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Browns vs. Bengals Betting Lines – NFL Week 10 TNF

Cleveland Browns vs. Cincinnati Bengals Preview

Start Time: Thursday, November 6th 2014 at 8:30pm ET
Location: Paul Brown Stadium in Cincinnati, Ohio
Station: NFL Network

The Cincinnati Bengals 5-2-1 (4-3-1 ATS) are at home against the Cleveland Browns 5-3 (4-2-2 ATS) on TNF. These two teams know each other very well. This is the first of two meetings between these AFC North rivals this season and it should be a good game.

Cleveland isn’t great on the road (1-2) and they were blown out by the Jaguars (24-6) in their last road game. The reason I feel this will be a close game is because the Browns always play their division rivals tough and the point spread is fairly big.

Bengals vs. Browns Point Spread & Game Total

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Early action has been coming in on the Bengals, as most assume this spread will increase once the public bets Cincy. I’ll personally wait this line out, as I’m hoping it increases a ½ point or full point. If it increases to +6.5 I’ll likely buy a ½ point to make it +7.

CLE @ CIN Stats Pack

These teams are actually very evenly matched on paper. The Bengals have better talent, but Giovani Bernard is likely going to miss this game. The Bengals defense has also been terrible as of late and they haven’t been playing very good teams either.

Browns vs. Bengals Betting Analysis

In the last two years these teams have split the H2H series (2-2) with both teams winning at home. Cincy beat the Browns 41-20 last year at home and 34-27 the year prior at home. That trend alone will mean a lot of public bettors will hammer the Bengals.

However, let’s take a look at how the Bengals have been playing lately. The Bengals are 2-1-1 in the last four weeks. Cincinnati beat the Jaguars (33-23), but they continually allowed Jacksonville to move down the field and score TD’s most of the game.

Cincy can’t stop the run (139.6 RYPG – 30th) or the pass (255.2 PYPG – 22nd). Cleveland’s offense is average at best, as they average 241.0 PYPG (14th) and 111.2 RYPG (16th), but even the Jags were able to gain 365 yards on this defense at Paul Brown Stadium.

A.J. Green was back in the line-up last week and he caught 3 passes for 44 yards and 1 TD. You could tell Green isn’t 100% yet, but it won’t take him long to get going again. In the meantime, Mohamed Sanu continues to impress with his big play ability downfield.

The Bengals offense averages 240.2 PYPG (15th) and 121.4 RYPG (9th). It looks like they’ll still rely on their run game with Bernard out, as Jeremy Hill looks great. Last week Hill carried the football 24 times and he gained 154 yards while punching in two TD’s.

Cleveland allows a ton of rushing yards (139.6 RYPG – 31st) and Hill will be heavily utilized in this game. Cleveland is better against the pass (252.1 PYPG – 18th), but they’re still below average and I’m sure they’ll have trouble containing Sanu and Green.

Browns vs. Bengals Over/Under Prediction

As I mentioned earlier in the article I’m waiting to see what happens to the point spread. If the Browns get up to +7 points I’ll be backing them to cover ATS. However, one bet I’ve already made on this game is on the over 44 points, which seems way too low.

Cleveland is allowing 27.3 PPG on the road this season and the Bengals defense has been poor. Both teams should have success on the ground, which will open up the pass game. I expect this game to be back and forth with plenty of scoring on primetime.

There is always a chance that the Browns offense struggles this week on the road, but this total is low enough that there is a little room for error. The Bengals could potentially put up 30+ points on their own and the Browns would only need two TD’s.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting. Follow Scott on Twitter


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