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Chelsea vs. Everton betting tips – EPL matchweek 25

Bet on Chelsea v Everton - Matchweek 25Chelsea 17-5-2 (1st) v Everton 6-9-9 (12th)

When: Wednesday, February 11th 2015 at 1:45pm ET
Where: Stamford Bridge in Fulham, London
Watch: NBC Sports Network

WILL Chelsea handle Everton to remain undefeated at Stamford Bridge and maintain the lead they have on the league table?

Both teams have to be pleased with the result they got over the weekend. Chelsea earned an away win against Aston Villa (2-1) while Everton fought to a scoreless draw against Liverpool at Goodison Park.

After this match the Blues and Toffees won’t have another league match until next weekend, but they’ll both be in action, as Chelsea plays PSG in the Champions League and Everton plays Young Boys in Europa League action.

Chelsea v Everton match preview

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Bovada has the Blues pegged as a –350 favorite and I can’t complain. Chelsea are 10-1-0 at Stamford Bridge with the lone draw against Man City (1-1). Everton have been poor in away matches too, as the Toffees are 3-6-6 away from Goodison.

Chelsea have dominated the H2H series lately. The Blues are 4-0-1 against Everton in league play since the 2012/13 season including a 6-3 annihilation in August. The Blues haven’t lost at home to the Toffees since 1994 – they have since gone 10-9-0 in league play.

Everton is in terrible form and an away match against Chelsea is the last thing that this team needs. Everton are winners in one of their last eight matches (1-3-4), but the good news is that the Toffees are undefeated in four matches after losing four in a row.

The Toffees are lucky to be 1-3-0 in their last four matches because they haven’t played well at all. Everton have only scored four goals in their last eight matches and they’ve been held scoreless five times during that stretch.

Will Everton be able to find the score sheet against the Blues?

I watched Everton v Liverpool and was unimpressed with the Toffees tactics. They were content with a draw and it showed in the match because at times Everton couldn’t string two passes together. It’s hard to imagine that game plan changing.

If Everton attempts to play the same way they’re going to be in trouble against a team that’s as quality as Chelsea. Liverpool were able to dominate the possession, but they struggled to generate scoring chances, which the Blues won’t be bothered by.

Chelsea scores 2.27 GPG at home, which is above the league average (1.44) by a considerable amount. The Blues have scored one goal minimum in every match at Stamford Bridge this season and there is no way Everton will keep a clean sheet.

The goals haven’t dried up with Costa out either. Didier Drogba has disappointed in limited action, but Loic Remy has played better. In fact, Remy scored the lone for the Blues in their 1-1 draw against City. I expect Remy to get the start over Drogba in this match.

Remy or Drogba is a big downgrade from Costa, but thankfully for Chelsea a lot of their damage is done by the midfield. Eden Hazard netted his ninth goal of the campaign against Villa and in bigger news – Cesc Fabregas is confirmed to be back for this match.

Everton concedes 1.50 GPG in away matches, which is worse than the league average (1.44). The defense has shored up some of the issues, but it wasn’t long ago when the Toffees lost away to Southampton (3-0), Newcastle United (3-2) and Hull City (2-0).

The attacking front hasn’t been any better. Romelu Lukaku only has seven goals including just one in Everton’s last ten matches in league play. The Toffees have a lot of depth at striker though, as Steven Naismith and Kevin Mirallas both have scored 5+ goals.

You can’t look past the attacking defenders on both of these teams either. Branislav Ivanovic is always a threat to score and he’s in form after scoring the game-winning goal against Villa. Seamus Coleman is a threat on Everton as well.

Unfortunately for the Toffees – Leighton Baines is ruled out still. That’s unlikely to hurt the Everton back line too much, but it does hinder Everton’s attack. In the match against Liverpool the Toffees had trouble moving the football forward all match.

Chelsea vs. Everton predictions

My best bet is on the under 2.5 goals market because Chelsea at –350 doesn’t interest me and with Costa out I don’t trust betting the Blues in the Asian handicap market. I know the last match was high scoring, but a lot of the H2H matches have stayed under.

At 7/2 odds I feel like Hazard is priced high in the first goalscorer market. If you take Costa out of the equation – Hazard leads the team in goals (9) and home goals (6). Hazard also takes the penalty kicks, which is always a benefit in the goalscorer markets.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting. Follow Scott on Twitter


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