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Raptors vs. Nets Betting Lines – Game 3 NBA Playoffs

Toronto Raptors vs. Brooklyn Nets Game 3 Preview

When: Friday, April 25th 2014 at 7:00pm ET
Where: Barclays Center in Brooklyn, New York
Watch: ESPN2 (USA) or TSN (Canada)

The Brooklyn Nets were able to steal home court advantage from the Toronto Raptors after winning the first game of the series. It was basically win or be finished in the second game for the inexperienced Raptors and they fought hard to tie the series up at 1-1.

Latest Money Line, Point Spread & Game Total Odds

Bet on TOR @ BKN at the Bovada Sportsbook ($250 Free).

The point spread opened up at –4 in favor of the Nets and it’s already up a point. Brooklyn is getting about 70% of the action on the spread and ML. That doesn’t surprise me based on how the first two games went, but that’s take a deeper look at this match-up.

How Important is Home Court Advantage for the Nets?

Brooklyn went 28-13 at the Barclays Center during the regular season. Looking at the Nets home vs. away splits it’s easy to see that they perform better at home. They score 4.1 PPG more and they shoot 3.6% better from the field when they’re playing at home.

Toronto had a very respectable 22-19 road record in the regular season, which was tied for 1st in the East with the Heat/Wizards. On paper the Raptors play worse on the road, but they’re certainly capable of winning 1 of 2 in Brooklyn and regaining home court.

How the Raptors Will Win Game 3

The Raptors have to protect the basketball and stop making sloppy mistakes. Toronto had 37 turnovers in the first two games of the series, which is unacceptable in the playoffs. I’ve watched both games closely and a lot of the turnovers are from playing softly.

Toronto also needs their two star players (DeMar DeRozan & Kyle Lowry) to step up and play hard the whole game. In the 4th quarter last night DeRozan and Lowry went 7 of 8 from the field and 10 of 14 from the FT line after starting the game 6 of 24 from the field.

Role players like Greivis Vasquez and Amir Johnson need to produce as well while in Brooklyn. I thought Vasquez played great in the two games in Toronto. In 54 minutes between both games he had 29 points (4 of 9 from 3-pt), 16 assists and 7 rebounds.

Amir looked lost in G1, but bounced back in G2 with a stat line of 16 points (80 FG%) and 9 rebounds. The best player for Toronto up to this point has been the 7-footer Jonas Valanciunas who has 32 points, 32 rebounds, 2 assists and 2 blocked shots in 70 minutes.

How the Nets Will Win Game 3

I think the most important thing the Nets need to work on is their 3-point shooting. During the regular season the Nets ranked 10th in 3-pointers made per game (8.6) and 11th in 3-point shooting percentage (36.5%), but during the playoffs they’ve been bad.

Brooklyn has gone 11 of 48 from deep in this series (22.92%) and that’ll need to improve, especially once the Raptors offense settles in and starts putting up points. Paul Pierce, Deron Williams and Mirza Teletovic are a combined 9 of 34 from beyond the arc.

Offensively they need to keep Joe Johnson involved. I was surprised how well he played in the opening two games. He has played in over 82 minutes of a possible 96 minutes and has been very productive with 42 points, 11 rebounds and 6 assists.

When Johnson plays strong and backs down his defender in the paint he’s next to unstoppable. Deron Williams had a great 1H in G1, but since then he has been relatively quiet. Williams has to find his shot again because the Nets lack consistent scorers.

Nets @ Raptors Game 3 Predictions

The over/under in this series doesn’t interest me much unless it gets real low. The Raptors can score with the best of them, but they do seem nervous to be in the playoffs and that’s due to lack of experience. I will be betting on the Raptors ML though at these odds.

I feel that Toronto will win 1 of 2 in Brooklyn; so getting them at +180 is great value. If they lose G3 I’ll back them in G4 on the ML, so as long as they win 1 in Brooklyn we’ll make money. Toronto is the better team despite what a lot of the media has been pushing.

At the start of this series I figured it’d be a 7-game series and that’s what I still expect to happen. The Nets have veteran leadership and experience on their side while the Raptors have the young talent to run the Nets out of the stadium when they play 100%.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting. Follow Scott on Twitter


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