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Bengals Favored on the Road Against the Dolphins in Week 9

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Miami Dolphins Preview

Start Time: Thursday, October 31st 2013 at 8:25pm ET
Location: Sun Life Stadium in Miami, Florida
Watch: Live on the NFL Network

The Cincinnati Bengals 6-2 (5-2-1 ATS) looked great in their blow out win over the Jets (49-9) last week. After an impressive win like that its no wonder that they’re favorites on the road against the Miami Dolphins 3-4 (3-4 ATS) who have now lost four in a row.

Bengals vs. Dolphins Line Movement

The point spread has seen a lot of movement back and forth already this week. Cincinnati opened up as a –1.5 point favorite and the spread is now –2.5 points. Earlier it dropped to a PK, but quickly jumped. The over/under is 42.5 points now after opening at O/U 42.

Bovada Sportsbook Live Odds
Teams
Point Spread
Money Line
Game Total
Cincinnati Bengals
-2.5 (-115)
-138
Over 42.5 (-110)
Miami Dolphins
+2.5 (-105)
+118
Under 42.5 (-110)

Can Andy Dalton Lead Cincy Past the Miami

I don’t know what happened to the Jets defense last week, but I was shocked to see Cincy put up 49 points on them. Dalton ended the day with 325 passing yards and 5 TD’s. The story of the game was Marvin Jones who had 8 catches for 122 yards and 4 TD’s.

It was nice to see the defense keep up the intensity even after having a big lead. Geno Smith only had 159 passing yards (2 INT’s) and the entire Jets team was held to three FG’s. Miami’s offense isn’t that good and the Bengals should be able to contain them.

The Bengals are now a pass happy team that isn’t afraid to air it out. They rank #7 in passing yards (269.9 PYPG), #19 in rushing yards (99.8 RYPG) and #11 in points scored (24.6 PPG). Green-Ellis and Bernard keep defenses honest, but this team excels at passing.

Like I said a few weeks ago, the Dolphins were fortunate to be 3-0 due to turnovers. Now that they aren’t getting the turnovers they need the defense is being exposed. Miami allows an average of 23.9 PPG (19th), 245.1 PYPG (20th) and 109.9 RYPG (19th) on defense.

Will the Dolphins Snap Their Losing Streak at Home

Miami had a great start to the season, but things have gone downhill quickly. Ryan Tannehill has been struggling as of late. Tannehill has completed 59.4% of his pass attempts (155/261) for 1769 passing yards and 11 TD’s, but the 9 INT’s have hurt the Dolphins.

Six players on the Bengals have combined for 7 INT’s this season and Tannehill has to protect the football better. He throws a lot of bad passes and you can’t do that against a defense like the Bengals. The Bengals only allow 18 PPG (5th) and 322.5 YPG (8th).

Cincy is #11 in passing yards allowed (225.2 PYPG) and Tannehill will be forced to air it out on this secondary. I don’t think Miami will be able to get their offense rolling and with the way the Bengals are playing on offense they should come away with the victory.

The Dolphins are below average on offense and they rank #20 in points scored (21.7 PPG), #17 in passing yards (221.9 PYPG) and #23 in rushing yards (89.1 RYPG). The Bengals 2-2 road record worries me a bit, but they have won their L2 games away from home.

Players That Need to Have a Great Game

I don’t think the Bengals offense is going to have too much of a problem moving the football on Miami, but it’s important that their defense plays well. I expect Tannehill to drop back to pass a lot in this match-up, so therefore Atkins and Dunlap need to play well.

Atkins leads the Bengals with 5 sacks while Dunlap has 4 sacks this season. As a team the Bengals have 22 sacks and if they can put pressure on Tannehill this game will be over quickly. Tannehill doesn’t deal well with pressure and he’ll end up making mistakes.

Wallace has 30 receptions for 398 yards and 1 TD. Brian Hartline has done better in each of those three statistical categories, which wasn’t supposed to be the case this season. Wallace has disappointed, but he’ll have a chance to step up against the Bengals.

This season the Bengals have allowed 24 plays of 20+ yards (14th), so they can be beat for big plays. Wallace needs to use his speed to beat the secondary and help the Dolphins score more points. If Wallace has a big game this game could end up being an upset.

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Miami Dolphins Predictions

Since 2010 these two teams have played each other twice with the Dolphins winning both games on the road. Cincy will look to get revenge on the road this week and with these two teams heading in opposite directions I feel the best bet in the Bengals by –2.5 pts.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting. Follow Scott on Twitter


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