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English Premier League Betting Preview: Bournemouth vs CPFC

Crystal Palace(2-1-3) @ AFC Bournemouth(3-1-2)

  • Where: Vitality Stadium (Dean Court). Bournemouth, England
  • When: October 1, 2018 3:00 pm EST
  • Spread: Bournemouth (-0.5) vs CPFC (+0.5)
  • Moneyline: Bournemouth (+130) CPFC (+240) Draw (+210)
  • Over / Under: Over 2.5 (-125) vs Under 2.5 (+100)

It is nice that the Premier League tosses a reliably-timed bone to its viewing audiences in North and South America.

Not to say that there are not a lot of us here in the United States who are obsessed with waking up in the morning, or – ahem – waiting up all night for the EPL’s broadcasts on the NBC network.

But, as long as there are Monday matches, it is good to not have the Premier League taking place while we are rushing to work in the morning. The EPL’s algorithm has given us a Monday fixture between entertaining clubs AFC Bournemouth and visiting Crystal Palace that begins at 3 o’clock on the east coast.

There might be some groggy people in Egypt, but from where I am, that’s a fantastic kickoff. Bournemouth is favored at (+130) on the 3-way moneyline and by (-½) of a goal at most Vegas sportsbooks. The O/U (total goals) line for Vitality Stadium stands at consensus (2 ½) and peeking higher at a few sites.

The squads have 5 victories among them, and have certainly not looked anything but alive and cracking in late summer.

Pick Upsets, Not Cherries

The Cherries have experienced an up and down season full of controversial fouls and bounce-back results.

For a low point, try last Sunday’s bid at Turf Moor, where Bournemouth failed on 8 out of 8 corners and lost 4-0 in spite of only 5 on-target shots against keeper Asmir Begović.

On Tuesday in the Football League Cup, the squad got an emotional lift as Callum Wilson scored the decisive injury-time goal over Blackburn. On September 15th, Cherries routed Leicester City with the first 4 goals unanswered.

Matchday 6 did not come with any more tallies for Crystal Palace, but the Eagles earned a point with a 0-0 draw against Newcastle. Keeping the clean sheet was Welsh GK Wayne Hennessey, who has not allowed a tally since a 2-0 loss to Southampton on September 1st.

Hennessey is aided by a zonal defense that is tricky for many opponents to prepare for. Mamadou Sakho adds a bright quality on the backline. CPFC has won only 2 matches while allowing just 6 goals.

Suppose Bournemouth does manage to break through the rough Crystal Palace defenders and get a few chances. Despite Wilson’s positive chemistry with fellow 4-4-2 forward Joshua King, the opportunities most likely will not come easy. Cherries will be picking…corners to battle through to try to earn more corners. Goals can still happen, but then what of the seemingly-broken host backline?

Bournemouth betting: Can’t play dirty and get away clean

Bournemouth hasn’t kept a clean sheet since Matchday 1, a 2-0 win over marginal Cardiff City which an early Ryan Fraser mark helped keep the team defense-conscious. They only tried 4 on-target shots in that win, and 2 weeks later were in a sloppy pitched clash and 2-2 draw with Everton.

It can be disputed that “Cherries” and “defending” (and goalkeeping) only clung in conjunction for a brief period earlier in September, when the squad held solid against Chelsea for 71 minutes before overcoming a 46-54% possession disadvantage in the Leicester City conquest.

There are several Asian Handicap goal spreads available for this match. A word about Asian Handicaps – I am not overly fond of them, and few career sports gamblers have created successful businesses with Asian Handicap goal-spread predictions as the focus.

Still, if you like the goal spread at your preferred betting site (Asian Handicap or not), go ahead and make your pick and place the bet. Always bet with assurance if you have done your homework.

Click here to wager on the English Premier League at Bovada Sportsbook.

Prediction on the Moneyline

For my pick in Monday’s Bournemouth-CPFC fixture, I am going with a “lay” on Bournemouth or (at conventional American books) a moneyline draw bet at (+225).

There is the potential these squads can match each other’s rushes and tallies in the 2nd half, and they have drawn 8 of their last 10 meetings – a Vegas-style “trend” line that even I will stop and pay attention to.

Kurt BoyerThis article was written by Kurt Boyer

A freelance sportswriter from Missouri, Kurt has covered court, gridiron, rink and ring for 10+ years. He muses about High School football on social media as The Gridiron Geek.


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