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NFC Wild Card Odds: Packers vs. Redskins Playoff Picks

Packers vs. Redskins NFL Playoffs BettingGreen Bay Packers vs. Washington Redskins Preview

When: Sunday, January 10th 2016 at 4:40pm ET
Where: FedEx Field in Landover, Maryland
Watch: FOX

The Green Bay Packers 10-6 (9-7 ATS) won’t be happy about not playing at Lambeau Field, but they can’t be too upset about having to play the Washington Redskins 9-7 (9-7 ATS) – a team largely considered the “weakest” playoff opponent from the NFC — but will GB advance?

Packers vs. Redskins betting lines – 2016 NFL playoffs

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Green Bay opened as a -1 point favorite ATS, but most NFL bookies are now offering this game at a PK. A few more bets have been made on the Packers, but it has been close all week. Bettors have taken a stand on the over, as over 80% of the bets made are on the over to hit. Oddly enough, the over/under has dropped a full point from the opening line of 46 points.

Stats and injury report

There has been a lot of talk about the Packers having seventeen players listed on the injury report. Most will be able to suit up, but the two players in jeopardy of missing the match-up are Sam Shields and David Bakhtiari. The Redskins have ten players on the injury report, but all ten of them have been full or limited practice participants this week.

Packers at Redskins money line and over/under predictions

The NFC East was wide open again this season and the Redskins got hot at the right time. Washington have reeled off four wins in a row against the Bears (24-21), Bills (35-25), Eagles (38-24) and Cowboys (34-23). The Redskins are scoring a lot of points thanks to an improved passing attack. Prior to last week, Kirk Cousins had thrown for 300+ yards in six of nine games.

Green Bay were unable to build any momentum prior to the playoffs. The Packers lost to the Cardinals (38-8) in week 16 and then lost to the Vikings (20-13) in week 17 with the NFC North division on the line. Green Bay lost home field advantage, but they have to be happier playing the Redskins over the Seahawks. However, they’re in just as much trouble.

Washington put up a 6-2 home record during the regular season. Green Bay were 5-3 on the road and they’re also 4-1 ATS in their last four road playoff games. However, Aaron Rodgers is just 6-5 in the playoffs. If you takeaway the four wins when the Packers won Super Bowl XLV, Rodgers is just 2-5 in the playoffs. His win/loss record is poor, but his numbers are good.

Getting DeSean Jackson back healthy has been important. He’s a deep threat that can break a long TD on any play, but even more importantly, he forces the defense to respect his speed, thus opening up the field for other players. Jordan Reed has been the biggest benefactor. Prior to last week, Reed had three consecutive games with 7+ receptions, 80+ receiving yards and 1 TD.

If Cousins has another big game through the air, this game won’t be that close. Rodgers and the Packers can’t sling it and put up fast points this season without Jordy Nelson. The passing game has really suffered without Nelson. The only chance the Packers have to keep it close is if Eddie Lacy can have a monster game, something he hasn’t done all too often this season.

My money is on there not being a lot of points in scored in this NFC Wild Card game. I’d jump on the total now while you can still get 45 points, as the O/U has already dropped a point. Green Bay aren’t as electric offensively and I expect them to try and utilize Lacy early to keep the Redskins offense off the field as much as possible.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting. Follow Scott on Twitter


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