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Predicting Who Will Make the 2014 March Madness Final Four

Selection Sunday is over and the tournament is about to start this week. I wanted to post my futures predictions now that I’ve been able to analyze the bracket. The Midwest Region will be the toughest to make it out of while the South Region isn’t far behind.

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View the final 2014 March Madness bracket below before reading through my predictions.

2014 March Madness Bracket

Will #1 Florida Gators Make it Out of the South Region?

The Florida Gators are the favorites to win the National Championship and they should get out of the South Region. Florida won the SEC title after beating Kentucky (71-70) in the finals. The Gators defense is excellent and they only allow 57.9 PPG (3rd).

Florida can bang inside with Patric Young plus they have several players that are shooting over 40% from beyond the arc. This team has no holes and while anything can happen in a single elimination tournament like March Madness, Florida is the class of the South.

Other contenders in the South Region include #2 Kansas, #3 Syracuse, #4 UCLA, #5 VCU and #6 Ohio State. The Jayhawks won’t make it deep without Joel Embiid. He’s questionable to return later in the tournament, but you can’t put money on Kansas in my opinion.

Syracuse has lost five of their L7 games and I don’t think they’ll make it deep at all. UCLA I talked about as being a sleeper and I think that they’ll be the biggest threat to Florida. The Bruins have a T10 offense, which they showcased while winning the Pac-12 title.

Can the #1 Virginia Cavaliers Defense Win Them the East Region?

In the East Region the #1 seed is Virginia who come into the big dance with the #1 defense, as they only allow 55.3 PPG. They have a T10 defense like Florida, but the big difference between these two #1 seeds is that the Cavaliers don’t have the offensive firepower.

No one on Virginia can take over the game on offense and their defense will only take them so far. Virginia scores 65.8 PPG (294th) and shoots 45.3% from the field (122nd). #8 Memphis has a fast paced offense and could pose a threat to Virginia in the 3rd round.

Memphis has been shaky lately, but they have several marquee wins over high ranked opponents. I think #2 Villanova is overrated. Other teams that could contend include #3 Iowa State, #4 Michigan State, #5 Cincinnati, #6 North Carolina and #7 Connecticut.

My pick to win the region is the Iowa State Cyclones. ISU averages 82.9 PPG (6th), 18.5 APG (1st) and 38.8 RPG (23rd). They don’t have a good defense, but they can outscore anyone in the region. The Cyclones just won the Big 12 title with wins over Kansas and Baylor.

Will #1 Arizona Wildcats Bounce Back and Win the West Region?

Arizona slipped up against UCLA in the Pac-12 title game, but they’re the class of the West Region and I don’t think they’ll have any problems until potentially the regional finals. #2 Wisconsin or #6 Baylor are two teams I like from the bottom of half of this region.

Creighton is a #3 seed with their best wins coming against Villanova (2X), but I’m not sold on them. Doug McDermott will have big numbers, but the roster isn’t deep enough to contend for a Final Four spot. I think Baylor will beat Creighton in the 3rd round.

Baylor has a lot of talent on their team, but they often don’t play up to their potential. The Bears almost won the Big 12 conference tournament and this team could be a real sleeper. They can score inside with Austin/Jefferson or outside with Chery/Heslip.

At the end of the day Arizona is my pick to win the West Region. They have the 5th ranked defense (58.1 PPG) and they clean up on the boards (38.9 RPG – 18th), which will give them lots of second chance opportunities on offense. Arizona also has an easy path.

Can #1 Wichita State Survive the Tough Midwest Region?

By default, the Shockers were handed a #1 seed for finishing the season as the lone undefeated team. Wichita State had some wins early in the season against quality opponents (Tennessee, Saint Louis, Alabama & BYU), but they haven’t been truly tested in awhile.

The Shockers are a defensive 1st team that ranks 12th in points allowed (59.9 PPG), but they won’t win the region. The Midwest has a lot of contenders including #2 Michigan, #3 Duke, #4 Louisville, #5 Saint Louis, #6 Massachusetts, #7 Texas and #8 Kentucky.

The selection committee really loaded up the Midwest and I can’t wait to see some of the match-ups in this region. That being said I think this region is wide open. Michigan and Duke are likely candidates to win the region and I wouldn’t discount Kentucky.

Kentucky only lost by 1 point to Florida in the SEC finals and this team has the talent to make a run with Andrew Wiggins. Duke also has players that can take over a game including Jabari Parker and Rodney Hood. My pick is Duke, as I like their road to the Final Four.

Odds to win each region during March Madness aren’t out yet, but they’ll be available later in the week at the Bovada Sportsbook. I will be betting on Duke and Iowa State for sure. I’ll also bet on Arizona and Florida as long as the odds aren’t ridiculous.

In the Final Four I have Florida beating Iowa State and Duke to beat Arizona.

In the championship game I have Florida beating Duke.

Florida is only paying +525, but they’re the most balanced team in the nation on offense and defense.

Latest Odds to Win 2014 March Madness

(Updated March 17th 2014)

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting. Follow Scott on Twitter


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