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Eagles vs. Seahawks Week 11 Over/Under Predictions

Eagles vs. Seahawks Week 11 PicksWhen: Sunday, November 20th 2016 at 4:25 PM ET
Where: CenturyLink Field in Seattle, Washington
Watch: CBS

The Seattle Seahawks (6-2-1) have won two in a row against AFC East opponents – defeating the Bills (31-25) and Patriots (31-24) — and are comfortably in first place in the NFC West.

The Philadelphia Eagles (5-4) may be last place in the NFC East, but they’re still in the wild card hunt, as nearly the entire conference is struggling this season.

NFL week 11 odds: Eagles at Seahawks ML, O/U and point spread

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It’s early in the week (Monday night), but almost all of the early bets have been on the Seahawks to cover ATS and on U44.5 points. It that keeps up, the Seahawks spread could easily increase a ½ or full point.

Stats pack

Oddly enough, the Eagles have the edge on paper, but that’s why the game is played on the field. Philly boast one of the NFL’s best defensive units and they rank in the top 10 in several offensive categories.

Ryan Matthews is out of the doghouse after rushing for 109 yards and 2 TDs against Atlanta. He’s tied in 7th place in the league with 7 rushing TDs, but he only has 396 rushing yards this season. Carson Wentz is performing well as a rookie – completing 65% of his passes for 2121 yards, 9 TDs and 5 INTs.

Seattle’s offense has been a complete mess. Russell Wilson has been limping most of the season, but he’s finally getting close to 100%. The Seahawks leading rusher Christine Michael has been downgraded to RB3. It looks like C.J. Prosise and Thomas Rawls will get most of the touches going forward.

Eagles vs. Seahawks game total picks (O/U)

In the over/under market, you can’t pass up U44.5 points on Sunday in PHI at SEA. Both teams feature a top 10 defense and neither team has been scoring a lot of points. We can’t look at the H2H trends, as the Seahawks and Eagles have only played against each other twice since 2011.

Philadelphia love pounding the football and eating the clock. The Eagles average 33:04 time of possession (TOP), which ranks 1st in the NFL. They’ll attempt to utilize Matthews and Darren Sproles often. I expect the Seahawks to eventually stack the box and force the rookie QB to beat them.

Eagles vs. Seahawks point spread picks (ATS)

I expect the public to be all over the Seahawks after defeating the Patriots on primetime in week 10, but the point spread value is on the Eagles +6 (-110). This will be a closely fought defensive battle and Philly will cover ATS as long as Wentz can avoid throwing costly interceptions.

Seattle are 4-0 at home and will win, but the point spread is a little high. If Matthews runs like he just did against the Falcons he’ll have another big game. He was running with power and the Falcons had trouble wrapping him up. The Eagles will only need 14+ points to keep this game within the +6 spread.

I’d stick with the point spread in this match-up and avoid the money line. Seattle are undefeated at home and while the Eagles ML odds are tempting, I’ll pass. Out of the Seahawks four home games, they’ve only won one of those games by a TD or more, so it’s not like they’re dominating teams at CenturyLink.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting. Follow Scott on Twitter


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