#1 USA Sportsbook: Visit Bovada.lv

Patriots vs. Bengals Money Line Betting

The New England Patriots 4-0 (2-2 ATS) travel to Paul Brown Stadium this week to play the Cincinnati Bengals 2-2 (2-1-1 ATS). Most handicappers expected the Pats to struggle to start the season, but Bill Belichick has proven his critics wrong again thus far.

Cincinnati has started the season very inconsistently while the Patriots are getting better each week. This should be one of the best match-ups to watch on Sunday and I doubt either team will win by double digits. Let’s take a look at the latest betting odds.

NE vs. CIN Week 5 Betting Lines

The bookmakers have this game pegged as a pickem this weekend. The latest money line is favoring the home side (Bengals –125), but I think the smart money will be on the underdog (Patriots +105). The over/under opened at 45 and is down to 44.5 points.

Bovada Live Odds
New England Patriots
Cincinnati Bengals
Money Line
+105
-125
Game Total
O44.5 (-110)
U44.5 (-110)

New England vs. Cincinnati Game Preview

It has been a long time since the Patriots rushing attack has been better than their passing offense. The Patriots are averaging 242.2 PYPG (17th), 125 RYPG (11th) and 22.2 PPG (20th) offensively this season, but they’ve been getting better each game of the season.

The Patriots have three RB’s with 100+ rushing yards including Stevan Ridley (174), LeGarrette Blount (155) and Shane Vereen (101) already this season. If the o-line keeps blocking like they have been than that’ll take a lot of the pressure off Tom Brady.

Julian Edelman, Kenbrell Thompkins and Aaron Dobson are the leading receivers on the Patriots right now. The three young WR’s have combined for 60 receptions for 694 yards and 6 TD’s. Early word this week is that Amendola should be playing in this game.

Cincinnati has given up 235 PYPG (13th), 99 RYPG (11th) and 20.2 PPG (10th) defensively, but their SOS hasn’t been that tough. Last week the defense didn’t look good on the road against the Browns and now they have to try and bounce back against Brady.

I thought the Bengals would be playing better offensively at this point. Andy Dalton has a QB rating of just 83.2. Dalton has thrown for 1003 yards, but he only has 5 passing TD’s. Turnovers have also been a problem early on, as Dalton has thrown 4 INT’s.

Cincinnati has scored an average of 20.2 PPG (22nd) while gaining an average of 243.8 PYPG (15th) and 83.8 RYPG (22nd). That isn’t going to get it down against most defenses in the NFL. The Pats defense has allowed 241 PYPG (17th) and 105 RYPG (14th).

New England is allowing a lot of yards, but they’ve averaged 2 takeaways per game (9th) and they’ve only allowed their opponents to score a TD on 33.33% of their red zone chances (4th). Cincy may move the football, but I expect them to settle for FG’s against NE.

Losing Vince Wilfork is going to hurt the Pats d-line, especially in the run game. It’ll be interesting to see if the Bengals try to pound the rock with BenJarvus Green-Ellis (52 Carries for 142 yards & 2 TD’s) and Giovani Bernard (32 Carries for 147 yards & 2 TD’s).

Which Team Has the Edge in This Match-Up

I give the edge to the Patriots in this match-up despite being on the road. Cincinnati is a good team at home, but the Patriots have shown me much more than the Bengals have. The Pats have a better turnover margin and way better red zone defense.

The Bengals are allowing opponents to score TD’s on 72.73% of their possessions in the red zone (26th). With the way the Patriots are running the football they should have no problem scoring in the red zone. I’m surprised that this game is just a pickem.

Wilfork and Gronkowski will be out, but Amendola should play, which means Brady will have another target. If Amendola suits up for this game he’ll produce and it’ll also open up space for Edelman. Once NE builds a lead they can pound the football with Blount.

Patriots vs. Bengals Predictions

I’ll be betting on the Patriots and I’ve explained why above. I also wagered on the over 44.5 points because this game should easily head over that total. Last week the Patriots put up 30 points on the road and it wouldn’t surprise me if they matched that again.

The Bengals were terrible last week and lost 17-6 to the Browns, but the offense should bounce back and score at least 20 points at home. In their two home games this season Cincy has put up 20 points on the tough Steelers defense and 34 points on the Packers.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting. Follow Scott on Twitter


Related Posts

More Free Betting Picks