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NFC Wild Card: Lions at Seahawks Total Score Bet

Detroit Lions(9–7) @ Seattle Seahawks(10–5–1)

  • Where: CenturyLink Field. Seattle, Washington
  • When: January 7, 2017 8:15 pm EST
  • Spread: Lions +8 (-115) vs. Seahawks -8 (-105)
  • Moneyline: Lions (+290) vs. Seahawks (-380)
  • Over / Under: Over 43 (-115) vs. Under 43 (-105)

The NFL playoff picture is officially set, and one could make the argument that of the eight teams we’ll see televised for Wild Card Weekend, only one of them is currently on a hot streak. Unfortunately for fans, neither the Detroit Lions nor the Seattle Seahawks are that hot team.

In the Seattle Seahawks we see a perennial playoff contender that has played very inconsistent football over the last two months, leading to some uncertainty going into the postseason. In the Detroit Lions, we see a team that has not won a playoff game in decades, and that very nearly lost the opportunity to do so this season.

Despite these two franchises both having some question marks heading into the playoffs, one of them is bound to make it to the Divisional Round, and Saturday night’s matchup that determines this undoubtedly holds some value for savvy gamblers. Let’s take a look at both teams individually.

Detroit Lions good for one half of football

2017 NFC Wild Card PreviewThe Detroit Lions have finally revealed themselves to be a 30-minute football team. As I correctly predicted last week, the Lions were good for three touchdowns against the Packers, one of them coming in garbage time as expected.

However, it’s clear now that because their offense is so one-dimensional, after the opposing defense has made its half-time adjustments the Lions subsequently sputter and give up the ghost in the second half. Against the Cowboys in Week 16, the Lions blew a 7-point lead, giving up 28 unanswered points. Against the Packers in Week 17, playing for the division, the Lions went from up 14–7 with two minutes left in the first half to down 17–31 with two minutes left in the second half.

With no one expected to return from injury, there’s no reason to believe that the Lions’ floundering rushing offense will improve on the short week. Furthermore, given the fact that they were home against the Packers and now headed to Seattle, there’s little cause to believe that anything should change for the Lions.

So in summary, I expect the Lions to come out against Seattle and do exactly what they have done the last two weeks: come out and score a few touchdowns in the first half, looking strong while they do so, and then sputter in the second half and potentially tack on a third garbage time score.

Seattle Seahawks starting to turn on each other

There’s trouble in paradise for the Seahawks, though it hasn’t exactly been paradise lately in Seattle. It’s been 7 games since the Seahawks strung together two consecutive wins, and in the month of December they lost their streak of home wins and barely came together to beat the woeful San Francisco 49ers.

With 12 players on injured reserve, the Seahawks are among the more injured teams in the playoffs, and their difficulties running the ball with C. J. Prosise hurt and several rookies starting on the offensive line have been well-documented.

But even more disconcerting for Seahawks fans has been the fracturing of the team’s identity. After weeks of rumors that the offense and defense had turned on each other and started finger-pointing, their near-loss vs. the 49ers proved a turning point. After D-tackle Jarran Reed was ejected from the game for earning a second unsportsmanlike conduct penalty, he came to the sideline only to get into another altercation, this time with teammate Frank Clark.

Since Earl Thomas went down there have been some strange lapses in defensive leadership for the Seahawks, and a near-collapse that includes internal fighting is not a good sign headed into the playoffs.

Lions vs Seahawks over/under prediction

The Lions offense, considered alone, is likely good for between 14 and 28 points by itself, and with the current state of disarray of the Seahawks defense we don’t think they’ll end up going below 20. On the other side of the ball, a desperate, playoff Russell Wilson could very easily pull out just enough magic to keep the game close, as he’s done so many times in the postseason.

I foresee this being a sloppy game with at least 20 total points scored in the fourth quarter alone. Take the over and get ready to bet against whichever team makes it to the Divisional Round next week.

David HeinenThis article was written by David Heinen

David Heinen is a freelance psychology writer by day, inveterate NFL junkie by night. Born and raised on the Green Bay Packers, David is a die-hard Cheesehead, not to mention a cheese enthusiast in his spare time.


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