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Previewing the Packers vs. 49ers Week 1 NFL Match-Up

Green Bay Packers vs. San Francisco 49ers Week 1 Analysis

Starting Time: Sunday, September 8th 2013 at 4:25pm ET.
Stadium: Candlestick Park in San Francisco, California
Watch: Live on FOX

We have another rematch from the 2012 NFL Playoffs to look forward to during week one. The San Francisco 49ers dominated the Green Bay Packers 45-31 in the NFC Divisional Round last season at Candlestick, but now the Packers get to try and avenge the loss.

These two teams also played in the opening week of the regular season last year and the 49ers won 30-22 at Lambeau. Alex Smith started in that game and SF still put up 30 points. If the Packers defense gives up 30+ to a team like the 49ers it’s hard to win games.

San Francisco & Green Bay Team Outlook for 2013

Colin Kaepernick and Frank Gore are going to cause problems for opposing defenses this season. However, there has been a lot of turnover in the receiving corps. Michael Crabtree and Mario Manningham are both injured as well, which doesn’t help at all.

The defense is going to be great again, so if the offense takes a bit of time to gel the 49ers will be fine. Last season they ranked 3rd by only allowing 4.7 yards per play defensively. Some of the new signings on defense include Tank Carradine and Nnamdi Asomugha.

Aaron Rodgers had the best passer rating in 2012 and the passing offense for the Packers should be T10 again despite losing two of their veteran WR’s (Donald Driver & Greg Jennings). I expect big seasons from the young crop of WR’s including Nelson and Cobb.

GB should score even more points this season, as it looks like they’ll have a legit run game to keep defenses guessing. The problem for GB has been defense the last couple years. They drafted Datone Jones in the 1st round, but didn’t do much else to improve.

Latest 49ers vs. Packers Betting Lines

We haven’t seen much movement in the point spread leading up to this one. The offshore bookies opened this line at -5 in favor of the 49ers and right now SF is sitting at -4.5 points. The game total has dropped from 50 points down to O/U 48.5 points at Bovada.

Bovada Sportsbook Live Odds
Teams
Point Spread
Money Line
Game Total
Green Bay Packers
+4.5 (-110)
+180
Over 48.5 (-110)
San Francisco 49ers
-4.5 (-110)
-220
Under 48.5 (-110)

Can GB Solve Kaepernick & the Option Offense

Last year in the playoffs Kaepernick went 17 of 31 for 263 passing yards, 2 TD’s and 1 INT against the Packers. In that game he also rushed the football 16 times for 181 rushing yards and 2 TD’s. If Green Bay is unable to stop Kaepernick this game will be lopsided.

I think the front seven on the Packers defense is going to be good this year. They should be able to spread the field and contain Gore and Kaepernick from running wild on them again. I’m a bit concerned about the GB secondary, but SF isn’t the best passing team.

With the injuries at WR for the 49ers they’re going to try and run the football a lot to just pick up a win at home. Anquan Boldin and Vernon Davis both need to step up big. Also expect to see a healthy dose of rookie WR Quinton Patton in this week 1 match-up.

Will Aaron Rodgers Struggle Against the SF Defense

Aaron Rodgers didn’t necessarily struggle last year in the two games against SF, but he wasn’t his normal self. In week 1 last year he had a QB rating of 93.3 and in the playoff game against SF he had a QB rating of 91.5. Both well below his season average of 108.

Last season the 49ers defense only allowed an average of 3.7 yards per rush (3rd) and 6.1 yards per pass (2nd). That defense is still in tact and going to cause opposing offenses nightmares this season. Don’t expect Rodgers to put up huge numbers in week 1.

GB vs. SF Week 1 Predictions

San Francisco was an impressive 6-1-1 at Candlestick Park last season and they’re always a tough team to beat at home. The Packers were just 4-4 on the road and this is a tough match-up for them against an experienced defense like the 49ers.

Rodgers needs to time to pass the football, but the offensive line has question marks and it looks like Lacy is going to be the feature back and I’m sure he’ll get beat in pass protection a few times. Look for the right side of the d-line to cause problems for GB.

The Packers have seen Kaepernick once now and it’s unlikely he’ll run wild, but expect close to 100 rushing yards from him alone. I’m also excited to see how Kaepernick and Boldin work together. Boldin is a clutch WR that will be used on lots of 3rd down situations.

There are just too many question marks on this Packers team to bet them in week 1. SF is basically in tact minus the injuries to the WR’s, but this defense is stout. I expect a lot of rushing in this game and that will wear down a weaker Packers defense.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting. Follow Scott on Twitter


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