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2015 The Players Championship betting preview and tips

2015 The Players Championship Betting Preview

Date: Thursday, May 7th – Sunday, May 10th 2015
Course: TPC Sawgrass – Par 72 – 7,215 Yards

OFTEN considered the “fifth major” – The Players Championship always brings out the best golfers.

All of the big names will be in the field, including Rory McIlroy, Jordan Spieth, Henrik Stenson and Jason Day among others. This is always a tough tournament to predict, but I have several outright bets I’m excited about sharing with our readers.

TPC Sawgrass was built specifically for The Players Championship and the tournament has been hosted here since 1982. The course is extremely difficult, however, a good score will be needed to win. The last four winners have finished at 13-under-par.

Nothing is more important than course form at TPC Sawgrass. Be careful with golfers that haven’t had at least one top 20 finish in this tournament, as nine of the last eleven winners have had at least one finish inside of the top 20 previously.

Outright winner betting market

Rory McIlroy (Best price: 7/1 at Bovada) is the favorite at most betting shops, although Jordan Spieth (Best price: 15/2 at CrownBet) isn’t far behind in the market. Both golfers are in great form, but out of the two – I lean to McIlroy having the better chance.

McIlroy finished T4 in The Masters and followed that up with a win last week in the WGC-Cadillac.

Spieth has cooled down a bit since winning The Masters, as he had finishes of T11 in the RBC Heritage and T17 in the WGC-Cadillac to end April. Both golfers have course form – Spieth finished T4 (2014) in his first attempt, while McIlroy was T6 last year.

That was McIlroy’s best finish at TPC Sawgrass, although he had one more top 10 too – a T8 finish in 2013.

Looking for a little more value than the two outright winner market leaders?

Consider looking at some veterans you may often overlook. Phil Mickelson (Best price: 40/1 at Bet365) is fresh off a T2 finish at The Masters and he won this event in 2007. I’m not a fan of Mickelson to win outright, but keep him in mind for match-up markets.

Sergio Garcia (Best price: 33/1 at CrownBet) and K.J. Choi (Best price: 225/1 at Bet365) are two past winners here too.

Garcia won The Players Championship in 2008, plus he has finishes of T8 (2013) and T3 (2014) the last two years. Choi won the tournament in 2011 and he finished T13 last year. Neither is in good form, although Garcia has two top 5 finishes this season.

My pick in the outright market is Henrik Stenson (Best price: 22/1 at CrownBet). Stenson has cooled down lately, but it wasn’t too long ago when he strung together four finishes in the top 5 in a row. Three of the top 5 finishes were in March.

Stenson has four top 10 finishes in nine attempts in The Players Championship, including a win in 2009. Stenson ranks 3rd in greens in regulation (GIR), 1st in strokes gained putting and 7th in driving accuracy – he truly has a tee-to-green game.

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Top 5 predictions

I can’t pass up Bubba Watson (Best price: 10/1 at CrownBet or Bovada) in the top 5 market. Watson’s best finish in this event is T37 (2009 and 2013) in seven attempts. That’s the bad news, however, there are plenty of reasons to bet on Watson.

Watson has three top 5 finishes and six finishes inside of the top 15 in eight tournaments this season.

He ranks 3rd in driving distance, 13th in strokes gained putting and 1st in par 5 scoring – an important statistic — as scoring well on the four par 5 holes has led to winners in the past. Watson only ranks 113th in GIR, but he gets out of trouble with his scrambling (5th).

Top 10 predictions

There are two golfers I like a lot in this market. Brandon de Jonge (Best price: 14/1 at CrownBet) and Billy Horschel (Best price: 11/2 at Bet365) are both enticing at long odds to finish top 10.

First off, de Jonge has two top 15 finishes in the last three years at TPC Sawgrass. He also checks the box for numerous important stats this week, including 25th in driving distance, 35th in GIR, 81st in strokes gained putting and 89th in par 5 scoring.

April was a great month for de Jonge too. He had finishes of T5 (Shell Houston Open), T18 (RBC Heritage) and T22 (Zurich Classic).

Horschel has been wildly inconsistent in 2015, but he has had his moments, including a T3 in the Valero Texas Open back in March and a strong T17 finish in the WGC-Cadillac. My big concern with Horschel is he may be winded from the last week.

His experience at TPC Sawgrass isn’t ideal either. Horschel has only played in this event twice – he missed the cut in 2013 — but he improved significantly with a T26 finish in 2014. Does he have enough in him to claim a finish in the top 10?

Horschel ranks 15th in GIR, 39th in strokes gained putting, 49th in driving distance and 86th in driving accuracy.

The Players Championship 2015: Winner odds

I’ve posted the complete outright winner market below from Bovada.lv, which is America’s home to bet online. Those of you that live outside of the USA can use Bet365 or CrownBet to bet on The Players Championship in 2015.

