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Saints vs. Falcons Betting Lines

New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons
When: 8:25pm EST. Thursday, November 29, 2012
Where: Georgia Dome in Atlanta, Georgia

In week 10 the New Orleans 5-6 (6-5 ATS) beat the Atlanta Falcons 10-1 (6-4-1 ATS) 31-27 at home. The Falcons now has a chance at revenge on their division rival at home, and I fully expect this to be one of the best TNF games this season.

New Orleans vs. Atlanta Betting Lines

The Saints vs. Falcons point spread opened with the Falcons as -3 favorites. Since then the spread has been bet up past that key number to -3.5 at BetOnline and JustBet. The over/under is huge, currently at 55.5 points.

BetOnline.com
US Friendly
JustBet.cx
US Friendly
Spread
Money
Spread
Money
Saints
Falcons
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
+170
-195
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
+170
-200
Over/Under
o55.5 (-110) / u55.5 (-110)
o55.5 (-110) / u55.5 (-110)

Can the Saints Sweep the Season Series against the Falcons?

New Orleans was unable to get over the .500 mark last week against the 49ers, as they lost 31-21 at home. The 49ers scored two TD’s on interceptions and they were also able to put a ton of pressure on Drew Brees, sacking him 5 times.

When defenses interrupt and pressure Brees the Saints struggle immensely, as they rely heavily on their passing game. New Orleans ranks 5th in passing yards (290.5 PYPG), but they rank 27th rushing the football (91.5 RYPG).

Atlanta is a perfect 5-0 at home this season, but they’ve only gone 2-3 ATS in those games. Whenever the point spread is a FG or less I typically bet the Falcons at home, but with the point spread already up to -3.5 points I’m waiting to see if it goes back to -3.

The Falcons offense is very similar to the Saints. Atlanta ranks 8th in points scored (26.7 PPG), compared to NO who ranks 5th with an average of 28 PPG. Atlanta also relies heavily on their passing game (297.6 PYPG – 2nd) due to a poor run game (88.3 RYPG – 28th).

Defensively the Falcons have an edge in this match-up. Atlanta ranks 6th in points allowed (19.6 PPG), 13th against the pass (221.7 PYPG) and 22nd against the rush (123.2 RYPG). At home I expect the Falcons defense to step up after losing in week 10 to NO.

The Saints on defense rank amongst the worst in the NFL in every major statistical category. NO ranks 28th in points allowed (27.6 PPG), 30th against the pass (298.3 PYPG) and 32nd against the rush (156.5 RYPG) so far this season.

New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons Best Bets

Bet on Atlanta Falcons -3.5 (-110) @ BetOnline

I still think this line will drop back down to -3, so keep an eye on the line movement. The Saints won a close one at home in week 10, but the Falcons should get revenge at home.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting. Follow Scott on Twitter


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