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Raiders vs. Cowboys Over/Under Betting

Oakland Raiders vs. Dallas Cowboys Thanksgiving Day Preview

Start Time: Thursday, November 28th at 4:30pm ET
Location: Cowboys Stadium in Arlington, Texas
Network: Watch Live on CBS

The Dallas Cowboys (6-5) are leading the NFC East thanks to their 4-0 division record. They’re double-digit home favorites this week against the Oakland Raiders (4-7). Both teams are 0-3 in non-conference games this season, but that’ll change on Thursday night.

Current Cowboys vs. Raiders Game Total Odds

Dallas comes into this game as a –10.5 point favorite and I don’t think there is any value on the spread. Oakland and Dallas are both inconsistent and you don’t know what to expect from them, but I definitely think we’ll see both of these teams put up points.

Why I’m Betting on the Over in Oakland vs. Dallas

1. Raiders Will Find Plenty of Room on the Ground

Dallas hasn’t been able to stop anyone from rushing on them, as they’ve allowed an average of 133.6 RYPG (30th). The Raiders like to rush the football (140.6 RYPG – 5th). Rashad Jennings has been playing great and Darren McFadden may be back this week as well.

Jennings only has two TD’s, but he leads the team in carries (109) and rushing yards (553). He’s also a threat out of the backfield, as he has caught 27 passes for 237 yards. If McFadden suits up expect the Raiders to run a lot with both of their running backs.

2. Tony Romo Will Have a Big Thanksgiving Day on the Stat Sheet

Tony Romo has been a little inconsistent again this season, but he has completed 64.2% of his passes for 2915 yards and 23 TD’s. He has only tossed 7 INT’s on the season. This week he gets to go against a Raiders secondary that is allowing 258.1 PYPG (25th).

Dez Bryant and Jason Witten should both have big games on Thursday. Bryant leads the team in every major receiving stat including receptions (61), receiving yards (835) and touchdowns (8). Witten isn’t too far behind Bryant and putting up great numbers for a TE.

3. Takeaways Will Turn Into Easy Points

Both of these teams have been forcing a lot of turnovers lately. Dallas averages 2.1 takeaways per game (4th) while the Raiders have averaged 1.5 takeaways per game (19th). Neither team turns the football over too much, but these defenses will be hungry.

Sean Lee has 4 INT’s for Dallas, but the Raiders have to be careful of Barry Church who has recovered 3 fumbles and has 1 INT. Dallas can’t stop opposing offenses (432.2 YPG – 32nd), but they’ve been able to pick up opportune takeaways at big points in the game.

4. Special Teams Will Play A Major Role

These two teams have been fairly stout at stopping special teams from hurting them with big plays. However, I expect at least a few big returns this game. Dallas is averaging 12.4 yards per punt return (4th) and 28.1 yards per kick-off return (1st) on special teams.

I’m not saying that there will be a return TD in this game, but expect some short fields for the offenses. Oakland has had trouble this season on punts and opposing teams are averaging 11.1 yards per punt return, which ranks them amongst the worst in the NFL.

5. Both Defenses Allow A Ton of Points

Neither of these offenses are extremely explosive the majority of the time, but when you’re up against a bad defense it’s not hard to pick up a lot of yardage. Dallas is allowing opposing teams to score 25.4 PPG (23rd) while Oakland has been giving up 24.5 PPG (20th).

Raiders vs. Cowboys Best Bet

There is no reason to look at the H2H series between these two teams, as they rarely play each other. The last time they played each other in the regular season was back on Thanksgiving Day in 2009 when the Cowboys beat the Raiders 24-7 at home.

Playing on Thanksgiving Day is a huge deal in the NFL and it often brings out the best in the teams competing. Offenses typically do well under the spotlight. Last year all three of the games went over and I expect these two teams to go over the total by the end of the 3rd quarter.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting. Follow Scott on Twitter


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