What: Florida Atlantic Owls vs #1 Alabama Crimson Tide NCAA Football
When: 5:00pm EST. Saturday. September 22, 2012
Where: Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, Alabama
Sports bettors are wondering just how high the line on #1 Alabama (3-0, 2-1 ATS) vs Florida Atlantic (1-2, 1-2 ATS) will go. Given the -49 point spread and 57.5 over/under, oddsmakers seem to think the Crimson Tide could be on the way to their third consecutive shutout. After handing the Arkansas Razorbacks their first home shutout since the 1960’s, the Tide seems unstoppable right now.
Point spread handicappers are basically asking whether or not the Owls can put up a field goal. For over/under bettors, the question is more like how high will the Tide run up the score?
Florida Atlantic vs. Alabama Betting Lines: Point Spread, Money Line and Over/Under
Top ranked Alabama has scored 94 unanswered points going back to the 4th quarter of their season opener against Michigan. That’s a long spell, but Bama is one of the best, and deepest teams in recent NCAAF memory. It’s going to be very interesting to see how high the public runs up this line as the week progresses.
Alabama Crimson Tide
Overstating Alabama’s dominance this season is pretty difficult. For starters, there’s those 94 unanswered points. There’s also the turnover battle; the Crimson Tide forced 12 turnovers this season and only given it up once themselves. And, finally, Alabama’s offense has put up 1197 yards this season while their opponents have only mustered up 630 yards.
Point spread and over/under bettors have to be asking themselves how many points the Tide are willing to hang on a Sun Belt opponent?
While there’s no shame in putting 52 points up on a conference opponent like Arkansas, they might hold back a little on Florida Atlantic. Remember the Tide only beat the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers by 35. (They were favored by 38.)
Alabama is certainly capable of covering this line, but it doesn’t mean we should be betting on them.
How can a 49-point underdog hope to compete against a juggernaut like Alabama? They can’t. They can’t even really hope to keep it close, but a single field goal could be all takes to keep the Tide from covering.
Given their performance against #7 Georgia last week, their chances of scoring at least once are pretty good. The Owls wound up losing that one 56-20. Not too shabby for 41.5 point underdogs.
So it could all come down to senior kicker Vinny Zaccario. He’s not seen a lot of action this year, but he’s 1 for 1 this season and 7 of 11 last season.
Florida Atlantic vs. Alabama Betting Predictions
Handicapping lopsided games like this is tough because while the outcome is all but certain, how hard the favorite will play isn’t. Obviously Alabama is a BCS contender this season, but running up the score on the Owls won’t make much difference one way or the other. We recommend taking real caution on this game.
Florida Atlantic at Alabama Point Spread
49 points or whatever it winds up at, is a huge number to cover most years, but Alabama just scored 52 unanswered points on the hapless Razorbacks. However, the Owls are not an SEC rival and we’re thinking the Tide will go easy on them.
We also like the fact that Florida Atlantic scored 20 last week on #7 Georgia. A single touchdown or field goal could seriously derail point spread bettors, so we recommend using some caution. Stick with the underdog on this play. I recommend Florida Atlantic +49 (-110) at BetOnline.com.
Alabama vs Florida Atlantic Over/Under
The latest Florida Atl vs. Alabama over/under is 57.5 points. Even a Crimson Tide that’s holding back could single handedly put up 50 on the Owls. If Florida Atlantic can put up a single TD, this one could go over. However, there are a lot of easier bets to make this week, so I’ll be staying away from the O/U entirely.
Florida Atlantic at Alabama Moneyline
Good luck finding sportsbooks willing to take this wager. If you can, you might have to bet a couple years’ worth of salary to win $100. An upset here could easily be interpreted as a sign of the Apocalypse. If you find a money line for this game, just stay away.
What: Western Kentucky vs. #1 Alabama Crimson Tide
When: Saturday, September 8, 2012. 3:30 PM (EST)
Where: Bryant-Denny Stadium. Tuscaloosa, Alabama
* This page will be updated with the latest Alabama betting lines every week during the 2012 – 2013 NCAA football season. When the latest point spreads, money lines and over/under odds are available, we’ll post them right here.
Latest Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Lines: NCAA Football
* This game has ended, so the lines have been removed.
Both of the mobile sportsbooks listed above accept US bettors and Visa for funding accounts. BetOnline posts their odds much earlier than Bovada however, so we recommend them for serious bettors. Bovada is slow as ‘bleep’, but they do have some of the best college football live betting for US handicappers.
