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Chargers vs. Broncos Betting Lines – NFL Week 8 TNF

San Diego Chargers vs. Denver Broncos Preview

When: Thursday, October 23rd 2014 at 8:30pm ET
Where: Sports Authority Field at Mile High
Watch: CBS

The San Diego Chargers 5-2 (5-2 ATS) have been kind to bettors this season, but they’re 0-2 ATS in their last two games. They’ll look to bounce back from a loss to the Chiefs last week, as they take on the Denver Broncos 5-1 (3-3 ATS) at Mile High.

Kansas City went into SD and beat the Chargers (23-20) as an underdog in week 7. Denver dominated the 49ers (42-17) at home on Sunday night and Peyton Manning broke the record for the most passing touchdowns in the NFL, as he passed Brett Favre.

SD vs. DEN Point Spread & Over/Under Odds

Odds courtesy of the Bovada Sportsbook (USA Bettors Allowed).

I’d be surprised if this point spread moves much at all this week, as if it hits 7.5 points I’d think the sharps would jump on SD in a divisional match-up. I could see the total increasing 2-3 points before kick-off on Thursday night, as 51 points is fairly low.

Will the Chargers or Broncos Win This AFC West Rivalry Game?

Since losing to the Seahawks the Broncos have beat the Cardinals, Jets and 49ers all by double digits. The dismantling of the 49ers last night was the most impressive win for Denver this season and I’m sure they’re itching to play their division rivals at home.

The division schedule has been rough on the Chargers despite being 1-1. They barely beat the Raiders and then they couldn’t beat KC at home. Now they come into this game as a huge underdog although the Chargers typically do well in this position.

Since 2012 the Broncos are 4-1 against the Chargers including the playoffs and all four wins were by at least a TD. Manning now has record, but you can bet he’ll want to have a big game on primetime, as this game has big implications within the AFC West.

Denver continues to improve on both sides of the football. The offense is averaging 31.5 PPG (1st), 298.8 PYPG (3rd) and 95.2 RYPG (25th). Ronnie Hillman has been running the football effectively and he just had a two TD performance against San Fran.

Defensively, the Broncos allow an average of 20.2 PPG (8th), 242.5 PYPG (18th) and 74.3 RYPG (3rd). This defense added a lot of new pieces during the off-season and it seems that they’re working better as a unit as the season progresses, which is great news.

San Diego ranks 9th in points scored (26.3 PPG), 6th in passing yards (270.7 PYPG) and 29th in rushing yards (89.3 RYPG). I’ve been impressed with Branden Oliver since he took over RB duties and Philip Rivers is still putting up great numbers through the air.

On paper the defense is still a T10 unit, as they allow 16.3 PPG (3rd), 209.6 PYPG (3rd) and 106.9 RYPG (13th). However, the last two weeks haven’t been as good. The defense shutdown Seattle at home in week 2, but this will be another good test on the road.

The Broncos aren’t going to allow Oliver to get going in this game, so Rivers will have to handle the offensive load. His weapons are fairly limited at WR and with the way the Broncos offense is rolling along they should have no problem winning this game.

Manning has only been sacked eight times this season and the Chargers pass rush isn’t that strong. They may get a sack or two, but that’s about it. This is a mismatch and I still feel like the Chargers are a little overrated based on their weak schedule.

Chargers vs. Broncos Best Bets

I feel that the total is a little low, but I could also see Rivers having a poor game against a Broncos defense that has been improving each week. Their secondary has lots of talent and Rivers hasn’t done well against Denver recently.

I’d bet on the Broncos now at –7 because this spread won’t decrease and there is a potential it could increase. Manning has been on his game as of late and everyone in the Broncos pass game has been getting involved this season. SD won’t be able to stop everyone.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting. Follow Scott on Twitter


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