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Redskins vs. Packers Over/Under Betting Analysis

Redskins vs Packers Week 2 of the 2013 NFL SeasonThe Washington Redskins 0-1 (0-1 ATS) and Green Bay Packers 0-1 (0-1 ATS) will be looking to bounce back in week 2 after suffering road losses in week 1. This Sunday (September, 14th 2013 at 1:00pm ET on FOX) the Packers play host to the traveling Redskins.

Last week Washington lost 33-27 to the Eagles, as they couldn’t deal with Chip Kelly’s speed offense in the 1H. Philadelphia was up 26-7 at halftime, but the Redskins offense woke up in the 2H and they were almost able to make the huge comeback.

Green Bay lost a close away game against the 49ers (34-28), but that wasn’t such a bad result. San Francisco is always tough when they play at Candlestick Park. The fact the Packers offense was able to put up 28 points on that defense is a good sign.

What is the Game Total in Washington vs. Green Bay

The over/under in WAS vs. GB in week 2 opened at 49.5 points and it hasn’t moved at Bovada yet. Early money has been coming in on the over yet the total hasn’t moved yet. That worries me slightly, but this game should have no problem going over 50 points.

The Tale of Two Halves

Washington was dominated on the field for the entire 1H on Monday night and they found themselves down 26-7. The lone TD that they scored was a 75-yard fumble return by DeAngelo Hall in the 1H. The high-powered Redskins offense was completely shutdown.

Part of the problem was that the Redskins didn’t have possession of the football much in the opening half. Philadelphia’s need speed offense was too much for the defense to handle in week 1. Philadelphia managed to run 53 plays in the 1H of the game.

Coach Shanahan must have said something right, as the Redskins offense woke up in the 2H and played much better. The team was able to score 20 unanswered points in the 2H, but still lost. The big question is what offense will show up to Lambeau this week?

I expect the Redskins to play like they did in the 2H simply because the Packers defense is horrendous. They allowed Kaepernick to set a career high in passing yards (412). Anquan Boldin looked like a stud hauling in 13 receptions for 208 yards and 1 TD.

If Boldin can light up the Packers secondary than Pierre Garcon’s speed should be an even bigger problem. Garcon was held quiet in week 1 (7 Catches for 64 Yards), but Leonard Hankerson picked up the slack, as he caught 5 passes for 80 yards and 2 TD’s.

Can the Redskins Stop Aaron Rodgers & the Packers Offense

My answer to that question is no! Green Bay scored a TD in each quarter against the stingy 49ers defense. Aaron Rodgers ended up going 21/37 for 333 passing yards, 3 TD’s and 1 INT. Eddie Lacy also had 14 carries for 41 rushing yards, 1 TD and 1 fumble.

Washington allowed 263 rushing yards in total, as McCoy shredded them for 184 rushing yards (1 TD) on 31 carries. Obviously Lacy isn’t going to put up those types of numbers in this Packers offense, but he should have 15+ carries and closer to 100 yards.

If Green Bay can establish the run this offense is going to be deadly. Both Randall Cobb (108) and Jordy Nelson (130) had over 100+ receiving yards and 1 TD each in week 1. That was against SF. Against the Redskins both might be closer to 150+ receiving yards.

Current Injury Report in WAS vs. GB

There isn’t too much new on the injury report for either team currently. Jermichael Finley has missed practise this week for GB and is currently questionable. Ryan Kerrigan is questionable for the Redskins after taking a big hit and almost suffering a concussion.

Packers vs. Redskins Week 2 O/U Picks

There is no point looking at the H2H data in this match-up, as these two teams last played in 2010 when both teams were noticeably different than they are now. The reason I’m betting on the over despite the high total is because these defenses are very soft.

Both RB’s are going to get more carries in this game than they did in week 1, but don’t let that scare you. Both teams have big play potential on offense and until these two defense show me that they can consistently make stops I’ll be looking to bet the over.

We saw just 50% of the games in week 1 go over the total, but I think that’ll increase. The NFL is pass-happy league right now and we should see both these teams air it out. I expect a back-and-forth shootout with the final score being 35-31 for the Packers.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting. Follow Scott on Twitter


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