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Bet on the Saints to Beat the Lions – Money Line Odds

New Orleans Saints vs. Detroit Lions Week 7 Preview

When: Sunday, October 19th 2014 at 1:00pm ET
Where: Ford Field in Detroit, Michigan
Watch: FOX

The New Orleans Saints 2-3 (1-4 ATS) travel to Ford Field to play the Detroit Lions 4-2 (4-2 ATS) on Sunday. This is expected to be a close match-up. The Saints struggle on the road, but they need this win badly and we’re getting plus money on the Saints ML.

Saints vs. Lions ML Odds

Latest NO @ DET Money Line Odds at Bovada. New bettors will receive a $250 cash bonus.

This line opened higher, but has been dropping. The Saints are going to be even smaller underdogs by kick-off. I don’t like betting on the point spread when the line is +2.5 points or less because you’re better off taking the money line over the long run.

NO @ DET Stats Pack

The Saints come into the game with an offensive edge, especially since Calvin Johnson is out again. Detroit has the best defense on paper in the NFL, but other than the Packers they really haven’t played many explosive offenses up to this point.

Three Reasons to Bet on the Saints to Win

We’re used to seeing the Lions put up a lot of yards, but this year it has been the defense winning them games. The Lions average 243.8 PYPG (14th) and 86.3 RYPG (29th). Part of the problem has been that the offense has been dealing with injuries all year.

New Orleans has allowed the Bucs and Cowboys to both score 30+ points in their last two games. The defense has been giving up 267.6 PYPG (25th) and 112.0 RYPG (16th), but the Saints just had a bye week and hopefully they worked out the problems.

Reggie Bush is expected to be back this week, but how effective will he be? Golden Tate will likely be double teamed most of the game and the Lions don’t have too many other weapons in the pass game. This is a great spot for the Saints defense to play well.

It wasn’t pretty, but the Saints win over TB helped them build up some momentum heading into their bye week. The Saints are 4-0 ATS in the last four meeting against the Lions, so this is a team they know they can beat to continue building momentum.

Detroit is also depleted from injuries and even some of the players suiting up are banged up. The Saints offense has been fine, as the team averages 309.8 PYPG (2nd) and 133.0 RYPG (8th). I expect Rob Ryan to have worked on the defense to prepare for Detroit.

Detroit ranks 1st in the NFL in sacks (20) and their pass rush is incredible when they come to play. However, the Saints have allowed just five sacks all season, which is 3rd best in the league. They should be able to keep Brees standing upright most of the game.

If Brees is given time in the pocket he’ll be able to beat this Lions secondary through the air. The Saints also have an effective run game now and that helps to keep the defense guessing and it prevents them from blitzing the QB on every down.

Saints vs. Lions Predictions

New Orleans needs a win coming off of their bye week to build some momentum for the second half of the season. This is a game that they could win on the road, as the Lions are banged up and the offense looks lost without Johnson on the field.

The Lions have scored less than 20 points in four of their last five games. There only great offensive performance was way back in week 1 against the Giants. Detroit is slightly overrated at this point and the Saints are in a more desperate position.

It was only two weeks ago when the Bills went into Ford Field and won. If the Saints can score 21+ points there chances of winning the game are fairly high. Their defense has been poor at times, but this Lions offense isn’t that threatening right now.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting. Follow Scott on Twitter


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