Jordan Spieth – 7/1
Rory McIlroy – 7/1
Justin Rose – 18/1
Henrik Stenson – 20/1
Jim Furyk – 20/1
Dustin Johnson – 25/1
Jason Day – 25/1
Tiger Woods – 28/1
Hideki Matsuyama – 33/1
Jimmy Walker – 33/1
Sergio Garcia – 33/1
Adam Scott – 40/1
Bubba Watson – 40/1
Lee Westwood – 40/1
Matt Kuchar – 40/1
Paul Casey – 40/1
Phil Mickelson – 40/1
Louis Oosthuizen – 50/1
Rickie Fowler – 50/1
Zach Johnson – 50/1
Billy Horschel – 55/1
Hunter Mahan – 55/1
Patrick Reed – 55/1
Brooks Koepka – 66/1
JB Holmes – 66/1
Ian Poulter – 70/1
Kevin Na – 70/1
Martin Kaymer – 70/1
Sean O’Hair – 70/1
Gary Woodland – 75/1
Luke Donald – 75/1
Brandt Snedeker – 80/1
Charl Schwartzel – 80/1
Daniel Berger – 80/1
Harris English – 80/1
Keegan Bradley – 80/1
Ryan Moore – 80/1
Ryan Palmer – 80/1
Russell Henley – 90/1
Bill Haas – 100/1
Branden Grace – 100/1
Brendon Todd – 100/1
Cameron Tringale – 100/1
Charley Hoffman – 100/1
Danny Willett – 100/1
Graeme McDowell – 100/1
Jason Kokrak – 100/1
Marc Leishman – 100/1
Morgan Hoffman – 100/1
Webb Simpson – 100/1
Bernd Wiesberger – 125/1
Brendon De Jonge – 125/1
Chris Kirk – 125/1
Graham Delaet – 125/1
Justin Thomas – 125/1
Kevin Streelman – 125/1
Matt Jones – 125/1
Russell Knox – 125/1
Steve Stricker – 125/1
Ben Martin – 150/1
Boo Weekley – 150/1
Brendan Steele – 150/1
Daniel Summerhays – 150/1
David Hearn – 150/1
Jamie Donaldson – 150/1
Jason Dufner – 150/1
John Senden – 150/1
Kevin Kisner – 150/1
Nick Watney – 150/1
Sangmoon Bae – 150/1
Shane Lowry – 150/1
Shawn Stefani – 150/1
Matt Every – 175/1
Pat Perez – 175/1
Scott Piercy – 175/1
Ben Crane – 200/1
Charles Howell III – 200/1
Chesson Hadley – 200/1
Chris Stroud – 200/1
Erik Compton – 200/1
Ernie Els – 200/1
George Mcneill – 200/1
Jerry Kelly – 200/1
Jonas Blixt – 200/1
Joost Luiten – 200/1
K.J. Choi – 200/1
Padraig Harrington – 200/1
Troy Merritt – 200/1
Aaron Baddeley – 250/1
Alex Cejka – 250/1
Angel Cabrera – 250/1
Anirban Lahiri – 250/1
Bo Van Pelt – 250/1
Carl Pettersson – 250/1
Danny Lee – 250/1
Fredrik Jacobson – 250/1
Geoff Ogilvy – 250/1
Jason Bohn – 250/1
John Huh – 250/1
Kevin Chappell – 250/1
Retief Goosen – 250/1
Robert Streb – 250/1
Seung-yul Noh – 250/1
William Mcgirt – 250/1
Brian Davis – 300/1
Brian Stuard – 300/1
Bryce Molder- 300/1
Camilo Villegas – 300/1
David Toms – 300/1
Jeff Overton – 300/1
Jhonattan Vegas – 300/1
Luke Guthrie – 300/1
Michael Putnam – 300/1
Rory Sabbatini – 300/1
Ryo Ishikawa – 300/1
Scott Brown – 300/1
Scott Stallings – 300/1
Spencer Levin – 300/1
Stephen Gallacher – 300/1
Steven Bowditch – 300/1
Stewart Cink – 300/1
Thongchai Jaidee – 300/1
Vijay Singh – 300/1
Will Mackenzie – 300/1
Michael Thompson – 350/1
Brian Harman – 400/1
Brice Garnett – 400/1
James Hahn – 400/1
Nick Taylor – 400/1
Robert Garrigus – 400/1
Adam Hadwin – 500/1
Andres Romero – 500/1
Andrew Svoboda – 500/1
Bernhard Langer – 500/1
Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano – 500/1
Martin Flores – 500/1
Ricky Barnes – 500/1
Robert Allenby – 500/1
Scott Langley – 500/1
Billy Hurley III – 750/1
Darren Clarke – 750/1
Derek Fathauer – 750/1
Justin Leonard – 750/1
Tim Wilkinson – 750/1

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting. Follow Scott on Twitter


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