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PSG v Barcelona betting tips – Champions League QF

PSG v Barcelona Champions League Betting Tips

Kick-Off: Wednesday, April 15th 2015 at 2:45pm ET (7:45pm BST)
Venue: Parc des Princes in Paris, France
TV: Sky Sports 1 & TSN

Paris Saint-Germain and Barcelona play the first leg of the Champions League quarterfinals this week in Paris. These teams are familiar with each other, as they just played each other in the group stage. PSG had no trouble scoring goals at home (3-2), although they were outplayed badly at Camp Nou (3-1).

Many punters are tipping the Parisians to win the opening leg and for good reason – no one has been able to beat PSG on home soil in all competitions this season. That’s a remarkable achievement, but Barca know exactly what to expect out of the French side now.

Parisians v Barca 1X2 and over/under odds

Bet on all of the Champions League action at Bet365.com or Bovada.lv (USA only).

I’m a little surprised by the odds in the 1X2 market, as I really didn’t expect Barca to be a big favorite in Paris. The last time Barcelona won in France was 2001 against Lyon – since then the Spanish side are 0-3-1. However, PSG have some suspension concerns.

The odds to qualify are as followed:

Barcelona should have little problem advancing, especially since PSG are shorthanded in their home fixture. At 1.30 odds I’m not too interested in the market and I’ll be looking at the match markets for both legs rather than bet on the to qualify market.

Team news

PSG upset Chelsea last round, but the victory came at a steep price. Zlatan Ibrahimovic, Marco Verratti and Serge Aurier are all going to miss this match due to being suspended. David Luiz and Thiago Motta are both injured and likely won’t be fit for this tilt.

Barcelona have to be happy about the situation PSG are in. Barca are healthy and only Dani Alves is suspended. Javier Mascherano is dealing with an injury, but is expected to be fit enough to feature. With that being said – expect Barca to send out a strong line-up.

Lionel Messi, Luis Suarez and Neymar are all likely to start for the Spanish side. Edinson Cavani will start upfront for PSG, but he has had trouble finishing his opportunities all season. I believe with the suspensions PSG are going to struggle to compete.

PSG v Barcelona betting preview

Somehow the Parisians advanced against Chelsea on away goals (3-3 on aggregate), despite being down a man for most of the 2nd leg after Ibrahimovic received a red card. Barcelona didn’t have a problem advancing against Man City (3-1 on aggregate).

PSG are looking to advance to the semifinals – a feat they’ve fallen short of the past two seasons. PSG were eliminated by Barca in the QF two seasons ago on away goals (3-3 on aggregate) and by Chelsea in the QF last season on away goals (3-3 on aggregate).

Both sides have to worry about their domestic league too. PSG are first place in Ligue 1, but Lyon are only one point back. Barca are first in La Liga, but Real Madrid are only two points back after Barcelona were held to a 2-2 draw against Sevilla over the weekend.

Luis Enrique insists his squad are focused on winning the league title above all us, but I’m still expecting him to put forth his best starting XI in the 1st leg. Heading back to Camp Nou with a win has to be a major priority with PSG missing Ibrahimovic.

PSG vs. Barcelona predictions

I expect this match to end in a draw for multiple reasons. PSG are without their leading scorer, but Cavani is a fine replacement and players like Ezequiel Lavezzi will step up offensively. Barcelona have also struggled to win when playing in France.

In the 2012-13 season these two teams had two hard-fought draws – a 2-2 draw in Paris and a 1-1 draw at Camp Nou.

Laurent Blanc knows his team needs to draw at the very least to stand a reasonable chance at advancing. I expect the Parisians to focus on keeping Barca from scoring and I believe the match will be lower scoring than most pundits are expecting.

I’m expecting a 1-1 draw at Parc des Princes. At 1.78 odds I’m definitely betting on “yes” in the BTTS market.

These teams have played each other four times in recent years and every match has had plenty of goals. PSG are in a tough situation because of suspensions, but they feature plenty of talent and Barcelona haven’t been a tough team to score on.

The spotlight will be on Cavani in Paris and he has to produce to give PSG a chance. Barcelona won’t be held scoreless and someone is going to have to score for PSG. Three of the four PSG goalscorers against Barca in the group stage are going to miss this match.

Lionel Messi (1.91) to score anytime is another bet I considered, but at below even money I’m not interested. Messi did score in both of the group stage matches, but Barca are stacked with goalscorers and I feel the odds are too short on Messi.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting. Follow Scott on Twitter


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