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NC State at Notre Dame Money Line, O/U and Free Pick

North Carolina State(6-1) @ Notre Dame(6-1)

  • Where: Notre Dame Stadium. South Bend, IN
  • When: October 28, 2017 3:30 pm EST
  • Spread: NC State (+7.5) at Notre Dame (-7.5)
  • Moneyline: NC State (+230) at Notre Dame (-270)
  • Over / Under: Over 58 (-110) vs Under 58 (-110)

Last year’s NC State vs Notre Dame contest was one of the most bizarrely-entertaining scrums of the 2016 season. Literally played inside the outer edge of Hurricane Matthew, the game devolved into a splash-and-crawl battle between 2 drenched and soggy offenses unable to swim a stroke. As with the Snow Bowl between Michigan and Ohio State in 1951, the winners (NC State) blocked a punt in the 2nd half and won by a touchdown.

Is the Wolfpack’s luck going to run out? The 6-1 Fighting Irish are coming off one of the most impressive wins by any Division 1 football team all season, whipping USC 49-14 with a dominant ground game and fierce defense. Notre Dame held USC to just over 300 yards of offense (a chunk of those coming in “garbage” time), intercepted Sam Darnold and scored 5 sacks. The Irish offense rushed for almost 400 yards, QB Brandon Wimbush streaking for over 100 yards and 2 touchdowns while passing for 2 more.

NC State is enjoying an excellent season, ranked #14th and having won 6 in a row after a disappointing start against South Carolina. But is it realistic to think anyone can stand up to the hot UND offense right now?

Let’s look at 3 different betting markets for this game – the money line, the point spread and the O/U.

Point Spread Betting on NCSU at UND

Any point spread set at (7.5) is tricky. After all, the winning team may not need an extra field goal or touchdown in the closing minutes, should they hold a 7-point lead and the ball. But in this situation, the exact spread seems like less of a big deal.

If the Irish have really built the most unstoppable running attack since Georgia Tech in 2014, and Wimbush continues to burn even talented defenses on play-action, then Notre Dame is a 70% to 80% chance to cover. If you believe that NC State can somehow control the ball and figure out a way for its well-rested defense to plug up holes, then the Wolfpack have the probability to cover.

UND vs NCSU Money Line Betting

Wager our upset-special on NC State (+230) to beat Notre Dame and get a 50% sign-up bonus from Bovada Sportsbook.

It’s hard to wager against any team that just blew away Southern California by several touchdowns. But it’s the strong belief in Notre Dame’s rising greatness that may have created value in the underdog on the ML.

To beat a power-running favorite at home, the offense must be prepared to control the ball and play mistake-free football to avoid giving up extra Red Zone chances. Wolfpack QB Ryan Finley fits that bill, passing for almost 2000 yards on the season so far and not throwing an interception on almost 250 attempts.

A big-time ground game is also needed to bleed the clock and convert in short-yardage. NC State is averaging 4.6 yards per carry in 2017, and starting RB Nyheim Hines has scored 6 touchdowns. Power-running senior Jaylen Samuels has scored an amazing 7 touchdowns on 31 attempts while doubling as a tight end.

NC State has a stout run defense, which is less vulnerable on the road than a ‘D based around a pass rush and ball-hawking. In short, the ‘Pack’s chances are far from a sure thing, but at (+230) the visitors are a solid bet on the money line.

O/U Total Bet on NC State at Notre Dame

Take the over (58) points here all the way. Though the Wolfpack will try to control the ball, they know they have to score at least 25-35 points to have a realistic shot. It’s hard to imagine Notre Dame not cranking up the tempo if they’re rolling, and hard to imagine Finley not pouring it on if the visitors are up early.

Unfortunately, the casino won’t let you wager on all 3 markets at once as a parlay! But pick out your favorite style of bet and tune-in early for a sequel to the Hurricane Bowl.

Kurt BoyerThis article was written by Kurt Boyer

A freelance sportswriter from Missouri, Kurt has covered court, gridiron, rink and ring for 10+ years. He muses about High School football on social media as The Gridiron Geek.


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