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CBB Teams with the Best Chance to Win March Madness

This week we have conference tournaments to keep us entertained before the big dance starts next week. We’re going to provide a lot of predictions during the tournament, but beforehand we’ll be posting several betting guides to help you win money this year.

Before finalizing any picks I want to wait for the bracket to be built on Selection Sunday. We have a good idea where teams will be seeded at this point, but it’s always smart to wait until it’s finalized because that way you know the exact path a team needs to take.

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Florida lost their first two games against ranked opponents (Wisconsin & Connecticut), but they’ve since won 23 games in a row. The Gators went undefeated in SEC play and they’ve won their last four against ranked teams (Kansas, Memphis & Kentucky 2X).

The Gators rank #32 in offensive efficiency and #12 in defensive efficiency, which is impressive. Florida only scores 71.5 PPG (169th), but they manage possessions on both sides of the basketball better than any other team in the nation, which is why they’re #1.

Some worries are that Florida haven’t been tested enough although they do have the #44 SOS (TeamRankings) and they could lose in a tournament like this against a hot team shooting the basketball well. However, Florida is experienced and will be heavily tipped.

Kansas is currently 2nd in the betting market despite being projected as a #2 seed in the tournament, which is still generous. Part of the reason for the short odds on Kansas is because of Andrew Wiggins who is likely playing in his last few college games.

Wiggins led the Jayhawks in points (16.8 PPG) and steals (1.2 SPG) this season while only posting 5.9 RPG and 1.6 APG. KU will put up points (79.6 PPG – 24th), assists (15.3 APG – 34th) and rebounds (38 RPG – 38th) in the tournament, but will it be enough?

KU needs Joel Embiid to play or else they won’t contend for the title. Kansas ranked #9 in offensive efficiency this season, but only #102 in defensive efficiency. Embiid leads the teams in rebounds (8.1 RPG) and blocks (2.6 BPG). Without him KU is in trouble.

The Arizona Wildcats are going to be a #1 seed most likely after a great season that saw them reel off 21 consecutive wins. Arizona didn’t lose their 1st game until Feb 1st (California). They also lost to Arizona State in double OT (Feb 14th) and Oregon (Mar 8th).

Arizona played a very tough SOS (#5) and their signature win came against Duke (72-66) back in November. Arizona ranks #47 in OFF efficiency and #1 in DEF efficiency. The team only scores 73.5 PPG (97th), but they average 38.9 RPG (24th) and 15.1 APG (43rd).

Junior Nick Johnson leads the team in points (16.1 PPG), but three other players score in double digits as well. This team is balanced and with their defense they’ll be in every game. The offense isn’t great, but defenses can win national championships.

Wichita State is the lone undefeated team in the nation, but they haven’t played a tough SOS (#112). This team will be confident, but I think they’ll be knocked off before the Elite Eight. The Shockers haven’t played a single ranked opponent yet and aren’t tested.

On paper the team looks great. They ranked #16 in OFF efficiency and #11 in DEF efficiency. They’re active on the boards (38.6 RPG – 26th) and score enough points (75.5 PPG – 66th) to contend. Cleanthony Earl leads the team with 15.8 PPG and 5.9 RPG this season.

Earl will have to play out of his mind for the Shockers to make the Final Four in my opinion. This team is used to playing poor teams in the MVC and with the expectations that this program has coming into the tournament I think they’ll falter with the pressure.

The Spartans have struggled down the stretch and I don’t advise betting them to win the title. In fact, I’m surprised that MSU is one of the top five teams in the outright market. Michigan State has lost seven of their last twelve games after starting the year 18-1.

Senior Adreian Payne (16.1 PPG, 7.5 APG & 1.5 APG) will have to lead the Spartans in the big dance. Guards Keith Appling and Gary Harris will also have to pitch in on the scoring, as they’re the only two other players on the team that average double digits in points.

MSU played the 8th toughest schedule according to TeamRankings, so there is no question that they’re tested. MSU is very efficient, as they rank #27 in OFF efficiency and #43 in DEF efficiency. I just don’t think that this team has what it takes to run the table.

These are the top five teams in the outright market right now, but that’s likely to change after the conference tournaments are over and Selection Sunday. Teams like Duke (+1000), Louisville (+1000), Michigan (+1500) and Syracuse (+1600) are strong contenders.

Later this week I’ll be posting small previews on a few sleepers that handicappers should analyze more in-depth. No team stands out as a clear favorite this year and it wouldn’t surprise me if we seen a higher seed win it all. Stay tuned for more March Madness news.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting. Follow Scott on Twitter


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