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Lions vs. Patriots Betting Lines – NFL Week 12 Preview

Start Time: Sunday, November 23rd 2014 at 1:00pm ET
Location: Gillette Stadium in Foxborough
Station: FOX

The New England Patriots 8-2 (6-4 ATS) have now won six games in a row and they’re the hottest team in the NFL. The Detroit Lions 7-3 (5-5 ATS) have been winning close games most of the season, but they lost on the road last week against the Cardinals (14-6).

Detroit still leads the NFC North, but the Packers are extremely close to taking the lead in the division. New England has a large lead in the AFC East and it looks like they have the division locked up already. It’d take a miracle for the Dolphins or Bills to pass NE.

Latest Point Spread & Over/Under in Lions vs. Patriots

Bet on the Lions vs. Patriots at Bovada Sportsbook ($250 Bonus Today).

I’m a little surprised that this point spread is a TD in favor of the Patriots, but it does make sense. The Lions offense has been brutal as of late and the Patriots are on an incredible run. The over/under seems a little high as well and I expect it to drop before kick-off.

DET @ NE Stats Pack

Detroit has the best defense in the NFL, but the offense has been struggling beyond belief at this point. The Patriots offense is now amongst the best in the league, but this will be a great test. New England’s defense will also need to step up at Foxborough.

Lions vs. Patriots Point Spread Betting Analysis

The Patriots haven’t just been running through weak teams during their current winning streak. New England has wins over Chicago, Denver and Indianapolis in their last three games. Things won’t get any easier this week against the Lions stingy defense.

New England is averaging 264.9 PYPG (9th) and 115.5 RYPG (12th), but they’ve been scoring TD’s on most drives lately. New England only has 8 turnovers on offense, which is tied for the best mark in the NFL, which is surprising based on the Patriots early struggles.

Detroit’s defense ranks in the top 5 in passing defense (221.5 PYPG – 5th) and rushing defense (68.8 RYPG – 1st). They’ve only forced 16 turnovers (14th), but that hasn’t been a problem because the defense has held opponents to a league-best 15.6 PPG.

I don’t expect the Patriots to put up 40+ points like they have the last three games. Detroit’s defense is just too good. In fact, the most points that the Lions have allowed in a game is 24 (Panthers) and they’ve only allowed 20+ points on three occasions.

The bigger question for the Lions is whether they can score enough points or not. Detroit averages 252.5 PYPG (12th) and 79.8 RYPG (31st). The run game has struggled because the RB’s have been in and out of the line-up all season with injuries up to this point.

Matthew Stafford will have some success against the Patriots pass defense (241.9 PYPG – 17th), but Revis and the Patriots secondary have been stepping up recently. New England allows 109.9 RYPG (14th), but the Lions aren’t a big threat running the football.

Although it’s still early in the week I checked out the weather report and it looks like the weather will be fine. It’ll be windy, which is going to cause problems in the pass game, but the Patriots are used to the weather and that gives them an edge over the Lions.

Lions vs. Patriots Predictions

Detroit and New England haven’t played each other since 2010 and they rarely ever play each other. Rob Gronkowski is playing at an elite level again and has avoided injury plus the WR corps has been playing great during the winning streak for Tom Brady.

I thought the Patriots would lose on the road to the Colts, but they dominated the entire game. Detroit’s offense hasn’t been able to score more than 24 points since their week 1 explosion against the Giants. I’ll side with the hot team at home to cover the spread.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting. Follow Scott on Twitter


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