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Broncos vs. Patriots Point Spread

Both the New England Patriots (2-2, 3-1 ATS) and Denver Broncos (2-2, 2-2 ATS) are looking to get over .500 this week. The game will be played at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough where the Patriots currently have an 0-1 record this season.

Of course the question is, who’s going to cover the point spread? Let’s take a closer look at this Broncos/Patriots week 5 game.

Denver vs. New England Point Spread, ML & Over/Under

Earlier in the week the Patriots were opened up as a -7.5 point favorite, but the spread is now down to -6.5 (-110) at most betting sites. We can still get Denver at +7 (-115) at the Bovada Sportsbook, but I doubt that line will last much longer. If you want Denver plus a touchdown, get your bet in now.

Teams
BetOnline.com: US Friendly
Bovada.lv: US Friendly
Spread
Money Line
O/U
Spread
Money Line
O/U
Denver Broncos
New England Patriots
+6.5 (-110)
-6.5 (-110)
+245
-290
o52 (-110)
u52 (-110)
+7 (-115)
-7 (-105)
+235
-275
o52 (-110)
u52 (-110)

Patriots vs. Broncos: Game Analysis for Betting on the Point Spread

The New England Patriots have two blowout wins over the Titans and Bills this season, but they’ve also lost two close games to the Cardinals and the Ravens. Last week the Pats looked horrible in the first half of the game, but turnovers helped them blowout the Bills.

New England won 52-28 against Buffalo, with 31 of their points coming in the second half. The Bills didn’t help themselves by turning the ball over six times during the game. I can’t see the Broncos coming into Foxborough playing anything like the Bills did last week. In fact, I think they’ll put up a good fight.

Denver is 2-2 heading into week 5, and in their two losses they were in each game until the end. The Broncos lost 27-21 on the road in Atlanta, and 31-25 to the Texans at home this season (the only teams still undefeated in the NFL this year). With Peyton Manning getting better each game, it’s unlikely the Broncos will get blown out.

The Denver Broncos have averaged 28.5 PPG (7th) this season, and they also rank 12th in total yards on offense (387 YPG). On defense, Denver has only allowed 20.8 PPG (11th) and they’ve only allowed 308 YPG to the opposition (7th).

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After last week’s offensive output by the Pats, the Broncos are going to need to worry about stopping the run and pass. The Pats ran the football for over 200+ rushing yards and Brady threw for 300+, which can’t happen this week if the Broncos are going to cover the spread. The good news is, a repeat of those numbers is highly unlikely.

Denver has been very solid upfront on defense, only giving up 87.5 RYPG (9th). Thanks to guys like Champ Bailey and Tracy Porter, Denver also ranks 13th against the pass (220.5 PYPG). Denver should be able to cover Patriots WR’s well enough to give Von Miller and Elvis Dumervil a chance to pressure Tom Brady. The Broncos have averaged 2.5 sacks per game (12th) and pressure will be important in this game. If they can force Brady to get rid of the ball sooner than he wants to, plus limit the running production from Ridley and Bolden, the Broncos should have a chance to win this game late.

If you saw the Broncos game last week, you probably noticed that Manning and the Broncos offense has been starting to click. They put up 37 points against the Raiders, with a nicely balanced offense that kept the Raiders off-balance. Manning is getting comfortable with his options, and this offense has the ability to do some damage. Against the Raiders, Manning completed 2+ passes to each of seven guys, and four of them had 5-7 receptions apiece. RB Willis McGahee ran 19 times for 112 yards, and the Broncos ran for 165 yards in total. Peyton Manning had his best day since his comeback, completing 30/38 for 338 yards, 3 TD’s and 0 INT’s. That’s a helluva day.

Tom Brady has been limited in practice all week with a sore shoulder, so hitting Brady early and often is a priority for Denver in this road game. Bolden has also been limited after having a breakout game last week against the Bills on the ground.

The Broncos have only played on the road once this year, a week 2 Monday Night Football game against the Falcons. The Broncos lost 27-21, but I’m not sure we can take much from that game. It was Manning’s second game back, and rust was to be expected. He threw 3 INT’s in that game, but none since. In weeks 3 and 4 combined, Manning is 56/90 for 668 yard, 5 TD’s and 0 INT’s. And btw, game 3 was against the Texans, who are #1 on total defense, and #2 against the pass. The Patriots passing defense ranks #25 in the league, a sign that Manning could have another big day.

Denver vs. NE Point Spread Prediction

My prediction for this game is that the Broncos will keep it close, and cover the spread. I’m expecting a win of 3-4 points regardless of who wins. The biggest difference this year versus last year for the Broncos is the ability of the offense to get into the end zone. This team can score touchdowns, and against the Patriots passing defense, Manning should have a great game. A point spread of 7 looks to large to me, and I’m happy taking the points in this one.

Bet on Denver Broncos +7 (-115) @ Bovada.lv

If you want to bet the point spread in this game, I recommend +7 (-115) at Bovada.lv and paying the extra juice.

BetOnline has the New England point spread at -6.5 (-110), so if you’d rather bet on the Patriots you should place your wager with BetOnline.com instead.

Video Preview of Broncos vs. Patriots from DonBest

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ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting. Follow Scott on Twitter


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