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Notre Dame vs. Florida State Betting Lines – CFB Week 8

#5 Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. #2 Florida State Seminoles Preview

Start Time: Saturday, October 18th 2014 at 8:00pm ET
Location: Doak Campbell Stadium in Tallahassee, Florida
Station: ABC

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish 6-0 (4-2 ATS) travel to Bobby Bowden Field to play the Florida State Seminoles 6-0 (1-5 ATS). The Irish are playing great football and having been cashing in for bettors while the Seminoles have been winning, but not covering ATS.

Latest Point Spread Odds in ND vs. FSU

Live odds @ Bovada Sportsbook.

Only a total has been released on this match-up and it’s all over the place right now. Some shops are showing –10 while other sites are up to –13.5 in favor of the Seminoles already. I’d wait to see which way this line moves before betting on the game.

Fighting Irish vs. Seminoles Preview

These two teams don’t play each other often. The last time they played was in 2011 and the Seminoles won 18-14 at home, but both of these teams are much different now. This match-up will come down to whether or not the ND defense can limit the FSU offense.

Jameis Winston is completing 70% of his passes for 1605 passing yards, 11 TD’s and 5 INT’s. He hasn’t been a threat on the ground yet this season though. FSU is a top passing team (324.0 PYPG – 13th), but they struggle to run the football (138.5 RYPG – 98th).

The Irish defense will be able to stop the run, as they only allow 110.5 RYPG (19th). FSU is dealing with injuries at RB as well, which hasn’t been helping them. Winston will have a chance for a big game though, as ND is allowing an average of 237.8 PYPG (67th).

Despite the issues in the secondary, Notre Dame is only allowing 17.2 PPG (8th) while FSU is scoring 39.0 PPG (21st). If Winston is on his game he’ll have success throwing the football at home, but we’ve also seen Winston deal with turnover problems this year.

Offensively the Seminoles are strong, but there are question marks on this defense. FSU is only allowing 20.7 PPG (30th), but they’re giving up 213.7 PYPG (41st) and 144.8 RYPG (54th). Everett Golson is going to need to have a big game for the Irish to win.

Notre Dame’s offense has been average most of the season although they broke out for 50 points against UNC last week, which was their highest scoring output of the season. The Fighting Irish are scoring 34.5 PPG (41st) and that includes a game against Stanford.

The run game is only averaging 163.8 RYPG (69th), which is rare for a ND team, as they usually pound the football. The passing game has been slightly better, as Golson and the offense are averaging 280.5 PYPG (34th) and that shouldn’t change much this week.

Key Players on ND & FSU

I believe that the Seminoles will have to air it out to beat Notre Dame on Saturday. Rashad Greene can change the game with one play. He leads the team in receptions (44) and receiving yards (683) and he’ll have a big play or two to help his team win.

Plain and simple, Golson has to have a monster game for the Irish to stay undefeated. Golson has thrown 16 TD’s and rushed for 4 TD’s, which is the most on the team. He’s 2nd on the team in rushing yards and if he struggles the entire offense will struggle.

If you play college football fantasy you’ll know how hard it has been to find a reliable TE each week. O’Leary is 2nd on the Seminoles in receptions (24) and receiving yards (275). He’s a big target that Winston trusts and ND will have to keep him covered at all times.

Fuller is Golston’s favorite target and he has performed well this season considering the lack of weapons in the pass game. Fuller is leading the team in all major categories including receptions (35), receiving yards (504) and receiving TD’s (7).

Notre Dame vs. Florida State Picks

This point spread is too big even though the game is in Florida. Golson seems to simply get the job done. It may not always be pretty, but he knows how to win and I expect him to keep his team in this game so that they have a chance to win SU at the end.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting. Follow Scott on Twitter


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