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Lions vs. Packers Betting Lines – NFL Week 17

Detroit Lions vs. Green Bay Packers Preview

Start Time: Sunday, December 28th 2014 at 4:30pm ET
Stadium: Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wisconsin
Station: FOX

The Detroit Lions 11-4 (7-8 ATS) and Green Bay Packers 11-4 (8-6-1 ATS) will battle it out in the final week of the regular season to determine who wins the NFC North. Both teams won last week, as the Lions beat the Bears and the Packers beat the Buccaneers.

Aaron Rodgers is a bit banged up, but he’s probable to start at QB and I can’t imagine him not suiting up. Winning the division is big, but both teams are already in the playoffs, so this isn’t a do or die game. However, both teams want to win the NFC North badly.

Lions vs. Packers Point Spread & Over/Under Odds

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I have no idea what the odds makers were thinking when they opened this line up at –7.5 points in favor of GB. I’ve already jumped on this line, as I can’t see it staying above 7 points all week. The over/under seems a bit high, but I won’t be betting on the under.

DET @ GB Stats at a Glance

Green Bay has the much better offense, but you have to consider the fact that the Lions defense has been unreal this season. It was only a couple weeks ago that the Bills shutdown the Packers and I’m sure Detroit will be watching lots of video from that game.

Why I’m Betting on Detroit to Cover ATS

The Lions are a pass-first offense, but they may want to run the football more on Sunday. The Lions average 255.2 PYPG (11th) and 87.4 RYPG (27th). However, now that Reggie Bush is healthy again the Lions have two RB’s that can beat you with speed or power.

Joique Bell has been running effectively and he’s a powerful RB that can wear down the Packers front seven. Bush isn’t going to get many touches, but he can beat teams with speed to the outside. Detroit would be smart to try and run early on this defense.

Green Bay’s defense is allowing 228.1 PYPG (10th) and 120.5 RYPG (22nd). In order to beat GB you need to run the football effectively because they rarely get burned in the pass game. In the first game between these two teams the Lions were able to run it well.

Detroit won the first H2H game this season (17-9), but the Packers were playing poorly at the time. Matthew Stafford only had 246 passing yards, 0 TD’s and 2 INT’s, but the Lions offense combined for 115 rushing yards and 1 TD by none other than Bush.

The Packers game plan should be simple and that’s to score as many points as possible because the Lions aren’t going to win in a shootout. Green Bay averages 269.1 PYPG (7th) and 117.7 RYPG (11th) on offense and can explode against anyone at anytime.

When you have Rodgers, Eddie Lacy, Jordy Nelson and Randall Cobb scoring points isn’t usually a problem. However, the Lions are only allowing 232.1 PYPG (12th) and 63.8 RYPG (1st). I expect Lacy to be shutdown, which means Rodgers will have to play great.

Lions vs. Packers Week 17 Predictions

Surprisingly, the Packers are 15-3 in the H2H series against the Lions in recent years, but the Lions have won the last two games. If the point spread was more reasonable I’d consider the Packers at Lambeau, but there is no way this should be over a TD.

The Lions should know what they have to do and that’s run the football. Bush and Bell need to combine for 100+ rushing yards and that isn’t asking too much. That’ll eat up the clock and won’t give Rodgers and the GB offense enough time to operate.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting. Follow Scott on Twitter


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