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Jaguars vs. Titans Week 8 TNF Picks and Betting Lines

Jaguars vs. Titans Week 8 PicksWhen: Thursday, October 27th 2016 at 8:25 PM ET
Where: Nissan Stadium in Nashville, Tennessee
Watch: NFL Network

The Jacksonville Jaguars (2-4) travel to Nashville to play the Tennessee Titans (3-4) on Thursday Night Football (TNF) in NFL week 8 action. Definitely not the most exciting match-up, but there’s still value to be had in the betting markets, especially in the over/under market.

Both teams have had slow starts to the season, but they’re right in the thick of things in the AFC South, which has been brutal. The Texans (4-3) lead the division, but it remains wide open. A win would go a long way towards helping both of these teams build up some momentum.

Jaguars at Titans money line, point spread and over/under odds

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The point spread opened at Tennessee –3, but has been bet up to –3.5 already at most shops. If you still see –3 it’ll be juiced up. Early action has come in on the Titans, but I expect the public to bet the Jaguars if they’re getting +3.5 points on Thursday. The action on the over/under has been split.

Injuries

It’s hard to believe how healthy the Titans are at this point in the season. They didn’t have a single limited participant at practice today. Jacksonville on the other hand are banged up. Jared Odrick, Neal Sterling, Kelvin Beachum and Julius Thomas are all questionable at the time of publishing.

Stats

What’s wrong with the Jaguars offense? Blake Bortles has thrown 9 TDs and 9 INTs, while posting a 76.4 QB rating. Marcus Mariota has struggled, but he has still thrown 12 TDs compared to 6 INTs. The good news for the Titans is that DeMarco Murray has been everything the team had hoped.

Jaguars vs. Titans over/under predictions

The last time these teams met they exploded for 81 points (Titans won 42-39).However, the four previous H2H games all went under and the teams didn’t combine for more than 36 points in a single game.

This game will come down to 3rd down conversions. The Titans convert 46.24% (4th) of their 3rd downs, while the Jaguars convert 27.63% (32nd). Murray has helped keep the chains moving in Tennessee and that’s what they’ll look to do this week. The Titans aren’t a high-scoring team.

Jasonville can’t stop the run, but they’re solid against the pass. Murray will have another 100+ rushing yards and the Titans will grind out the clock with the run. If the game plays out how I expect it will, this game will go under 43.5 points. In fact, the Jags and Titans won’t combine for 40 points.

Jaguars vs. Titans ATS predictions

I’m betting on the Titans –3 (-125) and paying up the juice. I don’t even think the –3 (-125) will be around much longer, so jump on this line now. The sharps bet the Titans when the line opened at a FG and we’re not going to get a better line. The home team has won the last four games in the H2H series.

The Titans are 0-2 in the division and need this win badly at home. Andrew Luck just shredded the Titans in Tennessee last week and the Colts won 34-26, while the Jags just lost to Oakland (33-16). The Jags have only scored 18+ points twice this season and have definitely underachieved.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting. Follow Scott on Twitter


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