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Betting Line for Packers vs. Texans

What: Green Bay Packers vs. Houston Texans – Week 6 Sunday Night Football
When: 8:30pm EST. Sunday, October 14, 2012
Where: Reliant Stadium in Houston, Texas

The Sunday Night Football game in week 6 is between the Green Bay Packers 2-3 (1-4 ATS) and Houston Texans 5-0 (4-1 ATS). The Texans are looking to continue their dominant start, while the Packers are looking to get back on track. Although the season is still young, the Packers have a lot of work to do, trailing the Vikings (4-1) and Bears (4-1) in the NFC North.

Latest Green Bay vs. Houston Betting Lines

Houston opened up as a -2.5 point favorite and you would have done great if you bet on them early. The point spread is now up to -3.5 points at most mobile betting sites including BetOnline. You can also bet the Texans -3 at Bovada, but you’re paying for it at -135.

Teams
BetOnline.com: US Friendly
Bovada.lv: US Friendly
Spread
Money Line
O/U
Spread
Money Line
O/U
Green Bay Packers
Houston Texans
+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-105)
+165
-190
o47.5 (-110)
u47.5 (-110)
+3 (+115)
-3 (-135)
+165
-190
o48 (-105)
u48 (-115)

Why the Houston Texans Will Cover the Spread at Home

The Houston Texans are one of two undefeated teams in the NFL through five weeks of the season. At home, Houston has had two blowout victories over the Dolphins (30-10) and Titans (38-14), but this will be their 1st true test at Reliant Stadium.

Houston has a week 8 bye this year, and they play host the Packers and Ravens the following two weeks. Winning this first game against Green Bay is going to be a priority for the Texans, who will be playing on a short week due to last week’s MNF game.

This season, the Houston Texans have averaged 29.8 PPG (3rd) on offense and it has been because of their running game. Houston is ranked 6th in rushing (143 RYPG) and just 20th in passing offense (228.8 PYPG), but they run the football 54.14% of the time.

Green Bay has been average at best to start the 2012 season. The Packers offense ranks 15th in passing yards (240.8 PYPG), but their rushing is even worse (97.2 RYPG – 20th). Cedric Benson was put on the IR, so the Packers will have to rely on the pass even more.

Houston has the 4th ranked passing defense in the NFL and only allows 190.2 PYPG. Aaron Rodgers is going to have a tough time trying to find his WR’s and it won’t help the Jennings is still out. I expect GB to struggle offensively.

The Packers haven’t played great football on the road this year. Green Bay lost 14-12 to the Seahawks (well, officially anyway), and last week they lost 30-27 to the Colts after having built up a nice lead in the game. Houston shouldn’t have a problem winning this game SU, and I expect them to cover the spread as well.

Packers vs. Texans Betting Lines & Predictions

I like the Texans point spread of -3.5 (-105) at BetOnline.com. Although I do expect the Texans to win this straight-up, I don’t like -190 on the money line. At this price, I prefer giving up the points for -105.

Handicappers have several options for betting on the Texans this weekend. You could wait and see if the point spread drops back down to -3 (-110) and bet it, but it’s unlikely that the betting lines will go back the other direction.

Alternatively, Bovada has the Texans at -3, but we have to pay -135 to get it. Most bettors won’t want to risk that type of juice on a point spread wager, and I’m one of them.

If you prefer Green Bay, you can get them +3 (+115) at Bovada, or +3.5 (-115) at BetOnline. If you’re going this route, it’s smarter to take +3 (+115) and hope for a push at worst.

The Packers money line is +165 at BetOnline and Bovada, but I don’t recommend this wager. I don’t see Green Bay winning this road game SU, and +165 on the money line doesn’t look like enough value.

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ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting. Follow Scott on Twitter


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