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Chargers vs. Titans Money Line Prediction

The San Diego Chargers (1-1) travel to play the Tennessee Titans (1-1) in week 3 at LP Field. The Titan should be 2-0 right now, but they blew a late lead and lost in OT against Houston. San Diego should also be 2-0 if it weren’t for a huge letdown in week 1.

San Diego built a lead last week against the Eagles on the road and they almost blew it again. Philadelphia tied the game at 30-30, but the Chargers were able to hit a late FG. This should be a close game between two teams that are playing good football, however, I give SD the edge in this match-up.

SD vs. TEN ML Betting Odds

In this match-up the bookmakers have this game as a toss up and gave the home team 3-points on the spread (Titans –3). I thought the Chargers would be favorites in this game, but since they’re not I’m going to take the value on the money line (Chargers +140). The over/under is set at 44 points currently.

Why I’m Betting on the Chargers to Beat the Titans SU

Both teams have looked good in the early part of the regular season, but the Chargers have looked better. This is an offensive league and the team with the better offense will likely come out on top in this one even though the Titans have the edge on defense.

San Diego has averaged 30.5 PPG (4th), 298 PYPG (11th) and 103 RYPG (15th). The offense is getting it done through the air and on the ground right now. The main reason is because Phillip Rivers is playing great. He has 7 TD passes and just 1 INT after two games.

Last season the Chargers had a huge problem turning the football over and it cost them many games. This is going to be a great test for the SD offense because the Titans have a stingy defense. They allow 19.5 PPG (13th), 221.5 PYPG (11th) and 101.5 RYPG (20th).

The passing game is going to be tough for the Chargers because Malcolm Floyd is injured this week. However, Eddie Royal has picked up the slack (10 Receptions, 114 Yards & 5 TD’s). Royal will have an even bigger part due to the Floyd injury now as well.

Let’s take a look at the Titans offense now. So far this season they’ve averaged 20 PPG (22nd), 123 PYPG (32nd) and 115.5 RYPG (9th). I think the Titans need a new QB, as Jake Locker has a QB rating of 84.8 and he hasn’t been able to hit his receivers consistently yet.

Locker has had plenty of time to develop as a QB in the NFL, but he doesn’t seem to have what it takes at this level. He’s not mobile and his accuracy in the pocket hasn’t been great. This week he’ll have a chance to prove me wrong against the Chargers secondary.

San Diego has allowed 375.5 PYPG (32nd) on defense this season, which is absolutely terrible. The secondary has been shredded on some big plays, which has hurt, but when you look at Locker and the Titans WR’s I don’t see too much of a threat this week.

Chris Johnson has started the season well (50 Carries for 166 Yards), but he doesn’t have a TD. The offense only has 3 TD’s and that isn’t going to cut it when a lot of teams are putting up 25-30+ points. Statistically the Chargers have been playing better.

Another reason this game stood out to me is because the Chargers have the Titans number for some reason. If you read my picks you know that I don’t post many trends, but the Chargers have won the last 10 meetings against the Titans, which is incredible.

Looking back to last season we can see that the Titans went 4-4 at home while the Chargers were 4-4 on the road. Winning just 50% of your games at home in the NFL won’t cut it. This is also a huge game for the San Diego even though it’s early in the season.

If the Chargers want to make it back to the NFL Playoffs for the first time since 2009 they need to beat teams like the Titans. In the NFL road games are always tough, but playoff caliber teams need to be able to pick up wins against weaker competition.

This is the first time this season that I’m taking a shot on the money line. I’ve been doing well with my predictions to start the year and this game stood out to me all week. Let’s see if Rivers can continue playing without making the big mistakes and win games.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting. Follow Scott on Twitter


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