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2014 World Cup Finals Betting Lines

Germany v Argentina Match Preview

When: Sunday, July 13th 2014 at 3:00pm ET
Where: Estadio Maracana in Rio de Janeiro
Watch: Live on CBS Sports & ESPN

Not only was the host country eliminated against Germany in a blow out (7-1), but their bitter rivals, Argentina, advanced to the final after eliminating the Dutch in a penalty shootout. Argentina will battle Germany in a South America vs. Europe final.

Argentina v Germany WC Final Odds

Get the best odds on the World Cup Finals at Bovada (USA) or Ladbrokes (ROW).

Argentina has relied heavily on their defense to advance through the knockout stage, but how tested have they been? I thought the Dutch would test them, but that wasn’t the case at all. The bookmakers clearly expect the Germans to test the Argentina back line.

How Germany made it to the Finals

Germany won Group G after beating Portugal (4-0), drawing Ghana (2-2) and beating USA (1-0). In the knockout stage the Germans have beat Algeria (2-1), France (1-0) and Brazil (7-1). When the Germans play as a team and hit their passes they’re unstoppable.

How Argentina made it to the Finals

I feel like Argentina had a fairly easy road to the finals. Argentina won Group F by beating Bosnia (2-1), Iran (1-0) and Nigeria (3-2). In the knockout stage they’ve eliminated Switzerland (1-0), Belgium (1-0) and Netherlands (0-0 Won 4-2 in a penalty shootout).

GER v ARG Head-to-Head

Since 2000 Argentina is 3(W)-3(D)-1(L) against Germany in international matches. Argentina won the last match (3-1) in 2012, but in World Cup matches Germany has the advantage with a (1-1-0) record. At the 2010 WC Germany beat Argentina 4-0 in the QF.

Will Germany or Argentina Win the World Cup?

The Germans built a 5-0 lead by HT against Brazil and Andre Schurrle added two goals in the 2H as a substitute. I expect Germany to use the same line-up that they used in the semi-final with Miroslav Klose, Mesut Ozil and Thomas Muller upfront.

Muller and Klose scored the first two goals against the Brazilians and were integral parts of the team’s success. I expect Joachim Low to have his team attack Argentina early in the match. Like Brazil, Argentina isn’t a team that scores enough to play from behind.

Alejandro Sabella knows his team will need to score to compete against Germany. With that being said, I expect Sergio Aguero to get the start upfront after coming on as a substitute in the SF. Angel Di Maria may be fit and able to come back for the finals as well.

If Lionel Messi, Ezequiel Lavezzi, Aguero and Di Maria are all in the starting line-up their attack will instantly improve. I still think that the Argentina back line can be exploited, but you can’t deny the fact that Argentina has kept four clean sheets in six matches.

Both teams have great goalkeepers if this match makes it to a penalty shootout. Sergio Romero and Manuel Neuer have both had to play well in this tournament. Neuer ranks #2 in the World Cup in saves while Romero has had to play in multiple shootouts already.

Argentina v Germany Predictions

Argentina hasn’t allowed a single goal in their three knockout stage matches. However, they weren’t tested. The Dutch registered their first shot on goal in the 90th minute of the SF. That simply isn’t going to cut it at this level of football.

Germany’s best bet is to go out on the pitch and score as many goals as they can. When Germany attacks with fluidity they can’t be stopped. Once this team build a lead they’re hard to comeback against as well because of their world-class back line and Neuer.

Muller needs one goal in the World Cup final to win the golden boot, as he has more assists than James Rodriguez. Muller is always dangerous in the box and it’s impossible for teams to zone in on him because his supporting cast can score goals just as well.

The over/under markets don’t interest me, as we have contrasting play styles and it’s hard to handicap whether or not the Germans will pour in goals or whether Argentina can keep this match low scoring. You could make a case for this match going over or under.

One bet that I’m highly considering is to lay the 0-0 score line for the 1H at Betfair, which is a bet on the score not being 0-0 at the end of the 1H. The lay odds are reasonable on this market and I expect the Germans to break the scoring open before halftime.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting. Follow Scott on Twitter


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