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Bet on the Bengals to Cover ATS over the Texans on MNF

Texans-vs-Bengals-Week-10Houston Texans vs. Cincinnati Bengals – NFL Week 10

When: Monday, November 16th 2015 at 8:30pm ET
Where: Paul Brown Stadium in Cincinnati, Ohio
Watch: ESPN

WE don’t have the most exciting Monday Night Football (MNF) match-up for week ten, but it’s still football and that means I’ll be looking to find value in the betting markets – just like every other NFL game.

The Cincinnati Bengals (8-0) will host the Houston Texans (3-5) and they’re huge favorites.

Not only are the Bengals a lot better, but Arian Foster is on the shelf in Houston. With a non-existent run game – the Texans are relying heavily on Brian Hoyer to move the chains on offense.

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Texans at Bengals gambling odds

The public likes this game to feature a lot of points, as about 65% of bets have been on the over. Cincinnati are clearly the popular bet in the point spread and money line market – getting about 70% of the bets.

Stats and injuries

There isn’t much to report on the injury side. We all know Foster is out. The rest of the Texans backfield is banged up, but Alfred Blue, Chris Polk and Jonathan Grimes are all probable to play on MNF.

Here’s a breakdown of the offensive and defensive statistics.

Cincinnati have one of the top ten offenses in the NFL and they rarely turn the football over. The only way HOU can keep this match-up close is if they finally come together on defense and limit the CIN offense.

Texans vs. Bengals point spread pick

Cincinnati have been rolling this season and are just one of three undefeated teams.

Andy Dalton is having another great season and everyone is now questioning whether he’ll continue playing well come playoff time. I know it’s early in the season, but many fans have Cincy locked into the playoffs.

Dalton may have a bit resistance this week, as the Texans rank in the top ten against the pass. Jeremy Hill and Giovani Bernard should help take the load off of Dalton this week. Houston are weak against the run.

Hill has struggled in 2015 – rushing for just 344 yards on 104 carries (3.3 Avg.). Bernard has less carries (91), but he has rushed for 511 yards (5.6 Avg.). Between the two RBs, they have 7 rushing TDs and 1 receiving TD.

Houston have three wins this season – those have come against the Buccaneers, Jaguars and Titans. This team is among the worst in the NFL. I dislike double-digit favorites, but the best bet here is on the Bengals ATS.

If this game wasn’t on primetime, I may have a different opinion. However, with this game on MNF, I expect CIN to want to show the country how good they are and the Texans are a great team to beat-up on.

Breakout performers of the game

Hill has struggled this season, but this is a great match-up for him. Houston can’t stop the run and Hill is seeing 15+ carries the past three games. He hasn’t scored a TD since week four when he had three TDs.

I expect Hill to have another multiple TD performance – he has two on the season.

Nearly the entire Texans offense runs through Hopkins, especially now that Foster is done for the year. Hopkins has 5+ receptions in every game this season and he already has two games with 10+ receptions.

The Texans will be down big most of the game, so Hopkins will likely see 15+ targets on MNF.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting. Follow Scott on Twitter


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