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Props Betting Lines – 2014 NBA Finals Preview

The 2014 NBA Finals starts on Thursday, June 5th 2014 in San Antonio. The Miami Heat beat the Bobcats (4-0), Nets (4-1) and Pacers (4-2) to win the Eastern Conference. Miami will be looking to 3-peat, which hasn’t been done Since Jordan and the Bulls (1991-93).

The San Antonio Spurs have been getting better as the playoffs have progressed. They struggled in the opening series against the Mavericks (4-3), but they dominated the Trailblazers (4-1) and knocked out the much younger Thunder (4-2) in just six games.

I expect this to be a great series that goes the distance. San Antonio has home court advantage in the series and they’ve gone 9-1 on their home court in the NBA playoffs. Miami has also been deadly at home where they’ve put up an 8-0 home playoff record.

Heat vs. Spurs Total Games in Series Prop

Last year these two teams played in the finals and the Heat ended up winning at home in G7. The Spurs stole the first game of the series in Miami, but they lost home court advantage after losing in G4 in San Antonio. I’m surprised the odds are so generous.

My biggest worry with this prop is the health of Tony Parker. He’s expected to start in the first game, but will he be able to be a big contributor with the injury? He didn’t look right in the OKC series and the Spurs will need Parker to play better for this to go to G7.

Even if Parker isn’t 100% it isn’t the end of the world, as Patty Mills has excellent range from deep. Lebron James and Dwayne Wade will likely put up monster numbers in this series, but I expect the Spurs to exploit their edge in the paint to keep this series close.

Alternatively you could bet on the exact series result. The Heat are paying +500 to win the series 4-3 while the Spurs are paying out at +350 to win 4-3, as they’ll be at home if the series makes it that far. I actually like the idea of betting the Heat at 5/1 odds.

NBA Finals MVP Odds

Who you bet on to win the MVP will depend on who you think will win the NBA Championship. I like Miami and while Dwayne Wade looks like great value at +1000 odds he won’t fill up the stat sheet like James unless Kawhi Leonard can shutdown down the King.

In the playoffs James is averaging 27.1 PPG, 6.80 RPG, 5 APG and 1.80 SPG. Wade has been playing well, but he is averaging less than James in all of the categories above. If you expect SA to win you’ll need to choose between Parker, Tim Duncan and Manu Ginobli.

Ginobli is averaging 14.3 PPG, 3.3 RPG and 4.1 APG in the playoffs, but he doesn’t play a major role like Parker and Duncan. Parker is dealing with an injury and while he has performed better in the playoffs up to this point than Duncan, I’d bet on Timmy to win MVP.

2014 NBA Finals Player Prop Bets

James will fill the stat sheet, but I don’t expect him to be able to score at will in this series. Leonard is going to play big minutes and he plays great defensively. He’s fast, effective at stealing the basketball and has the length to alter shots anywhere on the court.

Bosh has averaged 5.7 RPG in the playoffs, but that number should be bigger this series. The Spurs are allowing 42.44 RPG including 10.72 OFF RPG. Bosh has been beyond the arc a lot lately in games, but against the Spurs I expect to see him bang in the paint more.

Leonard is one of my favorite players in the NBA right now and he’ll be a superstar in no time. He has averaged 6.80 RPG during the playoffs, but I expect Popovich to have Leonard shadow James the entire series, which will hinder his opportunities for rebounds.

The sportsbooks have set the over/under on how many PPG Duncan will average this series at 16.5, which is exactly what he has averaged in the playoffs. With Parker likely limited the Spurs will need to pound inside and Duncan should get a lot of looks.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting. Follow Scott on Twitter


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