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Bet on Auburn Money Line Against Ole Miss – Week 10 CFB

#4 Auburn Tigers vs. #7 Ole Miss Rebels SEC Preview

When: Saturday, November 1st 2014 at 7:00pm ET
Where: Vaught-Hemingway Stadium in Oxford, Mississippi
Watch: ESPN

The Auburn Tigers 6-1 (3-1 SEC) have been great this season, but a poor bet (3-4 ATS). The Ole Miss Rebels 7-1 (4-1 SEC) just lost to LSU (10-7) on Saturday on what was a wild ending. It looked like Ole Miss was going to force OT, but it didn’t turn out that way.

A penalty was called on Ole Miss, so instead of kicking a FG they tried to get off a quick play. Rather than throw it where only his WR could catch it, Bo Wallace threw up a gift and it was intercepted in front of the LSU endzone. Wallace had a terrible outing.

Tigers vs. Rebels ML Odds

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I’ll be betting on the Tigers to win on the money line this week, as I don’t expect the +2.5 points I could get on the spread to help. At these odds Auburn is worth a punt, as Ole Miss has lost all of their momentum after losing to LSU and it’ll be tough to bounce back.

How the Auburn Tigers Will Win

Auburn bounced back from a loss to Mississippi State (38-23) and beat the Gamecocks (42-35), but it was much closer than it should have been and there is room for concern. South Carolina gained 535 total yards on offense against the Tigers defense last week.

Nick Marshall played well when needed against South Carolina, but it was the Tigers run game that won them the game. Auburn had a total of 395 rushing yards and 5 TD’s on 47 carries (8.4 YPC). Cameron Artis-Payne led the way with 167 rushing yards.

Ole Miss is a great defensive team. They only allow 118.0 RYPG (23rd), 187.0 PYPG (16th) and 10.5 PPG (1st). The most points that the team has allowed was 20 points against Texas A&M. Auburn is currently averaging 39.3 PPG (15th) and will exceed 20+ points.

The Tigers will win if they can establish the run game (281.0 RYPG – 10th). Marshall and the offense only averages 215.9 PYPG (84th) and it’ll be tough to move the football through the air on the road against this defense without the run game working successfully.

Auburn doesn’t need to put up a lot of points to win this game, as the Rebels aren’t that explosive on offense. If Auburn can keep their defense off the field by running the football and finishing drives with TD’s they’ll come away with an important victory.

How the Ole Miss Rebels Will Win

Ole Miss is 5-0 at home this season including a win over Alabama (23-17), but will they bounce back from the loss? Losing your first game at this stage in the season is always tough, as your hopes to be #1 in the nation at the end of the year are essentially over.

The Rebels offense isn’t bad, but it’s far from a top 10 unit. They average 31.9 PPG (50th), 268.8 PYPG (37th) and 149.5 RYPG (83rd) on offense. Bo Wallace is putting up big numbers, as he has 20 total TD’s (18 Passing TD’s), but he has also thrown 7 INT’s.

Auburn’s defense has 13 interceptions and 3 fumble recoveries this season. If Wallace is off his game like he was against LSU you can bet that the Tigers will force multiple turnovers. However, if Wallace plays like he did against Bama than Ole Miss will likely win.

Wallace will have to beat this Auburn defense through the air. The Tigers allow 242.0 PYPG (75th) and have given up big yards to a lot of teams. Auburn is much better at stopping the run (120.4 RYPG – 25th) and the Rebels aren’t much of a threat to run anyways.

This game will come down to whether Wallace plays well or poorly for Ole Miss. If he tears up the Tigers secondary they’ll remain undefeated at home, but if Wallace tosses a couple INT’s I can’t see how the Rebels will keep up with Auburn on the scoreboard.

Auburn vs. Ole Miss Predictions

Auburn is 4-1 in the last five year against Ole Miss although the Rebels won at home in 2012. Betting on a road team is always tough in college football, but at plus money I like the spot that the Tigers are in and I simply trust Auburn more than I trust Ole Miss.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting. Follow Scott on Twitter


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