Western Kentucky vs. #1 Alabama
The Alabama Crimson Tide (1-0, 1-0 ATS) dominated the Michigan Wolverines (0-1, 0-1 ATS) 41-14 in an unusual week 1 matchup between ranked teams. This week they’re eating a little lower on the food chain when they welcome the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (1-0, 1-0) to Tuscaloosa.
College football bettors will see this as an easy moneyline win, if they can find a sportsbook giving moneyline odds on this mismatch. With that said, the value is likely to be non-existent anyway, so we recommend against this bet even if you find it. We have a tougher time handicapping the point spread because 40+ lines are notoriously difficult to cover.
Alabama Rolling Deep
Nick Saban and the Crimson Tide walked all over Michigan last week in a nationally televised game that garnered lots of excitement. A nervous point spread betting public kept the defending National Champions as a very manageable 14-point favorite, and Alabama had no trouble obliging them.
Offensively, Alabama dominated in every aspect of the game. Quarterback AJ McCarron went 11-21 for 199 yards and two touchdowns. He’s especially effective in play action situations and we’ll likely see plenty of them against Western Kentucky.
On the ground, Alabama ran for 232 yards with true freshman T.J. Yeldon leading the assault with 11 carries for 111 yards and a touchdown. Their receiving corps is benefiting from a Bama offensive line that’s incredibly effective. Expect them to run with impunity on Saturday.
Is Western Kentucky a Worthy Opponent?
The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers dominated their opener against Austin Peay 49-10 in a game that didn’t get much national play. They put up a whopping 596 yards total offense and allowed the Governors only 154 yards offense, 11 of which were rushing.
Quarterback Kawaun Jakes completed 18-23 for a career high 296 yards and four touchdowns. Despite his heroics, there were a few red flags that could open Western Kentucky for a blowout of epic proportions.
For starters, they have serious, serious kicking problems. WKU was 0-3 in field goal attempts last week. Last season they hit only 25% of field goal attempts. That’s something to seriously consider if you’re thinking about betting this point spread of 40. Since WKU is more likely to get into field goal range than into the end zone, missed field goals could easily help Alabama get 6-12 points closer to covering the spread.
Western Kentucky also committed eight penalties for 89 yards against Austin-Peay. That does not bode well for a visit to Tuscaloosa.
Alabama vs Western Kentucky Betting Picks
Western Kentucky has a pretty dismal 0-8 record against ranked opponents, but rarely get blown out by as many as 40. Last season they lost to then-#1 LSU by a score of 42-9, and went 10-2 against the spread.
Alabama Point Spread & Free Pick
This game opened with Alabama as a -37 point favorite and quickly leapt up to -40 and even -41 at some mobile sportsbooks. As we pointed out with USC/Hawaii last week, the logistics of staying ahead by that many points is difficult. If your opponent can muster just 10 points (as Hawaii did) it forces the favorite to go crazy.
We like that WKU has the potential to score, while Alabama will have no interest in risking injuries to their starters a week ahead of a meeting with #8 Arkansas. Also, Nick Saban doesn’t seem too crazy about the distractions the #1 ranking is causing his team, so I won’t be expecting him to run up the score from concerns over the #1 spot. A solid win is all they need, not a 40+ point blowout.
Based on all of this, we definitely like Western Kentucky to cover the spread. We’re betting WKU +40 (-110) at BetOnline.com.
The over/under of 54 sounds a little low to us. These two teams put up a combined 90 points last week, although that doesn’t mean much for this game. We don’t expect WKU to put up anything close to 49 again, but Alabama could match or eclipse the 41 they scored against Michigan.
We expect Alabama to do their job, and hope Western Kentucky can do theirs in the second half when Bama is likely to remove a number of their starters. We’re taking the over of 54 (-110), also at the BetOnline Sportsbook.
Money Line Pick
If you’re looking to boost your winning percentage but not your betting roll, this is a very straightforward play. We may not find any books offering a money line for this game, but even if we do, there’s very little value here. With that said, there’s almost no chance of WKU pulling the upset either, so if you’re willing to risk the rent to win a free lunch, this is a good time to do it.
These plays aren’t our cup of tea, and we don’t recommend an Alabama money line bet. Regardless of how attractive a ML bet might look for Western Kentucky, we never recommend almost-guaranteed losses.
ESPN Video About Alabama vs. Western Kentucky
A bit of injury discussion, but nothing terribly important here. Let’s be honest, even if Alabama sat all of their starters this would still be an easy win over Western Kentucky. But, since we’re concerned about Alabama covering a point spread of 40 points, we thought we’d go ahead and post this video anyway.
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