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American Pharoah odds-on to win the 2015 Preakness Stakes

2015 Preakness Stakes Betting Guide

When: Saturday, May 16th 2015 at 5:14pm CDT
Where: Pimlico Racecourse in Baltimore, Maryland
Watch: NBC

I hope everyone was able to watch the post position draw on Wednesday evening.

If not – I’m going to update you on everything you need to know.

American Pharoah (5/6) is the odds-on favorite to win the 2015 Preakness Stakes at Pimlico. California Chrome was odds-on to win last year’s installment and coasted to victory. Will the winner of this year’s Kentucky Derby be able to match that feat?

Who knows – maybe American Pharoah can go one step further and win the Triple Crown — a feat California Chrome wasn’t able to accomplish. It goes without saying, there is some stiff competition in the race, including Dortmund (15/4) and Firing Line (17/4).

The bookmakers expect the top three from the Derby to compete for the win at Pimlico.

In case you somehow forgot – the results from the Kentucky Derby were American Pharoah ($7.80), Firing Line ($8.40) and Dortmund ($4.20). We won’t be able to get nearly as good of a line on Firing Line this time around.

Complete 2015 Preakness Stakes odds and post positions

The odds in the table are from the Bovada Sportsbook (USA) and Bodog Sportsbook (Canada).

Sign-up to Bovada and grab a 50% free bet on your first deposit for up to $250. Bodog offers a 100% free bet for up to $100. Both free bets credit instantly and can be used to bet on the Preakness Stakes.

2015 Preakness Stakes Betting Odds & Post Positions

Post Position
Horse & Sire
Trainer & Jockey
Betting Odds
PP #1
American Pharoah
Pioneerof the Nile
Bob Baffert
Victor Espinoza
5/6
PP #2
Dortmund
Big Brown
Bob Baffert
Martin Garcia
15/4
PP #3
Mr. Z
Malibu Moon
Darrell Wayne Lukas
Corey Nakatani
25/1
PP #4
Danzig Moon
Malibu Moon
Mark E. Casse
Julien Leparoux
16/1
PP #5
Tale of Verve
Tale of Ekati
Dallas Stewart
Joel Rosario
50/1
PP #6
Bodhisattva
Student Council
Jose Corrales
Trevor McCarthy
40/1
PP #7
Divining Rod
Tapit
Arnaud Delacour
Javier Castellano
16/1
PP #8
Firing Line
Line of David
Simon Callaghan
Gary L. Stevens
17/4

Apart from the top three in the market – I don’t see any other 3-year-old having a chance at winning.

I went away from the favorite American Pharoah in the Derby and I’m going to be doing the same again. Call me crazy, but there’s a lot working against the colt this time around.

First off, the Preakness Stakes is 1/2 a furlong shorter than the Derby. American Pharoah needed the entire backstretch to win the Derby and the shorter race may pose a problem, although it all depends on Firing Line having another strong performance.

American Pharoah was also drawn in gate #1 – an less than ideal situation for the champion thoroughbred.

Guess how many horses have won the Preakness Stakes from PP #1 since 1960? Two!

Bally Ache (1960) and Tabasco Cat (1994) are the only two horses to win from PP #1 in the Preakness Stakes since 1960. The only upside for American Pharoah is that there are only eight runners in the Preakness Stakes this year.

Nonetheless – American Pharoah will need to run a different race than he did in the Derby.

Dortmund provided early pace in the Derby, but didn’t have enough for the final kick and finished up in 3rd place. He has been drawn in gate #2 next to American Pharoah. Look for Dortmund to jump out of the gates quickly again.

Firing Line is on the outside (gate #8) and will have no problem starting. He won’t have to deal with any traffic and his early speed will allow him to cut inside by the first corner.

Danzig Moon (16/1) and Mr. Z (25/1) are the two other Derby participants racing in the Preakness Stakes.

Out of the two – Danzig Moon (5th in the Derby) has the best chance to factor into trifectas. Mr. Z finished 13th in the Derby and the colt hasn’t won in twelve starts in a row now.

The other three horses in the race are Divining Rod (16/1), Bodhisattva (40/1) and Tale of Verve (50/1).

None of these colts raced in the Derby and none are likely to factor in the Preakness Stakes.

Bodhisattva is the local entry, after winning the Federico Tesio. However, the colt has only raced in a graded stakes race once and he finished 5th in the Remsen (G2) last year.

Tale of Verve has one win in six starts and has never raced against the likes of the competition in this race.

Divining Rod has the best chance out of the colts that didn’t race in the Derby. Divining Rod has had a decent year – finishing 2nd in the Sam F. Davis (G3), 3rd in the Tampa Bay Derby (G3) and 1st in the Coolmore Lexington Stakes (G3).

2015 Preakness Stakes predictions

I believe Firing Line will be able to win the Preakness Stakes, although it’s definitely a big ask.

The colt looked great in the Derby and if he can replicate that performance he’ll have a great chance. I like the fact he starts on the outside. There’s only eight horses, so starting on the outside isn’t going to hurt, but it’ll definitely help.

I expect Firing Line to have the lead around the first corner. If that’s the case – Stevens has to push the colt the entire way to stay in front of American Pharoah. If American Pharoah gets the lead, this colt isn’t likely to relinquish it.

American Pharoah will finish in 2nd place and I have Dortmund finishing in 3rd place.

4th place will likely be fought for between Danzig Moon and Divining Rod – I lean to Divining Rod.

Here are my bets for the 2015 Preakness Stakes:

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting. Follow Scott on Twitter


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