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EPL Matchweek 17 – Everton vs. Liverpool Betting Tips

Liverpool Reds(10-4-2) @ Everton Toffees(6-5-5)

  • Where: Goodison Park. Liverpool, England
  • When: December 19, 2016 3:00 pm EST
  • Spread: Liverpool 19/20 / Everton 16/5 / Draw 13/4
  • Moneyline: Liverpool -110 / Everton +285 / Draw +260
  • Over / Under: Over 2.5 goals 8/11 vs. Under 2.5 goals 43/40

The 227th edition of the Merseyside derby welcomes a new manager to the fold as Ronald Koeman gets his first taste of the heated rivalry Monday when Everton host Liverpool at Goodison Park.

Both Everton (6-5-5) and Liverpool (10-4-2) have waged this war at the highest levels of England football since the 1962-63 season, making it the longest active top-flight derby in the country. But it has been a one-sided affair of late, as the Reds have enjoyed bragging rights for almost all of this decade thanks to a 12-match unbeaten streak (5-7-0) in all competitions since a 2-0 defeat on Oct. 17, 2010.

In fact, that is Everton’s only win in the last 19 Premier League meetings between the teams (1-9-9). It was more of the same last season, as a 1-1 draw at Goodison Park last season marked the end of Brendan Rodgers’ time at Liverpool. By the time the return encounter took place at Anfield, Jurgen Klopp had installed his gegenpressing system on the red side of the city, and Liverpool ran riot in a 4-0 thrashing in which they outshot Everton by a staggering 37-3 margin, including 13-0 in shots on goal.

That heavy defeat was a contributing factor in Roberto Martinez’s departure that paved the way for Koeman to pick up the pieces after his arrival from Southampton. But after a fast start, the Toffees have sputtered with just two wins in their last 11 league matches (2-4-5). Yet that second win came at a most opportune time Wednesday when Everton stunned Arsenal 2-1, getting goals from defenders Seamus Coleman and Ashley Williams on either side of halftime.

Williams headed home the match-winner on 86 minutes off a Ross Barkley corner, and the midfielder appears to be back in Koeman’s good graces after not playing against Manchester United and coming off the bench versus Watford last weekend.

Liverpool climbed into second ahead of Arsenal on goals scored with that result and a solid 3-0 win at new boys Middlesbrough. Adam Lallana had a brace around a second-half goal by Divock Origi as Liverpool have taken points in five of their last six road matches (4-1-1).

In-form Origi tries to make it a six-pack

Everton v Liverpool EPLThe Belgium international has been pressed into a starter’s role with the injury to Philippe Coutinho and has responded marvelously with a goal in his last five games in all club competitions. With Everton missing the suspended Phil Jagielka for this match, taking Origi at 11/10 odds anytime goal-scoring odds or 4/1 first/last at bet365 is the bet.

An underrated play here could be for Liverpool midfielder James Milner to score a goal. The England international is the penalty-taker for the Reds and has converted a league-best five from the spot in as many attempts. Everton have conceded four penalties, which is joint third-highest in the Premier League, and Milner’s 15/4 anytime goal-scoring odds as well as 12/1 first or last make him an intriguing potential selection.

Lukaku a thorn in Liverpool’s side

Origi’s compatriot Romelu Lukaku has bagged nine of Everton’s 21 goals in league play this season, and the striker has given Liverpool fits at Goodison Park with four goals in six lifetime derby matches there. Taking a flier at 7/5 anytime goal-scoring odds is a good play, and 5/1 first/last goal odds also could be in play given Liverpool have both a creaky defence and issues at goalkeeper whether it’s Loris Karius or Simon Mingolet between the sticks.

Can Liverpool finally break through at Goodison?

While Liverpool are unbeaten in their last 12 matches overall versus Everton, they are winless in their last five trips down the block (0-4-1). The last two encounters have been defensive affairs with a scoreless draw preceding last season’s 1-1 stalemate. But given Liverpool’s ability to score goals in bunches — they’ve had at least two in seven of their last eight games in all competitions — as well as issues with Everton’s backline, the smart play here is taking the OVER of 2.5 goals at 8/11 odds as well as Liverpool to get that long-sought Merseyside road victory at 19/20 odds from Bet365.

Chris AltrudaThis article was written by Chris Altruda

Chris Altruda has spent more than two decades as a sportswriter, first for ESPN SportsTicker in Jersey City, New Jersey, where he rose to the level of college sports coordinator and was NCAA Men's Basketball Columnist. From there, he moved onto The Associated Press, where Chris started as an editorial assistant in their MegaSports division in the AP's headquarters in New York City before taking on the role of Scores Manager. He most recently served as an editor for nearly 11 years for STATS' editorial department based in Northbrook, Illinois, writing game previews for all US professional and major college sports as well as the English Premier League and international soccer. Currently a freelancer, Chris is still working the international soccer beat and other assorted projects. A native New Yorker and graduate of Marquette University who still refers to them as the Warriors, Chris is now holding out hope the Jets will reach a Super Bowl in his lifetime since the Cubs proved miracles are possible by winning the 2016 World Series. Chris can be found on Twitter at @AlTruda73


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