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NCAAB: 2016 March Madness Futures Odds and Picks

2016 March Madness Final FourDate: Tuesday, March 1st 2016

SELECTION Sunday is less than two weeks away (March 13th 2016). With the field and seeding still unknown, we can’t predict how the bracket will shape up yet, but we can look at the outright futures betting markets. The top contenders have been established at this point.

There are three teams priced under 10/1 to win the NCAAB National Championship. Michigan State (8/1), Kansas (8/1) and North Carolina (9/1) are expected to make a Final Four run, but there are some teams with a lot more value to target.

This season has been wide open, which is why everyone has been getting excited about March Madness. Often several teams emerge as leaders by now, but that’s not the case in 2016. We’ve seen lots of top 10 teams losing to unranked opponents all season.

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Top contenders to win the 2016 NCAA Basketball National Championship

The Jayhawks are on a 10-game winning streak, which includes wins against #23 Texas (86-56), #19 Baylor (66-60), #3 Oklahoma (76-72), #10 WVU (75-65) and #20 Kentucky (90-84). Kansas is loaded with depth, but Perry Ellis (Senior) will be relied upon for his leadership in the big dance.

Kansas score a lot of points (81.7 PPG – 16th), but they’re not nearly as strong defensively (67.5 PPG – 73rd). They struggle on the boards (37.9 RPG – 91st) as well, which is a concern. Kansas has proven they can beat the best, but I likely won’t have them advancing past the Elite Eight.

Tom Izzo always has his Spartans ready to rock come March. However, I question how prepared this team is? The Spartans went 3-2 against ranked opponents, beating #4 Kansas (79-73), #24 Louisville (71-67) and #7 Maryland (74-65), while losing to #16 Iowa (76-59) and #18 Purdue (82-81).

On paper, MSU will be a tough match-up. They score 79.8 PPG (35th) and allow 63.3 PPG (14th). Plus, they rank 4th in rebounds (42.1 RPG) and 1st in assists (20.6 APG). Depth is a concern too and this team can only go as far as Denzel Valentine (19.6 PPG, 7.6 RPG and 7.2 APG) takes them.

My thoughts on UNC may change after they play Duke this Saturday (March 5th 2016) in their last regular season game, but right now, I simply don’t like UNC to make a big splash. With a 3-3 record against ranked opponents, UNC haven’t played like a top contender this season.

Brice Johnson has been balling and he’s averaging a double-double this season (16.8 PPG & 10.4 RPG). However, as a team UNC have had trouble with defense all season. The Tar Heels allow 70.6 PPG (145th) and score 83.1 PPG (10th). Often defense trumps offense come March, though.

Villanova have been ranked #1 earlier in the season, but they’ll still likely be a #1 seed once the seeds are selected. With a #1 seed, the Wildcats have a great chance to run through the bracket and earn a Final Four spot, although like in years past, Villanova are rather untested.

Sure, they’ve beaten their Big East competition, but earlier in the season they lost to #7 Oklahoma (78-55) and #8 UVA (86-75). They are great on the defensive end (63.1 PPG – 13th), but they only score 76.8 PPG (93rd) and they get bullied on the boards (36.1 RPG – 177th).

2016 March Madness outright winner sleeper picks

The Cyclones can keep up with anyone offensively, but they lack effort on the other end. ISU scores 82.2 PPG (14th), but they allow 74.5 PPG (248th) and only average 36.1 RPG (182nd). If they can tighten up a bit defensively in the tournament, they could make a deep run.

ISU made the Sweet Sixteen in 2014 and could go further with a bit of luck. They have signature wins against #1 Oklahoma (82-77) and #4 Kansas (85-72). They play Kansas in their regular season finale on Saturday. I’d bet them now because if they win, you won’t get 40/1 on them.

Another coach I like during March is Shaka Smart. He has experience making deeps runs in the tournament with Cinderella teams. Texas may not have a great overall record, but they’ve beaten teams like #3 UNC (84-82), #6 WVU (56-49) and #3 Oklahoma (76-63).

Kansas just smoked the Longhorns, but let’s see how they look in the conference tournament. Texas have eleven players averaging double-digit in minutes. Isaiah Taylor is a great floor general. He’s leading the Longhorns in points (15.1 PPG), assists (4.9 APG) and steals (0.9 SPG).

Odds to win the College Basketball National Championship 2016

Michigan State +800
Kansas +800
North Carolina +900
Oklahoma +1000
Villanova +1300
Kentucky +1400
Xavier +1400
Maryland +1600
Virginia +1600
Duke +1800
Iowa +2000
Arizona +3300
Miami FL +3300
Oregon +3300
West Virginia +3300
Wichita State +3300
Indiana +4000
Iowa State +4000
Purdue +4000
Texas +5000
Texas A&M +5000
Connecticut +5000
Wisconsin +6000
California +6600
Utah +6600
Vanderbilt +6600
Baylor +8000
Notre Dame +8000
Providence +8000
Butler +10000
Cincinnati +10000
Dayton +10000
Gonzaga +10000
LSU +10000
Michigan +10000
Florida +15000
Pittsburgh +15000
San Diego State +15000
Syracuse +15000
Valparaiso +15000
South Carolina +20000
USC +20000
St. Mary’s +20000
BYU +25000
Clemson +25000
Colorado +25000
Creighton +25000
Florida State +25000
Seton Hall +25000
VCU +25000
Georgetown +30000
Kansas State +30000
Ohio State +30000
UCLA +30000
Arizona State +50000
Arkansas +50000
Marquette +50000
UNLV +50000
Memphis +100000

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting. Follow Scott on Twitter


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