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Colts vs. Chargers Money Line

Indianapolis Colts vs. San Diego Chargers Preview

Kick-Off: Monday, October 14th 2013 at 8:40pm ET
Location: Qualcomm Stadium in SD, California
Watch: Live on ESPN

The San Diego Chargers (2-3) are now 0-3 in conference match-ups this season after losing to Oakland last week (27-17). San Diego has also lost to the Titans (20-17) on the road and the Texans at home. The team needs to start winning within the AFC.

The Indianapolis Colts (4-1) are on a 3-game winning streak with wins against the 49ers (27-7), Jaguars (37-3) and Seahawks (34-28), so the team is playing like a playoff contender right now. Indy is a perfect 2-0 on the road already and will look to continue their run.

Latest Chargers vs. Colts ML Odds

The Colts are small –1.5 point favorites in this game, but we’re only going to discuss the money line. I was surprised that the juice is so low on the ML in this match-up based on the way the Colts are playing. The defense has been playing extremely well as of late.

Colts Looking to Win Fourth Game in a Row

Playing on the road is never easy, but the Colts are improving each week and have already shown us that they can get it done when they play away from home. Indianapolis is playing well on both sides of the football right now and I expect them to continue to win.

Indianapolis is averaging 27.8 PPG (6th) on offense and allowing 15.8 PPG (5th) on defense. Andrew Luck isn’t playing exceptional, but he has a QBR of 94.1 plus he has thrown for 1144 passing yards, 7 TD’s and 2 INT’s. He has protected the football very well.

Most expected the Colts passing game to be doing better (220.4 PYPG – 24th), but it has been the run game (142 RYPG – 4th) that has been doing most of the work. Four players (Richardson, Bradshaw, Luck & Brown) have combined for 629 rushing yards and 7 TD’s.

The Chargers defense hasn’t been able to stop anything this season and the Colts should be able to beat them through the air and on the ground. San Diego has allowed an average of 25.8 PPG (19th), 288.8 PYPG (27th) and 117.2 RYPG (24th) defensively this year.

Offensively the Chargers will rely on Phillip Rivers who has thrown for 1610 passing yards, 13 TD’s and 5 INT’s. San Diego averages 311.2 PYPG (5th) and 91.2 RYPG (21st). The main reason I like the Colts to win is because they have a strong secondary this season.

Indy is only giving up 201.4 PYPG (6th) through the air this season and if they can keep Rivers to around 200 passing yards then they should easily win this match-up. The problem on defense for the Colts has been trying to stop the run (129 RYPG – 30th).

The Colts have one of the best turnover margins per game in the NFL as well (+1.2 – 4th). San Diego is starting to struggle with TO’s again and they have a TO margin per game of –1.6 (28th). That isn’t good news against a Colts team that forces a lot of turnovers.

One area where Indy needs to improve is their o-line, as they’ve fell asleep on some plays this season and Andrew Luck has already been sacked 15 times. San Diego has 13 sacks on the season and you can bet they’re going to try and sell out and rush Luck all game.

Colts vs. Chargers Predictions

You could bet the Colts on the spread at –1.5 (-110) if you want to lower the juice, but I’m just going with the money line in this one just in case the game is decided by 1 point. I think this will be close, but I trust the Colts defense to get more stops than San Diego.

Before I leave you for the weekend (Thanksgiving in Canada) I’ll leave you with a couple trends. The Colts are 8-0 ATS against teams with a losing record (4-0 ATS on the road). The Colts are also 8-1 ATS on Monday Night Football. Take Indy to win and move to 5-1.

San Diego usually does well after losing the game before (5-0 ATS after a SU loss), but they struggle against teams with a winning record (0-6 ATS against teams with a winning record at home). This will be a great game and I doubt the Colts win by more than 7.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting. Follow Scott on Twitter


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