.


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