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Colts vs. Bears Betting Lines

What: Indianapolis Colts vs. Chicago Bears: NFL Week 1 Football
When: 1:00 pm EST. Sunday, September 9th, 2012
Where: Soldier Field

The new-look Indianapolis Colts travel to Soldier Field to take on the Chicago Bears in 2012 NFL week 1 action. The Colts will debut their new franchise QB Andrew Luck while the Bears will be implementing new WR Brandon Marshall and RB Michael Bush. Although handicappers have predicted this to be one of the more lopsided games of week 1, this is a game that everyone will be watching.

Latest Indianapolis Colts vs. Chicago Bears Betting Lines

The Colts vs. Bears point spread opened with the Bears favored by 9.5 points, and the lines have yet to see any significant movement. At the time this article is being written (Thursday @ 7:30 am EST), the Bears are still favored by -9.5 (-110). For the latest odds visit BetOnline.com.

The Colts vs. Bears over/under opened at 41.5 points, but it has been bet up to 43.5 at most of the major books. I think we could stabilize around this number, and possibly see a drop of 1/2 – 1 point as we get closer to game time. We’ll keep an eye on it and update this post if anything significant changes.

Teams
BetOnline.com
US Friendly
Bovada.lv
US Friendly
Spread
Money Line
O/U
Spread
Money Line
O/U
Indianapolis Colts
Chicago Bears
+9.5 (-110)
-9.5 (-110)
+405
-500
o43.5 (-110)
u43.5 (-110)
+9.5 (-110)
-9.5 (-110)
-
-
o43.5 (-110)
u43.5 (-110)

Indianapolis Colts

The Peyton Manning-less Indianapolis Colts (2-14) were horrendous last season. The Colts were (6-10 ATS) a great team to fade in the point spread betting markets. This year the Colts have done a lot to rebuild the team, and should be more competitive on the field. With a rookie QB, how competitive they’ll be remains to be seen.

QB Andrew Luck has looked good in preseason and should be the franchise QB the Colts need. Reggie Wayne should provide a veteran target for Luck while younger players like Austin Collie and Coby Fleener should put up respectable numbers.

IND ranked 9th against the run (118.6 RYPG) last season, but the secondary struggled to stop teams. On offense the Colts ranked at the bottom of the league in passing (176.2 – 27th), rushing (93.8 – 26th) and points scored per game (14.3 – 28th). Of course the second-coming of Peyton Manning is going to change all that right?

Not so fast. This is week one of Andrew Luck’s career. I don’t care how ice-cold this kid is, he’s going to feel the pressure of playing in his first regular season game. They keep telling us Luck has short-term memory loss and moves on from bad plays as if they never happened. That’s good, because his first couple of quarters might be rough. If he faces any serious adversity early in the game, that short-term memory loss could help him relax and perform better in the later stages of the game.

As strange as it might sound, playing on the road could actually help Luck in this game. Although Chicago will want to come out strong on their home field, Luck won’t feel the pressure of 60,000 fans waving Colts banners and screaming every time he hits the field.

Chicago Bears

The Chicago Bears went 8-8 last season (7-8-1 against the spread) and missed the playoffs. During the off-season the Bears went out and improved the offense by signing WR Brandon Marshall and RB Michael Bush who should be a great RB2. Of course Bears QB Jay Cutler and Brandon Marshall know each other well, and I love the potential this duo has. While a guy like Peyton Manning is still getting to know his Broncos wide receivers, Cutler and Marshall will be clicking from the first possession of the game.

This Bears’ team should be able to run the football on any team with Forte and Bush splitting carries. Both RB’s are capable RB1 options, but with both in the Chicago backfield the Bears should improve on their 9th ranked rushing offense (118.6 RYPG) from last year.

LB Brian Urlacher has been quoted saying “I’m playing Sunday. That’s a done deal”, but I don’t expect him to make much of an impact. Missing almost all of camp and recovering from a recent knee surgery (August 14th), his time on the field should be limited. And when he is on the field, how effective can we expect this 34 year old, rusty LB to perform?

In 2011-12 CHI struggled at stopping the pass (239.1 PYPG – 28th), but were great at stopping the run (90.7 RYPG – 5th). If Chicago is able to stay healthy, they should be a very good team this year. Beating the Colts in week 1 at home shouldn’t pose much of a problem.

Colts vs. Bears Betting Tips

If you live in the United States and want to bet on NFL games, we recommend BetOnline.com and Bovada.lv. Both offer multiple deposit options, including Visa credit & debit cards. BetOnline posts earlier lines than Bovada, but Bovada is great for live betting. If you bet a lot, register at both books and shop for the best prices. Small advantages repeated over & over can make a huge difference on your roll by the end of the season. Also, both of these sportsbooks offer mobile betting for Android, iPhone, or any other internet-enabled mobile devices.

Point Spread Pick

The Chicago Bears vs. Indianapolis Colts point spread is currently -9.5, which has been steady all summer. The Colts looked good during the preseason, but we think they’re going to struggle the 1st few weeks of the regular season. The Bears should outclass them this week, and we like them for a 10-14 point SU win. FOr the point spread, we’re taking the Chicago Bears -9.5 (-110) at BetOnline.

Money Line Pick

The Chicago Bears are a huge money line favorite against the Colts and we think the Bears win easily. Chicago is tough at Soldier Field and the Colts have been poor in week 1 of the season in recent years (0-4 ATS). With a rookie QB making his first regular season start, we don’t see how they win this straight-up. However, the Bears are -500 right now, which is too big of a risk. Instead of taking -500, we’re going to use the Bears to add value to our money line parlay this week.

Bears vs. Colts Over/Under

The Indianapolis Colts scored 99 points in preseason and I expect them to get some points in this game as well. Likewise, this new-look Chicago Bears offense should also be more effective than last season, as they now have legitimate WR and RB threats. The Colts vs. Bears over/under is up to 43.5 now, and we’re likely to take the over if it stays here. However, we’re going to wait a couple days and see where the over/under goes. We’re hoping it drops another 1/2 – 1 point before taking the over. If it climbs to 44 or higher, we’ll be taking the under instead.

DonBest Video on this Colts vs. Bears Week 1 Matchup


A nice preview from DonBest of this Colts vs. Bears week 1 game.

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2012 NFL Week 1 Betting Lines

This article was written by Jess

Jess is the editor of MobileSportsBetting.com. His job duties include everything nobody else is doing, and making sure it all gets done on time. When he gets a chance, Jess loves to write about NFL, MLB, Formula 1, and tennis betting.


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