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Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions Over/Under Betting Tips

Green Bay Packers(9–6) @ Detroit Lions(9–6)

  • Where: Ford Field. Detroit, Michigan
  • When: January 1, 2017 8:30 pm EST
  • Spread: Packers -3.5 (-105) vs. Lions +3.5 (-115)
  • Moneyline: Packers (-179) vs. Lions (+150)
  • Over / Under: Over 49.5 (-110) vs. Under 49.5 (-110)

In Week 17, there are 13 teams playing for 12 playoff spots. Of those 12 spots, 10 are completely locked down: We know for certain 10 of the 12 teams that will be continuing into the postseason. The two spots that have yet to be locked down are the NFC North division champion and the second NFC Wild Card.

Three teams are currently playing for these two spots, and luckily, we get to watch two of those three go head-to-head for the last Sunday Night Football game of the 2016/17 regular season. It’s the Green Bay Packers taking on the Detroit Lions.

Playoffs-wise, it’s pretty simple. If the Redskins lose, they’re out; the winner of Packers/Lions gets the #3 seed, and the loser gets the #6 seed. (Assuming that the Packers/Lions game does not end in a tie.) If the Redskins beat the Giants in the afternoon, then the Packers and Lions players will be well aware at game time that the loser’s season is over, and the winner stays alive.

It doesn’t get much better than this, and the NFL knows it: There’s a reason that they flexed the Packers and the Lions up to the evening game on New Year’s Day. I believe this will be a highly enjoyable game and a shootout, and advise gamblers to bet the over 49.5 points at the Bovada Sportsbook.

Green Bay Packers hot as a pistol

GB at DET Week 17 O/U OddsThe Green Bay Packers are the exact kind of team that no one wants to play in the playoffs. After a historically bad month of November, in which the Packers gave up 133 points over four straight losses, the Packers turned it around and ripped off a 5-game win streak.

The Packers’ Super Bowl odds have been steadily dropping, and after holding at +1600 at the Bovada sportsbook for several weeks, they are now down to 11-to-1. After Week 13 the Packers were at +325 to win the NFC North; now they’re getting even odds or worse.

The simple fact of the matter is the Packers’ Aaron Rodgers is likely to be remembered as one of the best quarterbacks ever to play the game, and he’s currently playing dominant football. Last week he threw for four touchdowns and ran for one, and reported after the game that he was “in a different headspace;” that he had a “heightened awareness and focus;” that he was “seeing things better and playing slower in [his] mind.”

When a savant-level offensive mind like Rodgers talks like this, and furthermore when he has the ability to create personnel packages that mix and match five healthy receivers (two of which are top 5 in touchdowns across the NFL), two healthy tight ends, and now two fullbacks and three legitimate running backs — when all this is the case, as it is heading into this everything-on-the-line matchup, in my opinion, you could feel good betting on Aaron Rodgers to score above 49.5 points on his own.

Detroit Lions implosion weeks in the making

I’ve been calling the Lions fraudulent for weeks and weeks now, and finally the gambling public has come round to the same opinion.

Last week on Monday Night Football against the Dallas Cowboys, the Lions were finally exposed, blowing a 7-point lead to end up losing the game by 21, allowing Dallas four unanswered touchdowns. With a rookie center, a rookie left tackle, and a rookie running back, the Lions just don’t have enough balance on offense to control the clock, despite their potent passing attack.

Just ask the gambling public: Less than two weeks ago the Lions were getting 16-to-1 Super Bowl odds on the Bovada sportsbook. Now? 50-to-1.

Packers at Lions week 17 predictions

I recommend betting a unit on over 49.5 points (-110) at the Bovada Sportsbook.

As I explain above, the Packers have one of the most potent offenses of any team in the league heading into the playoffs, and are completely healthy on offense. There’s little doubt that Aaron Rodgers will shred the leaky Lions pass defense (ranked 16th in yards allowed and 26th in touchdowns allowed), and that the Packers will put up at least 28 points on offense – perhaps up to 40 or more.

But will the Lions be able to tack on the additional 21+ points to get up past the 49.5-point total score? I’d say absolutely yes. The Lions have a potent passing attack, and the Packers have given up an average of 26 points over the last two games (most of them in garbage time). With another cornerback injury last week, the Packers secondary is definitely susceptible to giving up a few touchdowns in this matchup.

In conclusion, this game should be a thrilling, high-octane shootout that the Packers will win on the road.

David HeinenThis article was written by David Heinen

David Heinen is a freelance psychology writer by day, inveterate NFL junkie by night. Born and raised on the Green Bay Packers, David is a die-hard Cheesehead, not to mention a cheese enthusiast in his spare time.


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