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Formula 1: 2015 Chinese Grand Prix betting odds and picks

2015 Chinese Grand Prix Betting Guide

Race start time: Sunday, April 12th 2015 at 2:00pm local time (2:00am EST)
Race track: Shanghai International Circuit in Jiading, Shanghai, China.

2015 F1 Chinese GP fact sheet:

Laps: 56
Track length: 5.451 kilometres (3.387 miles)
Tyre allocation: Soft (yellow) and Medium (white)
DRS Zones: Two – on the approach to Turn 14 and Turn 1
Lap record: 1:32.238 (Michael Schumacher in 2004)
2014 pole: Lewis Hamilton (1:53.860)
Last five winners: Lewis Hamilton (2014), Fernando Alonso (2013), Nico Rosberg (2012), Lewis Hamilton (2011) and Jenson Button (2010).
Friday, April 10th: Practice 1 (10:00am – 11:30am local) and Practice 2 (2:00pm – 3:30pm local)
Saturday, April 11th: Practice 3 (12:00pm – 1:00pm local) and Qualifying (3:00pm – 4:00pm local)
Sunday, April 12th: Parade (12:30pm local) and GP Race (2:00pm local)

THERE’S renewed hope among fans that Mercedes won’t dominate the 2015 F1 season, as Sebastian Vettel (Ferrari) just won the second race of the year – the Malaysian GP. However, it’s still too early to know if Ferrari will compete consistently.

Mercedes dominated the Australian GP, but Vettel and Ferrari utilized a two-stop strategy to win at Sepang. The heat played a big role in Vettel’s success, along with tyre mismanagement by Mercedes, but that’s over and we’re now heading east to China.

Lewis Hamilton (1.70 at CrownBet) is the favourite to win at Shanghai and for good reason.

Hamilton is the most successful driver at Shanghai, as he has won the Chinese GP three times (2008, 2011 and 2014). Hamilton has raced at Shanghai every year since joining Formula 1 in 2007 and he has only missed the podium twice (2007 and 2009).

Shanghai happens to be one of Hamilton’s favourite tracks in Formula 1 as well.

“Shanghai is one of my favourite locations – simply because of the fans,” Hamilton said.

“The circuit itself is a different challenge to Albert Park and Sepang – but it’s one I really enjoy and it suits my driving style quite well.”

The only other driver other than Hamilton to win more than once in the Chinese Grand Prix is Fernando Alonso ($751.00 at Bet365), however, Alonso is unlikely to factor. He finished 12th (+2 laps) at Albert Park and retired at Sepang (laps: 21) this season.

Hamilton’s teammate Nico Rosberg (3.75 at CrownBet) and Sebastian Vettel (5.50 at Bet365) are the top two contenders to dethrone last year’s winner. After last week you can’t count out Ferrari, but Mercedes are the clear favourites.

Ferrari dominated Shanghai when the track first opened in 2004. From 2004 – 2007, Ferrari won three out of four races. They also won in 2013 with Alonso driving. Vettel won the Chinese GP in 2009 (Red Bull – Renault) and will look to win with Ferrari now.

Shanghai is expected to be cold and potentially wet – much different than the conditions in Malaysia.

Rosberg won his first pole and race in the 2012 Chinese GP – his third year with the Silver Arrows.

“It has not been a perfect start to my sixth year with the team and I’m determined to turn that around this weekend. Of course, my teammate will have other ideas – and so will my compatriot in the red car, I’m sure,” said Rosberg.

Rosberg has finished on the podium in both races in 2015 – a 2nd place finish at Albert Park and third place finish at Sepang.

After winning the race in 2012 Rosberg had to retire in 2013 with suspension problems, but he bounced back last year with a second-placed finish behind his teammate. If you’re betting on Mercedes, go with Hamilton over Rosberg in Shanghai.

2015 Chinese Grand Prix winner predictions

The conditions, timely cautions and poor tyre management by Mercedes played into Vettel’s win in Malaysia. Mercedes dominated in Australia and I expect them to get back on top of the podium, as Hamilton will prove why he loves racing at Shanghai.

With the longest straight in F1 and multiple opportunities to pass – we’re in for an exciting race.

In eleven races at Shanghai – the winner has also earned the pole position six times. Qualifying is important, although when the track has been wet we’ve seen some interesting results over the years.

If you wait until after qualifying, you’ll want to target the pole winner, but you’ll obviously get worse odds. Hamilton has dominated the qualifying session in the Chinese GP two years in a row and he has won pole position in the first two races of 2015 too.

2015 Chinese Grand Prix podium predictions

There really isn’t much value in this market. Hamilton (1.18 at CrownBet), Rosberg (1.27 at CrownBet) and Vettel (1.50 at Bet365) are all heavy favorites to finish on the podium and I really can’t make much of a case for any other driver finishing on the podium.

Hamilton, Rosberg and Vettel have finished on the podium in the first two races of 2015 and I don’t expect that to change.

Looking back at past results in the Chinese GP reveals moderate success by Red Bull. Red Bull qualified second and third last year, but they finished off the podium in fourth (Daniel Ricciardo) and fifth place (Vettel).

In 2013 Vettel finished in fourth place, in 2012 Mark Webber finished in fourth place and Vettel finished in fifth place, and in 2011 Vettel finished in second place and Webber finished in third place – all for Red Bull.

However, Red Bull (Ricciardo and Daniil Kvyat) have been off the pace to start the season. Williams appear to be the top contender to finish third in the Constructor standings, but it’s unlikely Valtteri Bottas or Felipe Massa will finish on the podium.

2015 Chinese Grand Prix top six finish predictions

Hamilton, Rosberg, Vettel, Bottas, Massa and Kimi Raikkonen are all paying 1.44 or lower to finish in the top six. I’m willing to take a punt on Ricciardo and the Red Bull team. They’ve had success at Shanghai and this is a great chance to improve on a poor start.

Ricciardo finished fourth place last year – his first year with Red Bull. He also raced in the Chinese GP in 2013 (seventh) and 2012 (17th) with Toro Rosso. He had a top six finish in Australia to start the year, but could only achieve a 10th place finish at Sepang.

2015 Chinese Grand Prix top ten finish predictions

Bovada (US only) are the only bookmaker to have a top 10 finish market open at the time of publishing. I bet Sergio Perez at 3/1, as I can’t pass up that value. There’s a good chance that Perez (Force India) will end up within the top 10.

Perez finished in 10th place in Australia and 13th place in Malaysia. He also finished on the lead lap in 10th place in last year’s Chinese GP. He just missed a top 10 finish in 2012 and 2011, as he ended up finishing in 11th place both years.

Odds to win the F1 Chinese GP in 2015

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting. Follow Scott on Twitter


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