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Seahawks Favored on the Road Over the Redskins on MNF

Seattle Seahawks vs. Washington Redskins Preview

Start Time: Monday, October 6th 2014 at 8:30pm ET
Stadium: FedEx Field in Landover, Maryland
Station: ESPN

The Seattle Seahawks 2-1 (2-1 ATS) travel to FedEx Field to play the Washington Redskins 1-3 (2-2 ATS) on MNF. This isn’t really the ideal match-up for a primetime game on Monday night, but that doesn’t mean that bettors can’t make some money on it.

You may have noticed a trend in primetime games this season. The majority of games on primetime have been blowouts to start the season although it isn’t just favorites winning. For example, last week the Cowboys and Chiefs both dominated as underdogs.

Seahawks vs. Redskins Betting Lines

Bet on the Seahawks @ Redskins (Bovada Sportsbook)

This line initially opened at –7 (Seattle), but it quickly jumped to over a TD and we’re not going to see this spread drop unless there is a big injury between now and Monday night. The action isn’t as one-sided as I thought it’d be with only 65% on Seattle thus far.

SEA @ WAS Stats Box

On paper these two teams aren’t that far apart. The problem for the Redskins is turnovers. They are tied for last in the NFL with a –5 turnover differential. Seattle isn’t forcing turnovers (3) like expected, but the offense only has one turnover on the season.

Will Seattle Cover the Point Spread Against Washington in Week 5 NFL Action?

Washington hosted Seattle last season and the Seahawks won 24-14. The Redskins only gained 203 total yards on offense. I expect a similar outcome this week, especially when you consider the fact that the Seahawks are coming off of a bye week in W4.

The Seahawks are one of the highest scoring teams in the NFL, but they rely heavily on their run game (148.0 RYPG – 3rd). This week I expect Russell Wilson to be more active in the pass game, as the Redskins are only allowing 87.0 RYPG (8th).

Seattle ranks 25th in passing yards (208.7 PYPG), but that’s because Wilson has been used sparingly. Wilson is completing 69% of his pass attempts on the year and he has 6 passing TD’s compared to just 1 INT. I like Wilson to have a big game by his standards.

Kirk Cousins and the Redskins offense are gaining 292.2 PYPG (4th) and 123.0 RYPG (12th) on the season. However, Cousins has tossed 5 INT’s compared to 6 TD passes. That ratio is killing the Redskins, as it sets up the opponent with short fields to work with.

Alfred Morris is unlikely to be very productive against the Seahawks rush defense (72.3 RYPG – 5th) and that means Cousins will have to play a near perfect game. Seattle is actually giving up 249.0 PYPG (19th), but they’ve played Green Bay, San Diego and Denver.

Those are three teams that can pass the football very well and you can bet that the Seahawks pass defense will rank better now that they get to go up against some weaker teams through the air. If Cousins turns the football over this game could get very ugly.

Pete Carroll has had plenty of time due to the bye week to prepare his team for this game. After losing their opening road game of the season to the Chargers in W2 I expect the Seahawks to come out with a killer instinct and put this game away in the 1H.

Seahawks vs. Redskins Predictions

If you jumped on Seattle early in the week and got –7 you did a great job, but I still like them with the hook. A lot of bettors have jumped on the Redskins to cover ATS at home on MNF, but this is a complete mismatch and I’d be shocked if they kept it close.

Seattle loves playing under the primetime lights and they’ve gone 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight games on Monday night. Seattle felt embarrassed by the loss to the Chargers and there is no way they’re going to move to 0-2 on the road with a loss to Washington.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting. Follow Scott on Twitter


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