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Bengals vs. Texans Line

When: 4:30pm ET. Saturday, January 5, 2013
Where: Reliant Stadium in Houston, Texas
My Pick: Bengals +4.5 (-110) at BetOnline.com

The #3 seed Houston Texans (12-4, 9-7 ATS) won the AFC South division, but they come into the 2012-13 AFC Wild Card game on a 2-game losing streak. The Texans looked like they had a 1st round bye locked up but they allowed the Broncos and Patriots to beat them out.

Just like last season, the Texans will host the #6 Cincinnati Bengals (10-6, 9-6-1 ATS). The Bengals were just 3-5 after week 9, but they went on a huge 7-1 run to finish the season and they’re one of the hottest teams coming into the playoffs. Lets take a look at the latest Bengals vs. Texans lines.

Latest Bengals vs. Texans Betting Lines

Houston opened as -4.5 point favorites and the betting lines have yet to see significant movement. The Bengals/Texans over/under opened at 44.5 points and many bettors thought that was too high. As a result, the over/under has dropped to 43 at most betting sites.

BetOnline.com
US Friendly
JustBet.cx
US Friendly
Spread
Money
Spread
Money
Bengals
Texans
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
+185
-215
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
+177
-215
Over/Under
o43 (-110) / u43 (-110)
o43 (-110) / u43 (-110)

CIN vs. HOU Stats at a Glance

Texans vs. Bengals Game & Betting Analysis

The Houston Texans had a solid 6-2 home record this year, but the Bengals were 6-2 on the road. Maybe the Bengals have a chip on their shoulder when they play road games or maybe it’s just coincidence, but we have to give them credit for their excellent play on the road. I don’t think the public is giving them proper credit for this yet, and I really like the Bengals betting lines right now. I see value on both the point spread, and the money line. Here’s why.

These teams met last year in the AFC Wild Card game and the Texans won 31-10 after shutting out the Bengals in the 2nd half. The game was dominated by Arian Foster (153 Rushing Yards & 2 TD’s). QB Matt Schaub was injured and backup T.J. Yates played in the game.

Andy Dalton had 3 INT’s in last years Wild Card game against the Texans, but he has another year of experience under his belt now. Dalton has put up an 87.4 QB rating this season, as he has completed 62.3% of his passes for 3669 passing yards, 27 TD’s and 16 INT’s.

Bet on Bengals vs. Texans – U.S. Friendly

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Offensively the Bengals need to get it done through the air against the Texans 16th ranked passing defense (225.8 PYPG). RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis (3.9 RYPA) isn’t likely to find much running room against Houston who ranks 7th against the run (97.5 RYPG). With that said, don’t pay as much attention to the yards the Bengals passing offense gains, and look at their 28 passing TD’s instead. While they don’t gain huge yardage in the air, they use their passing game to score most of their TD’s.

The 6’5″ 295 lb DE J.J Watt leads the Texans defense and he’s put up amazing numbers in just his second NFL season (20.5 sacks and 4 fumbles). The Bengals O-line is giving up an average of 2.9 sacks per game this season and it’ll be critical that they protect their quarterback. To the Bengals benefit, Dalton only fumbled the ball 4 times during the regular season, so sacks aren’t likely to become turnovers.

For the Bengals, turnovers are more likely to come from the passing game. The Texans intercepted 15 passes this year, while Dalton tossed 16 INT’s himself.

Houston relies on Arian Foster to eat up yards and time off the clock, but they also have a solid passing game. This year the Texans ranked 11th in passing (239.4 PYPG) and 8th in rushing (132.7 RYPG). Foster ended up finishing 6th in the NFL with 1424 rushing yards and 1st with 15 rushing TD’s. Combined, WR Andre Johnson, TE Owen Daniels, and WR Kevin Walter recorded 2832 yards, with Johnson accounting for more than half of those yards alone.

I think this game should be a 3 to 3.5 point spread (only because of the Texans home-field advantage). At +3.5 or better, I like the Bengals. I love getting anything more than a field goal, and +4.5 is even better. The spread on this game is one of my favorites betting lines in the Wild Card round.

Key Players for this AFC Wild Card Matchup

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Houston Texans Prediction

The Bengals come into this game on fire and I expect them to not only stay within the spread, but win the game SU. The Houston offense has performed poorly in the last two weeks, scoring 6 against the Vikings in week 16, and 16 points against the Colts last week. The game should be close, but if the Bengals can slow down Arian Foster and put pressure on Matt Schaub, this is a Bengals win all-day long. With the confidence Cincy brings into this game, along with a desire for revenge of last years Wild Card loss, I think the Bengals will get it done.

I expect the Bengals to cover the spread, and also win SU. Of course anything can happen, but I’m all over this Bengals line.

Bengals / Texans Money Line

The Bengals money line is +185 at BetOnline.com and I think there is value here. Since I expect Cincy to win straight-up, I bet 1 unit on the spread and a ½ unit on the money line.

The Texans money line is -215 at BetOnline and JustBet, but I don’t see the value here. I think the Bengals are too motivated and too confident for the Texans, even on the road. If you like the Texans in this one, I recommend taking them on the point spread rather than the money line.

The Bengals vs. Texans over/under is 43 (-110) on either side. Both defenses are stout and this game will be won on a few big plays. I’m taking the under.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting.


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