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Cowboys vs. Bears Betting Lines – NFL Week 14 TNF

Dallas Cowboys vs. Chicago Bears Week 14 Preview

When: Thursday, December 4th 2014 at 8:30pm ET
Where: Soldiers Field in Chicago, Illinois
Watch: NFL Network

The Dallas Cowboys 8-4 (6-6 ATS) lost to Philly on Thanksgiving Day and now need to make up some ground in the NFC East if they want to win the division. They’re on the road this week to take on the struggling Chicago Bears 5-7 (5-7 ATS) at Soldiers Field.

I wouldn’t call this a must-win game for Dallas, as they’re still in good shape in the NFC. However, Seattle and Detroit are both at 8-4, so the wild card situation is still murky. Chicago was dominated by the Lions on Thanksgiving and looked terrible after a fast start.

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I wouldn’t count on this point spread dropping to –3 for Dallas and I doubt the line will increase much either. The total has been set at 51 points and I expect that to increase by 1-2 points before kick-off, as both of these teams are likely to score plenty of points.

DAL @ CHI Stats Pack

On paper it’s clear that the Cowboys are the better team on both sides of the football. The Bears have had trouble scoring as of late and their defense hasn’t been able to stop anyone with consistency. Dallas has also been falling back to earth in the last few weeks.

Why I’m Betting on the Bears to Cover ATS

Nearly everyone will be on the Cowboys to win and cover against the Bears at Soldiers Field, but I’m going with the contrarian play in this one and betting on Chicago. One reason why a lot of people like Dallas is because they have an incredible 5-0 away record.

Dallas comes into this game averaging 231.9 PYPG (17th) and 145.3 RYPG (2nd). DeMarco Murray still leads the NFL in rushing yards (1427), but when he doesn’t rush for 100+ yards Dallas has struggled to win and the Bears have the front seven to limit Murray.

Chicago allows 2707. PYPG (30th), but only 105.5 RYPG (11th). Their game plan should revolve around stacking the box and keeping Murray in check. If Murray runs wild it opens up the pass game and the Bears secondary won’t hold up against Dallas all game.

I expect the Bears to have little trouble moving the football in this match-up either. The Cowboys are allowing opposing teams to gain 244.5 PYPG (20th) and 119.6 RYPG (22nd). Based on those stats Dallas is likely to regress and start allowing more points.

Jay Cutler has to be on his game in this match-up at home and he can’t afford to turn the football over. The Bears are averaging 246.9 PYPG (14th) and 93.2 RYPG (26th). Matt Forte has struggled on the ground, but has been a big contributor in the pass game.

Brandon Marshall and Alshon Jeffrey both have to step up as well and play with more consistency. Both WR’s have a ton of talent, but they’ve had too many poor outings this season. If Chicago wants to have any chance at the playoffs they need to start winning.

Cowboys vs. Bears Picks

I’m sticking with the point spread rather than the money line since we’re getting +3.5 points. I still may sprinkle a bit on the ML on Thursday, but I’ll wait it out. These two teams have played each other the last two years and the Bears have won both games.

Marshall had 100+ receiving yards in each of the two wins against the Cowboys and he has to get going. This game is on primetime and both teams will want to make a good impression after being embarrassed last week, but I’m siding with the home underdog.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting. Follow Scott on Twitter


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