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Bengals Favored to Win in Week 2 Against the Steelers

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cincinnati Bengals Week 2 Preview

Start Time: Monday, September 16th 2013 at 8:40pm ET
Location: Paul Brown Stadium in Cincinnati, Ohio

The Cincinnati Bengals 0-1 (0-0-1 ATS) failed to close out a road win at Soldiers Field last Sunday. The Bengals were up 21-10 in the 3rd quarter, but they allowed the Bears to score two unanswered TD’s. The final score was 24-21 for the Bears in this game.

Pittsburgh 0-1 (0-1 ATS) lost as well, but they looked much worse. They were big favorites against the Titans, but the offense was terrible in week 1. Pittsburgh went up 2-0 from a safety, but the Titans scored 16 unanswered points and won by a score of 16-9.

NFL Week 2 Monday Night Football Betting Lines

Cincinnati opened up as a –6.5 to –7.5 point favorite at the offshore bookmakers this week. Right now the spread is –7 at Bovada and it’s unlikely to move. The total hasn’t moved much this week either and the current over/under line is 40.5 points.

Pittsburgh Steelers
Cincinnati Bengals
Point Spread:
+7 (-110)
-7 (-110)
Money Line
+245
-290
Game Total
O40.5 (-110)
U40.5 (-110)

Why the Bengals Will Cover the Point Spread

I’ve gone back and forth on this match-up for a couple days now. This is a big rivalry and last year the teams split the series 1-1 with each team winning on the road. Pittsburgh won 24-17 in week 7 while the Bengals won 13-10 in week 16 last season.

I don’t put much weight into trends because teams change so much from year-to-year, but an alarming trend I seen this week is that the Steelers are an impressive 11-1-1 ATS in their L13 games in Cincinnati. However, the Steelers offense is going to be bad this year.

Last week couldn’t have gone worse for the Steelers offensively. It took them almost the entire game to score a TD last week against the Titans defense that ranked 27th in yards allowed last season. That’s unacceptable for the Steelers, especially at Heinz Field.

Ben Roethlisberger completed 21/33 pass attempts for 191 yards, 1 TD and 1 INT. Isaac Redman got the start at RB, but he fumbled the football twice (Lost 1) and he only gained 9 rushing yards on 8 carries. Stephens-Howling had 6 carries and gained 19 yards.

The bad news for the Steelers is that Stephens-Howling and Maurkice Pouncey were both injured in week 1. Losing Pouncey is a big deal and I can’t see how the Steelers are going to establish the run. They also had to resign Dwyer who will start this week.

When Pittsburgh can’t run the football they struggle and Cincinnati has a strong defense. There also isn’t a standout in the WR corps for the Steelers this season and I can see them being one of the lowest scoring teams, which will put pressure on their defense.

They still have one of the best defenses in the league, but the Bengals are an above average offensive team. A.J. Green looked great in week 1, as he hauled in 9 receptions for 162 yards and 2 TD’s. Don’t expect the same output this week, but he’ll get 100+ again.

Cincinnati only gained 63 rushing yards on 21 carries last week against the Bears. However, that should improve this week. PIT was solid against the pass last week, but they allowed 112 rushing yards to the Titans and I think the Bengals will get 100+ as well.

I expect the Bengals to keep their foot on the gas pedal this week against their division foe. Cincinnati would love nothing more than to beat Pittsburgh convincingly at home where they’ve struggled for years winning against this team and I think it happens.

Giovani Bernard only had 4 carries in week 1, but he gained 22 yards (5.5 YPC). Lewis needs to get Bernard more touches, as he has more potential for a big play than Green-Ellis. If the Bengals can run the football it will allow Green to get open downfield.

Both teams have to watch the turnovers in this game. Dalton threw 2 INT’s in week 1 and the Bengals also lost 1 fumble. Big Ben had 1 INT last week and Redman lost 1 fumble. If the Bengals lose the turnover battle this game will be a lot closer than I expect it to be.

The main reason I expect the Bengals to cover the point spread is because I don’t think the Steelers will crack 10+ points for the 2nd week in a row. If the Titans can hold down the Steelers offense than there is no reason that the Bengals underrated defense can’t.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting. Follow Scott on Twitter


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