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Lions vs. Eagles Over/Under

What: Detroit Lions vs. Philadelphia Eagles – 2012 NFL Week 6
When: 1:00pm EST. Sunday, October 14th 2012
Where: Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

The Philadelphia Eagles 3-2 (2-3 ATS) host the struggling Detroit Lions 1-3 (0-4 ATS) in week 6. The Lions had a week 5 bye and it couldn’t have come at a better time, as they’ve now lost their last three games against the 49ers, Titans and Vikings.

Latest Lions vs. Eagles Total Odds (Over/Under)

The Lions vs. Eagles over/under opened at 48.5 points last Sunday. The total is now 47.5 points at BetOnline and that’s despite most of the action coming in on the over so far this week. If you like the under, Bovada is still at 48, but I’d encourage bettors to get their wagers in asap.

Teams
BetOnline.com: US Friendly
Bovada.lv: US Friendly
Spread
Money Line
O/U
Spread
Money Line
O/U
Detroit Lions
Philadelphia Eagles
+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-105)
+160
-180
o47.5 (-110)
u47.5 (-110)
+4 (-120)
-4 (+100)
+160
-180
o48 (-110)
u48 (-110)

Detroit Lions vs. Philadelphia Eagles Over/Under Analysis

I already bet the under 47.5 points in the Lions vs. Eagles match-up for multiple reasons that I’ll explain. The Lions have been in disarray the past few weeks and the bye week isn’t likely to change much because this team remains undisciplined.

The Lions still have one of the best passing offenses in the NFL (322 PYPG – 2nd), but they rank 24th running the ball (90.2 RYPG) and that has translated into scoring 25 PPG on average (12th). Detroit also ranks 17th in giveaways per game this season.

Defensively the Lions rank 10th against the pass (213 PYPG) and 13th against the run (102.8 RYPG), but they’ve allowed 28.5 PPG (26th) and that hasn’t been cutting it. I expect the Lions to stop taking silly penalties and keep the Eagles limited after their bye.

The Detroit Lions will also have an easier time against the Eagles offense, which has ranked poorly. The Eagles rank 13th in passing yards (251.2 PYPG) and 10th in rushing yards (132.2 RYPG), but they’ve only averaged 16 PPG (31st), which is almost dead last in the NFL.

Part of that is because the Eagles have been turning over the football too much. Last week Vick didn’t throw any interceptions, but he ended up fumbling the football 3 times, losing 2 of them. The Lions rank 31st with only 0.8 takeaways per game though.

Neither team has any major injury concerns heading into this game. The Eagles have an over/under record of 1-4 while the Lions are 2-1-1. The Eagles have played well defensively and rank 10th in points allowed (19.8 PPG) as well.

Lions vs. Eagles Over/Under Pick

Bet Under 48 (-110) @ Bovada.lv

The Philadelphia Eagles offense has had a tough time scoring points, and that’s unlikely to change against Detroit. The Lions haven’t done that well stopping the opposition from scoring, but they should be improved off their bye week.

Scoring on the Eagles defense hasn’t been easy this season and the Lions have looked just ‘ok’ on offense. Based on the current Lions vs. Eagles over/under of 47.5 points, none of the Eagles games would have gone over, while two of the Lions’ games would have.

I think the game total is a few points too high, and I recommend the under of 48 (-110) at Bovada.lv. The total is most likely going to continue to drop as we get closer to game time.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting. Follow Scott on Twitter


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