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Bet the Browns to Cover ATS against the Bengals – NFL Week 9

Browns-vs-Bengals-Week-9Cleveland Browns vs. Cincinnati Bengals Preview (TNF)

When: Thursday, November 5th 2015 at 8:25pm ET
Where: Paul Brown Stadium in Cincinnati, Ohio
Watch: NFL Network

THERE are still four undefeated teams in the NFL, although that could change tonight if the Panthers lose to the Colts on MNF. One of those teams are the Cincinnati Bengals (7-0) who play the Cleveland Browns (2-6) on TNF.

Wager on the Cleveland Browns vs. Cincinnati Bengals at Bovada.lv (Up to $250 cash). The Thursday Night Football (TNF) match-up will be televised nationally across local networks.

Talent wise – these two teams aren’t very close. However, the AFC North is one of the grittiest divisions to play in and these teams always play each other tough. The head-to-head trends suggest it’ll be close.

In the last two years, the Browns are 2-2 against the Bengals, including a 24-3 win at Paul Brown Stadium last season. Andy Dalton was 10 of 33 for 86 yards, 0 TDs and 3 INTs in that match-up.

Browns at Bengals money line, point spread and over/under

The betting lines above are all from the Bovada Sportsbook (USA only).

However, Canadians can get the same odds at Bodog.eu and get a 100% bonus for up to $200.

Early action is coming in on the Browns at +10 and I expect the point spread to drop below this key number by kick-off on Thursday night. NFL handicappers have been split on the total (53% on over vs. 47% on under).

Browns vs. Bengals week 9 predictions

If the title wasn’t a dead giveaway – my best bet in this game is on the Browns to cover the point spread, but I only recommend betting them if you’re getting +10. There are some risks in betting Cleveland now.

Josh McCown is banged up and there’s about a 50% chance he’s starting at QB.

Mike Pettine couldn’t say whether McCown would be ready to go or not early in the week. If McCown can’t go, it would be Johnny Manziel would get the start and he doesn’t excite me in this match-up.

The Browns have some good receiving weapons in Travis Benjamin and Gary Barnidge. Plus, the Bengals aren’t a great defensive team – they’re giving up 18.9 PPG (8th), 258.4 PYPG (23rd) and 110.1 RYPG (19th).

Cleveland actually rank in the top ten in passing yards (266.4 PYPG – 9th), but they have one of the worst run games in the NFL (84.0 RYPG – 31st). They also struggle to score TDs (20.9 PPG – 25th).

Sure, the Bengals are undefeated, but they’ve only won two games by double-digits (Oakland and Kansas City). Both of their divisional match-ups have been close down to the wire.

On paper, the Bengals offense should crush the Browns defense.

Cincinnati average 28.3 PPG (3rd), 278.1 PYPG (7th) and 115.9 RYPG (14th) on offense, while the Browns are allowing 27.0 PPG (26th), 258.4 PYPG (22nd) and 147.0 RYPG (32nd).

Part of the reason for the Bengals success has been turnovers – they have a +4 TO margin.

Andy Dalton and company are getting short fields to work with, plus his weapons are nearly limitless. A.J. Green is still the leader, but Marvin Jones, Tyler Eifert, Giovani Bernard and Jeremy Hill are all producing.

I’m also interested in betting on under 46 points, especially with the total this high.

When you look at the statistics on paper, you’d expect a lot of points to be scored. The Browns have a top 10 passing attack, while the Bengals have a great offense and the Browns rank poorly on defense.

However, three of the last four H2H games have had 30 or less points.

These two teams know what to expect out of each other and they rarely have a shootout. Expect tough hard-hitting defense to be on display in this AFC North match-up and bank on the under 46 points hitting.

CLE at CIN prop bets for NFL week 9

Prop betting odds aren’t out yet and that’s always the case. Bookies release props late and it’s hard to ever work them into these articles because I have no idea what the odds will end up being.

However, I want to recommend betting on the prop “Will any team score three unanswered times?”. I’m betting on the “No”, which is always paying above 2/1 odds. I can’t see either team scoring three times in a row.

This is one of my favourite NFL props because I love the odds on the “No” when the situation is ideal.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting. Follow Scott on Twitter


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