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2019 NCAA March Madness Final Four Parlay Picks

Auburn Tigers(30-9) @ Virginia Cavaliers(33-3)

  • Where: U.S. Bank Stadium. Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • When: April 6, 2019 6:00 pm EST
  • Spread: Tigers +5 (-105) vs. Cavaliers 5 (-115)
  • Moneyline: Tigers +200 vs. Cavaliers -240
  • Over / Under: Over 131 Points (-115) vs. Under 131 Points (-105)

We’re heading into the final weekend of college basketball this season. The opening game on Saturday night pits #1 Virginia against #5 Auburn. The second Final Four game features #2 Michigan State vs. #3 Texas Tech. This is the first Final Four appearance for the Auburn and Texas Tech programs.

The Elite Eight was incredible to watch and was the closest Elite Eight in tournament history. Two of the games (Purdue vs. Virginia and Auburn vs. Kentucky) went into overtime and MSU eliminated Duke in a one-point thriller that had everyone in the country on the edge of their seat.

Here are some interesting Final Four betting trends to consider when betting:

Let’s take a look at how these four teams got to the Final Four.

Virginia defeated Gardner-Webb (71-56), Oklahoma (63-51), Oregon (53-49) and Purdue (80-75) in the South. They had the easiest route into the Final Four while the Tigers have had the toughest route. Auburn defeated New Mexico State (78-77), Kansas (89-75), UNC (97-80) and Kentucky (77-71) in the Midwest.

Texas Tech shocked the country by winning the West with victories against Northern Kentucky (72-57), Buffalo (78-58), Michigan (63-44) and Gonzaga (75-69). MSU rolled through Bradley (76-65), Minnesota (70-50) and LSU (80-63) before defeating the Blue Devils (68-67) in the Elite Eight to win the East.

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Bet on the 2019 March Madness Final Four Games

Auburn vs. Virginia Betting Lines, Predictions and Preview

Best Bet – Virginia Total Points Over 68.5 (-125): The Tigers have allowed 71+ points in every game during the tournament and the loss of leading rebounder Chuma Okeke to injury will hurt in the Final Four.

These two teams have been dominating all season, but especially down the stretch. The Cavaliers are 13-1 SU (9-5 ATS) in their last 14 games, while the Tigers are 12-0 SU (8-4 ATS) in their last 12 games.

Virginia has been one of the most efficient teams this season. The Cavaliers score 71.3 PPG (192nd) and rank 4th in offensive efficiency (1.141), while allowing 55.4 PPG (4th) with a 0.886 defensive efficiency rating (6th). Auburn comes into the game scoring 79.6 PPG (28th) and allowing 69.3 PPG (108th).

To keep this game close, the Tigers will need to heat up from beyond the arc. Auburn are averaging 30.2 shots from deep per game in the tournament. This season Auburn have averaged 11.5 made 3-pointers per game (3rd) on 38.3% shooting (15th). However, Virginia rank 3rd in 3-point shooting defense (28.7%).

Texas Tech vs. Michigan State Betting Lines, Predictions and Preview

Best Bet – Under 132 Points (-105): MSU have gone under in 5 of their last 6 games and Texas Tech have gone under in 4 of their last 7 games. Look for the offenses to struggle early and the game staying under.

The Red Raiders are an incredible 13-1 SU (11-3 ATS) in their last 14 games, while the Spartans come into this match-up just as hot with a 14-1 SU (11-4 ATS) record in the team’s last 15 games.

Both teams rely on their top player to win games. Jarrett Culver leads Texas Tech in points (18.9 PPG), rebounds (6.4 RPG) and assists (3.8 APG). He has stepped it up in the tournament with 21.5 PPG.

Cassius Winston leads the Spartans in points (18.9 PPG) and assists (7.6 APG). He had a team-high 20 points in the win over Duke and it’s important TTU smother him defensively.

I expect this game to be a defensive chess match between Chris Beard and Tim Izzo. Texas Tech allow 59 PPG (3rd) and rank 1st in defensive efficiency (0.851), while forcing 15.7 TOPG (15th). MSU allow 65.1 PPG (30th) and rank 17th in defensive efficiency (0.925). MSU have the scoring edge (78.3 PPG vs. 73 PPG).

My Money Line Parlay Bet for the Final Four

Auburn is getting more action ATS than the Cavaliers and you always have to be weary of public underdogs in March Madness. This game will be close and therefore the safer parlay bet is the money line. Defense is what wins championships in college basketball and Auburn has the worst defense in the Final Four.

The MSU vs. TTU game could go either way and the value is with the Red Raiders at plus money. MSU will have an edge offensively and on the glass, but TTU is more efficient and better defensively. Texas Tech also have the best player on the court in Culver and he’ll be the difference on Saturday.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting.


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