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Seahawks vs Falcons Over/Under Pick – NFL Divisional Round

Seattle Seahawks(10–5–1) @ Atlanta Falcons(11–5)

  • Where: Georgia Dome. Atlanta, Georgia
  • When: January 14, 2017 4:35 pm EST
  • Spread: Seahawks +5 (-110) vs. Falcons -5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Seahawks (+166) vs. Falcons (-185)
  • Over / Under: Over 51.5 (-110) vs. Under 51.5 (-110)

The end of an era could be approaching in the city of Atlanta: The Georgia Dome, known as the home of the Atlanta Falcons since 1992, is getting demolished in 2017 to make way for parking in the new Mercedes-Benz Stadium, being built just a stone’s throw away.

What this means is that if the Seattle Seahawks come to town and take this game away from the Atlanta Falcons, it will be the last time that Falcons’ fans get to cheer on their team from the seats of the Georgia Dome, making this game potentially historic. If Atlanta wins, then we’ll just be saying the same thing next week.

Either way, though, regardless of the outcome for the team, the fans, and the city, this Divisional playoff matchup pitting the Seattle Seahawks against the Atlanta Falcons certainly holds good value for interested gamblers. Take my advice and bet money on over 51.5 points (-110) at the Bovada Sportsbook.

Don’t let the Seahawks fool you

SEA at ATL Playoff PicksThere are some NFL “fans” that have not watched a single regular season game, and just started to tune in last weekend for the playoffs. Among this group, I’m sure there are some that watched Seattle “beat up on” Detroit on the Saturday night of Wild Card Weekend and walked away saying Well, it looks like Seattle is just as good as they always are; the Legion of Boom is unstoppable.

For those of us who have been closely watching games all season, however, we know that this is just simply not the takeaway from last week’s game. The Lions gave away that game; Seattle did not take it away from them.

A 6-point total score from the Lions and a strong performance from Seattle’s defense indicates a massive choke-job from Detroit and their remarkably overrated quarterback Matthew Stafford, not a marker that Seattle will make another Super Bowl run. The team’s injuries are still overwhelming, and that locker room is still ready to erupt at any moment.

The Falcons’ defense has yet to prove itself

The Falcons have received very little buzz in the national media over the last few weeks, other than all of the talk about Matt Ryan’s MVP odds. (Matty Ice is currently the prohibitive favorite, getting -333 at the Bovada sportsbook meanwhile all other members of the field are at 3-to-1 or better.)

One reason for this lack of interest in the Falcons in the national media could be the fact that of all the remaining playoff teams, the Falcons have the worst scoring defense. Despite the phenomenal play of linebacker Vic Beasley Jr., who ended up leading the league in sacks with 15.5 and tied for the league lead in forced fumblers with 6, Atlanta ended up 27th in the league in points allowed.

If the Falcons are going to win this game against the Seahawks and limit the total score, then the Seahawks will have to play a different game than last week. Against the Lions, the Seahawks ran the ball with Thomas Rawls essentially the entire game. However, the Falcons are only 5th in the league in rushing attempts. They’re 32nd in the league in passing attempts by the other team.

If Atlanta has any chance of getting another game in the Georgia Dome, they’ll need to step up on D.

Seahawks at Falcons game total prediction

If the Legion of Boom comes together and plays up to their reputation, then they could potentially hold the Falcons to a low total score, which would obviously spoil a bet on the over. Along similar lines, it’s certainly imaginable that Vic Beasley and the Atlanta pass rush tee off against the rookie offensive linemen of Seattle and limit the Seahawks’ offense as well.

However, I just don’t see this happening. One of the classic NFL gambling traps is to throw out regular season performance and get caught up in the playoff storylines. But if you can avoid this trap, then the real story is clear: Atlanta gave up an average of 29 points against the 12 teams they played that had legitimate offenses this season, and Seattle has given up scores of 38 and 34 when playing against potent passing attacks since the injury to Earl Thomas.

Expect these trends to continue, and rely on the fact that if Atlanta scores roughly 36 and Seattle scores roughly 29, you’ll be well above the total score, listed at 51.5 at the Bovada Sportsbook.

David HeinenThis article was written by David Heinen

David Heinen is a freelance psychology writer by day, inveterate NFL junkie by night. Born and raised on the Green Bay Packers, David is a die-hard Cheesehead, not to mention a cheese enthusiast in his spare time.


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