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2014 NFL Wild Card Round Prop Bets

The 2014 NFL wild card round starts tomorrow (Saturday, January 4th 2014). The Colts host the Chiefs to kick-off the action and the Saints play the Eagles in Philadelphia. On Sunday, the Chargers travel to Cincy to play the Bengals and the Packers host the 49ers.

All of these prop bets are from the Bovada Sportsbook.

Who Will Have the Most Passing Yards?

Drew Brees is the obvious bet because the Eagles have the worst passing defense (289.8 PYPG). Out of the eight QB’s in action this weekend Brees averages the most passing yards per game (323 PYPG). Rodgers (282 PYPG) and Rivers (280 PYPG) are 2nd and 3rd.

If you want a bit better odds than Brees I think Dalton is the next best bet at 5/1 because of his match-up against SD, as the Chargers allow 258.7 PYPG (29th). Kaepernick at 12/1 is enticing, as he threw for 400+ passing yards on GB in week 1, but the weather is bad.

The only way that New Orleans will win is if Brees has a great game and throws for 300+ passing yards. It’s true that Brees is better in domes, but his stats in cold weather aren’t that bad. My top three in this prop market are Brees, Dalton and Kaepernick.

Philip Rivers Total Passing Yards @ CIN

Rivers is averaging 280 PYPG this season, but he has slowed down the stretch and we’ve seen Matthews getting more touches. The total is set at 240.5 passing yards at Bovada and I like the under. He hasn’t thrown for over 230 passing yards in his last three games.

Who Will Have the Most Rushing Yards?

After watching Lacy split the workload with James Starks last week I think we can rule him out. Ryan Matthews is interesting because he has 473 rushing yards during the Chargers current 4-game win streak, but it worries me that he has been held out of practise.

The Bengals are also a bad match-up for Matthews, as they only give up 96.5 RYPG (5th). LeSean McCoy is a deserving favorite in this market, as he led the league with 100.4 RYPG. The Saints allow 111.6 RYPG (19th), but I think they’ll keep McCoy relatively quiet.

My pick to have the most rushing yards during the wild card round is Jamaal Charles against the Colts. There is no concern about the weather due to the game being played in a dome and the Colts allow 125.1 RYPG (26th) while Charles averages 85.8 RYPG (3rd).

Jamaal Charles Total Rushing Yards @ IND

My favorite single prop bet on the market is Charles to run for over 92.5 rushing yards. The prop is set above his per game average, but in week 16 the Chiefs played the Colts and Charles was able to run for 106 yards on just 13 carries. He’ll easily go over this total.

Who Will Have the Most Receiving Yards?

This is the toughest prop market out of three to predict because one loss pass can change the entire outcome. The good news is that no matter whom you pick the payout odds are decent at above 4/1. I actually think Boldin and Hilton present the best value at 9/1.

Out of the WR’s/TE above A.J Green has the best stats on paper with an average of 89.1 receiving yards per game. He also had five catches for 83 yards and 1 TD against SD in week 13, so we know that he has the potential to break out on this Chargers secondary.

At 4/1 you can’t go wrong with Green, but I personally like Boldin. The Packers secondary is allowing 247.2 PYPG (24th) and if you can remember, Boldin had 208 receiving yards against GB in week 1. Boldin also stepped up last week with 149 yards against Arizona.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting. Follow Scott on Twitter


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