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Broncos vs. Ravens Odds & Picks

When: 1:00pm ET. Sunday, December 16th 2012
Where: MT&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, Maryland

The Baltimore Ravens (9-4, 5-7-1 ATS) need to keep winning to ensure they win the AFC North, as the Bengals just won on TNF and the Steelers are also close. The Denver Broncos (10-3, 7-5-1 ATS) won the AFC West, but are fighting for a 1st round bye.

This match-up has all of the makings for a great game. The Ravens are one of the best home teams (5-1) while the Broncos have held their own away from Mile High (5-2). However, the Ravens have lost their L2 whereas the Broncos have won their L8. Let’s get ready to rumble!

Latest Betting Odds for Broncos/Ravens

BetOnline.com
US Friendly
JustBet.cx
US Friendly
Spread
Money
Spread
Money
Broncos
Ravens
-3 (-110)
+3 (-110)
-155
+135
-3 (-105)
+3 (-115)
-150
+130
Over/Under
o48 (-110) / u48 (-110)
o48 (-110) / u48 (-110)

The Broncos vs. Ravens over/under has moved just a ½ point from the opening of 48.5, now down to 48 pts. The spread has seen a lot of movement, opening as a pick’em and now at -3 points in favor of the Broncos.

DEN vs. BAL Stats

• Points Scored Per Game: Broncos 28.8 PPG (2nd) vs. Ravens 25.5 PPG (9th)

• Points Allowed Per Game: Broncos 19.8 PPG (4th) vs. Ravens 21 PPG (11th)

• Yards Per Game (Offense): Broncos 390.1 YPG (4th) vs. Ravens 344.4 YPG (18th)

• Yards Per Game (Defense): Broncos 309.4 YPG (4th) vs. Ravens 376.2 YPG (25th)

• Turnover Margin Per Game: Broncos -0.2 (19th) vs. Ravens +0.9 (5th)

Broncos vs. Ravens Week 15 Injury Report

Several Ravens players are listed as questionable including Thomas, Rice, Jones, Suggs and McPhee, but they’re expected to suit up and play on Sunday. Ray Rice is also eligible to play, but no word has come out on whether he’s going to play or not.

Although RB Willis McGahee still sitting, the Broncos look pretty healthy coming into this game. Aside from McGahee and a couple of questionable players, it looks like they’ll be at full strength.

Why the Broncos Will Cover the Spread on the Road

Its difficult betting against the Ravens at home, but the team is on a 2-game slide and they haven’t looked great in their L4. The Ravens usually have one of the best defenses in the NFL, but this year injuries have hurt them and I expect Manning to expose them.

Bet on Broncos vs. Ravens – U.S. Friendly

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Peyton Manning vs. Ravens Secondary

Peyton Manning silenced his critics this season with a speculator year with the Broncos. Denver ranks 6th in passing offense with an average of 284 PYPG, while the Ravens passing defense has struggled (246.3 PYPG allowed – 23rd).

Demaryius Thomas is 5th in the NFL in receiving yards (1197) and he’s by far the most targeted WR by Manning. Eric Decker also has 790 yards and the two TE’s (Tamme & Dreessen) have put up big yardage. The Baltimore secondary is going to have a tough time covering all these guys, especially considering the tight windows Manning can beat.

Knowshon Moreno vs. Ravens Rushing Defense

RB Willis McGahee is still injured (and out), but Knowshon Moreno has finally started to pick it up. Moreno scored a TD last week and rushed for 119 yards against the Raiders. Baltimore ranks 25th against the rush (129.8 RYPG) and Moreno should be able to find lots of running room. In recent weeks he’s shown his commitment to making a genuine comeback in the NFL, and so far, so good. He’s motivated, and every week must feel like another opportunity for him. Look for another 100+ yards from him on Sunday.

Broncos Defense vs. Ravens Offense

Denver has gotten it done on defense as well. The Broncos rank 7th against the pass (215.7 PYPG) and 6th against the rush (93.7 RYPG). Ray Rice gained 121 rushing yards and had 1 TD last week, but the Broncos D-line should keep him limited.

The Broncos have Von Miller. This 23 yr old beast is causing opposing offenses a lot of trouble, and Joe Flacco will be looking over his shoulder all day. While he’s running for dear life, Flacco is likely to make a mistake or two, mistakes that Champ Bailey and the Broncos secondary should benefit from.

To make matter worse, Flacco has also been prone to mistakes this year. He’s had 9 INT’s (not bad by any means), but he’s also fumbled the ball 6 times. If Flacco has any turnovers against the Broncos, Manning is going to make the Ravens pay.

Denver Broncos vs. Baltimore Ravens Predictions

Bet Broncos -3 (-105) at JustBet.cx

Denver has too much to bring to the table and the Ravens aren’t on the same level right now. The Ravens defense has had problems all season and the injuries to their top defensive players have caused them to rank amongst the worst in the NFL. Not good against an offense this potent.

The Broncos will likely work Moreno early in the game to break down the Ravens defense, and then Manning will be able to pick apart the secondary – especially during the second half. I expect this to be close during the first half, and for the Broncos to pull away in the second. That’s how Manning does it, and the Ravens defense isn’t showing me any reasons to believe they’ll be able to stop Manning from playing his game. With so many offensive weapons and a T10 defense, the Broncos should win by over a FG on the road.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting. Follow Scott on Twitter


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